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Featured

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Catastrophizing Begins As Wall Street Bleeds Out

August 2, 2024August 3, 2024

Stocks suffered some — ummm — losses in the wake of Friday’s US jobs report.

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7 Comments on Catastrophizing Begins As Wall Street Bleeds Out

Trigger Warning! Sahm Siren Blares Across Markets

August 2, 2024August 4, 2024

The US economy added far fewer jobs than expected in July and the unemployment rose,

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7 Comments on Trigger Warning! Sahm Siren Blares Across Markets

Japan’s Epic Stock Rally Collapses In $600 Billion Wipeout

August 2, 2024August 3, 2024

$600 billion. That’s how much value disappeared into thin air in Japan over the past

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2 Comments on Japan’s Epic Stock Rally Collapses In $600 Billion Wipeout

Amazon Comes Up Short. Apple’s Fine

August 1, 2024August 2, 2024

Amazon reported sales for Q2 that missed estimates on Thursday afternoon in the US. The

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5 Comments on Amazon Comes Up Short. Apple’s Fine

Bad News Is Bad News

August 1, 2024August 2, 2024

Bad news was just bad news on Thursday in the US. A jump in jobless

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3 Comments on Bad News Is Bad News

Should’ve Cut! US Manufacturing Waylaid As Jobs Gauge Plunges

August 1, 2024August 2, 2024

The Fed should’ve cut rates this week. I’m just kidding. But that’s what some folks

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8 Comments on Should’ve Cut! US Manufacturing Waylaid As Jobs Gauge Plunges

Fed Doves Get More Evidence As Jobless Claims Jump, Labor Cost Growth Slows

August 1, 2024August 2, 2024

Market participants already convinced of a September rate cut from the Fed were handed more

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Leave a Comment on Fed Doves Get More Evidence As Jobless Claims Jump, Labor Cost Growth Slows

Bank Of England Turns The Page

August 1, 2024August 1, 2024

The Bank of England turned the page on an extraordinary (and extraordinarily painful) chapter in

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1 Comment on Bank Of England Turns The Page

Zuckerberg Sells The AI Dream

July 31, 2024August 1, 2024

Mark Zuckerberg knew just what to say to placate investors concerned about the temporal gap

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23 Comments on Zuckerberg Sells The AI Dream

Nvidia Gets Weird

July 31, 2024July 31, 2024

On several occasions this year, I suggested we may be approaching a kind of market

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1 Comment on Nvidia Gets Weird

A Balanced Assessment

July 31, 2024August 1, 2024

“A cut could be on the table at the September meeting,” Jerome Powell said Wednesday,

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3 Comments on A Balanced Assessment

Fed On Hold, Nods To Softer Jobs Market, Inflation Progress

July 31, 2024August 1, 2024

The Fed kept rates on hold as expected Wednesday. Notwithstanding the exhortations of Bill Dudley

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1 Comment on Fed On Hold, Nods To Softer Jobs Market, Inflation Progress

False Dawn? US Pending Home Sales Jump

July 31, 2024July 31, 2024

Guess what? Contract signings in the US housing market picked up smartly last month. That’s

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4 Comments on False Dawn? US Pending Home Sales Jump

Fed Gets More Good News As Key Comp Cost Measure Recedes

July 31, 2024August 1, 2024

The rate of compensation cost increases was slower than expected in Q2, a closely-watched update

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1 Comment on Fed Gets More Good News As Key Comp Cost Measure Recedes

Labor Market ‘Playing Along’ With Fed, ADP Update Suggests

July 31, 2024July 31, 2024

Private sector employers in the US added 122,000 jobs in July, ADP said Wednesday. That

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5 Comments on Labor Market ‘Playing Along’ With Fed, ADP Update Suggests

In Wild Escalation, Israel Assassinates Ismail Haniyeh In Iran

July 31, 2024August 28, 2024

When an Israeli airstrike killed high-ranking Hezbollah commander Fuad Shukr in a Beirut suburb on

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24 Comments on In Wild Escalation, Israel Assassinates Ismail Haniyeh In Iran

Japan Braves Another Rate Hike

July 31, 2024July 31, 2024

Well, they did it: The Bank of Japan hiked rates for the second time in

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1 Comment on Japan Braves Another Rate Hike

Fuad Shukr, Signing Off

July 30, 2024July 31, 2024

Defiant rhetoric and obstreperous threats aside, Iran can’t go on like this. On Tuesday night

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4 Comments on Fuad Shukr, Signing Off

‘Inline Is Not Good Enough’: Microsoft’s ‘Solid’ Quarter Scrutinized

July 30, 2024July 31, 2024

Microsoft reported overall sales and cloud revenue that basically matched estimates on Tuesday afternoon in

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6 Comments on ‘Inline Is Not Good Enough’: Microsoft’s ‘Solid’ Quarter Scrutinized

Kamala Harris Needs To Change The Economic Narrative

July 30, 2024July 31, 2024

“Even though consumers remain relatively positive about the labor market, they still appear to be

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12 Comments on Kamala Harris Needs To Change The Economic Narrative

Bartender, Waitress Hiring Plunges In Otherwise Constructive US Labor Market Appetizer

July 30, 2024July 31, 2024

Job openings fell in the US last month, but not by as much as economists

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3 Comments on Bartender, Waitress Hiring Plunges In Otherwise Constructive US Labor Market Appetizer

Former Bond Fund Manager Wonders Why Americans Don’t Just Buy A House Already

July 30, 2024July 30, 2024

If you’re sitting on your hands waiting for a better time to buy a home,

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9 Comments on Former Bond Fund Manager Wonders Why Americans Don’t Just Buy A House Already

‘Sick Man’ Germany Blights Decent Eurozone Growth

July 30, 2024July 30, 2024

The sick man’s still sick. Europe’s largest economy contracted on both a QoQ and YoY

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2 Comments on ‘Sick Man’ Germany Blights Decent Eurozone Growth

Treasury Cuts Borrowing Estimate Amid QT Taper: A Quick Word

July 29, 2024July 29, 2024

The US government will sell less debt than expected during the current quarter, the new

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Leave a Comment on Treasury Cuts Borrowing Estimate Amid QT Taper: A Quick Word

America As Bizarro Iran

July 29, 2024July 30, 2024

Two months ago, Samuel Alito was approached at a gala by a woman who suggested

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16 Comments on America As Bizarro Iran

Wilson Sticks To Big-Cap Bias Amid History-Making Small-Cap Rally

July 29, 2024July 30, 2024

The dramatic rotations in US equities witnessed over the past couple of weeks are primarily

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1 Comment on Wilson Sticks To Big-Cap Bias Amid History-Making Small-Cap Rally

About China’s Silly Bond Bubble

July 29, 2024July 30, 2024

China has a bond bubble on its hands. I’m not sure how interesting that is

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2 Comments on About China’s Silly Bond Bubble

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • NY Jeff on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • carbpow on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks
  • Blognonymous on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • Blognonymous on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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