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Featured

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

‘Allocations Are Full’: Stocks Face End Of $300 Billion Money Spigot

July 28, 2024July 28, 2024

Stocks might’ve stumbled recently, but inflows continue unabated. On net, anyway. Global equities headed into

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1 Comment on ‘Allocations Are Full’: Stocks Face End Of $300 Billion Money Spigot

Buckle Up: A Monumental Week For Macro Watchers Looms

July 28, 2024July 30, 2024

This’ll be a huge week on the macro-market front. There’s a Fed meeting, of course,

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1 Comment on Buckle Up: A Monumental Week For Macro Watchers Looms

BoE And BoJ In Focus On First Cut, Second Hike Speculation

July 28, 2024July 29, 2024

The Fed’s not the only central bank game in town this week. In fact, the

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What Not To Expect From The July FOMC Meeting

July 28, 2024July 29, 2024

With apologies to Bill Dudley, the Fed isn’t going to cut rates this week. Dudley

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4 Comments on What Not To Expect From The July FOMC Meeting

Who’s Afraid Of The Big, Bad Tech Mini-Correction?

July 27, 2024July 29, 2024

It says a lot about market psychology, and maybe even more about the generational composition

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9 Comments on Who’s Afraid Of The Big, Bad Tech Mini-Correction?

What The Vol Shock Hath Wrought

July 26, 2024July 28, 2024

A couple of days ago, I noted that the reset higher in vol surely meant

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1 Comment on What The Vol Shock Hath Wrought

It’s Nice To Own Stocks

July 26, 2024July 28, 2024

If you were wondering, the final read on University of Michigan sentiment for July (released

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15 Comments on It’s Nice To Own Stocks

As Obama Endorses Harris, Trump Struggles For New Attack Strategy

July 26, 2024July 28, 2024

It took a while, but the Obamas got around to endorsing Kamala Harris. The five-day

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4 Comments on As Obama Endorses Harris, Trump Struggles For New Attack Strategy

Fed’s Preferred Inflation Gauges Generally Cooperate Ahead Of FOMC Meeting

July 26, 2024July 27, 2024

The Fed’s preferred price gauges came in mostly as expected in this week’s final top-tier

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Uncharted Territory

July 25, 2024July 25, 2024

So… market concentration. It’s topical. And it’s extreme. It’s topical because it’s extreme. At this

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Dog Days, August Bears

July 25, 2024July 26, 2024

If you think flows, liquidity, market depth and positioning matter, the outlook for US equities

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3 Comments on Dog Days, August Bears

Return Of Yen-Sanity Sparks Chaos

July 25, 2024July 26, 2024

The yen. It’s never complicated, but somehow it never ceases to confound. If it seems

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1 Comment on Return Of Yen-Sanity Sparks Chaos

Recession Spotters Frustrated Again As US Economy Outperforms

July 25, 2024July 26, 2024

The US economy expanded at a much brisker pace than expected in Q2, according to

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They’re Starting To Panic In China

July 25, 2024July 26, 2024

There’s a little bit of panic going on in Chinese policy circles. When the PBoC

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2 Comments on They’re Starting To Panic In China

Wall Street’s Worst Day Of 2024 Could Be The Start Of Something

July 24, 2024July 25, 2024

The Nasdaq 100 just had a very, very bad day. July 24 counted as the

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17 Comments on Wall Street’s Worst Day Of 2024 Could Be The Start Of Something

‘Anything Can Happen’: Magnificent 7 Plunges

July 24, 2024July 24, 2024

Big-cap US tech came into this week squarely on the back foot having traded meaningfully

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Why Bill Dudley’s ‘Cut Rates Now’ Call Is A Non-Starter

July 24, 2024July 25, 2024

You can’t say Bill Dudley wasn’t direct. “I changed my mind,” Dudley said Wednesday. “The

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4 Comments on Why Bill Dudley’s ‘Cut Rates Now’ Call Is A Non-Starter

Netanyahu’s Election Interference

July 24, 2024July 25, 2024

Accounts of Benjamin Netanyahu’s trip to the US this week were couched in uncomfortably similar

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4 Comments on Netanyahu’s Election Interference

New US Home Sales Fall Again As ‘Skittish’ Buyers Balk

July 24, 2024July 25, 2024

A day on from another lackluster read on existing home sales in the US, government

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4 Comments on New US Home Sales Fall Again As ‘Skittish’ Buyers Balk

In America, Goldilocks. In Europe, Slowcession

July 24, 2024July 24, 2024

The fortunes of America’s services providers and factories diverged markedly in July, according to preliminary

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2 Comments on In America, Goldilocks. In Europe, Slowcession

Alphabet, Tesla Kick Off Magnificent 7 Earnings

July 23, 2024July 24, 2024

Two of America’s vaunted “tech” septet reported quarterly results after the bell on Tuesday. Three

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11 Comments on Alphabet, Tesla Kick Off Magnificent 7 Earnings

Kamala Harris Has A Swing State Housing Problem

July 23, 2024July 24, 2024

You’d like to think Kamala Harris, a career prosecutor, has a fighting chance of defeating

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22 Comments on Kamala Harris Has A Swing State Housing Problem

Threats To Democracy

July 23, 2024July 24, 2024

JD Vance is worried about democracy in America. And Vance is a man who knows

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20 Comments on Threats To Democracy

America’s Housing Crisis Rolls On Unabated

July 23, 2024July 24, 2024

Surprise! Existing US home sales tumbled in June amid high prices and high rates. It’s

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1 Comment on America’s Housing Crisis Rolls On Unabated

Notable Seasonals

July 22, 2024

Coming out of a turbulent week both for US equities and domestic politics, and looking

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1 Comment on Notable Seasonals

Locking It Up

July 22, 2024July 23, 2024

It took Kamala Harris about 24 hours to lock up the Democratic nomination. By Monday

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9 Comments on Locking It Up

Remember: Markets Prefer Gridlock

July 22, 2024July 23, 2024

Remember: Gridlock’s good. Or at least for markets. Over the last several weeks, which is

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4 Comments on Remember: Markets Prefer Gridlock

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • NY Jeff on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • carbpow on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks
  • Blognonymous on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • Blognonymous on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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