The Maybe Bull: Who’s In And For How Much?
Investors and traders pondering the future of an equity market stuck in melt-up mode have
Marko Kolanovic Reiterates Bearish Outlook
As noted, Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson is still bearish. So is JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic. “The
How America’s Biggest Companies Benefit From Higher Rates
Last week, SocGen’s Albert Edwards marveled at the ostensibly bizarre juxtaposition between falling debt costs
Mike Wilson Sticks With It
Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson isn’t giving up on it, where “it” is a less-than-rosy take
Early Look At July PMIs Hints At Stagflation For America
US factory activity stabilized in July, while the services sector cooled, data released on Monday
Dire, ‘Bleak’ PMIs Portend Recession In Europe
An unfortunate read on private sector business activity suggested the European economy lacks dynamism on
What To Expect From Mega-Cap Tech Earnings
The unofficial start to big-cap US “tech” earnings came last week with reports from Netflix
Last Hike? What To Expect From The July FOMC Meeting
The Fed will raise rates this week in what may or may not be remembered
Traders Warily Eye Tidal Wave Of Crucial Data In New Week
The July FOMC meeting is obviously this week’s headliner, but it’s not the only marquee
Full Flows Capitulation Into US Stock Rally Elusive
If you’re looking to flows for clues as to the direction of equities, the picture
How Detached Are US Stock Valuations From Gravity?
One, among many, criticisms bears level against 2023’s equity rally centers on the notion that
One Bank Sees 2019 Parallel Amid Sentiment, Positioning Overshoot
If you’re wondering whether discretionary cohorts have continued to re-allocate and otherwise take up exposure
Wall Street’s ‘Strategist Short Squeeze’ Goes Mainstream
I have to hold my tongue sometimes. I’m immeasurably better at doing that now than
McElligott Sees ‘Absolutely Remarkable US Growth Renaissance’
Earlier this week, I noted that major Wall Street banks are beginning to speak as
A Contrarian Bearish Indicator
Looking for a contrarian bearish indicator? Stocks would probably work. US equities are up 20%
The Fiscal Scapegoat
Skepticism around the return of core inflation to central banks’ 2% target remains pervasive despite
Money Fund Assets Loiter Near Highs. RRP-Bill Transformation Proceeding Apace
Money market funds returned to inflows in the week to July 19, a somewhat unexciting
Midsummer Musings
As is often the case during the summer months, the price action is dictating the
Major Banks Suggest US Recession Pushed Out Indefinitely
Has the world (or the US) dodged a recession? No. Another recession is always inevitable,
Prices Near Records, Sales Slowest Since 2009 In Bizarre US Housing Market
The US housing market is becoming entirely predictable. And yet, it’s still somewhat remarkable. That’s
Is China Panicking Over Weak Yuan?
The Chinese yuan — you know, the managed currency that’s going to supplant the currency
Explaining The ‘Strangest’ Thing Albert Edwards Has Ever Seen
SocGen’s Albert Edwards saw something this week he couldn’t believe. “Normally when interest rates rise,
Jobless Claims Fall, Philly Prices Spread Plunges To Most Negative Ever
The US labor market isn’t cracking. Initial jobless claims fell to 228,000 in the week
Tesla, Netflix Mark Unofficial Start To Big US ‘Tech’ Earnings
Wednesday marked the unofficial start of big “tech” earnings in the US, as Tesla and
Was Q2 ‘As Bad As It Gets’ For Goldman?
“Corporate activity and capital formation are core to our financial system,” David Solomon said Wednesday,
Melting Up To 4700?
As you might’ve noticed, US equities are demonstrating an unshakable propensity to melt up into
Goldman Had An Interesting Quarter
Headed into Q2 results Wednesday, it was just a matter of how bad Goldman’s report
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