Relentless. Unremitting. Unsparing.
The IDF and Mossad on Friday dealt still another grievous blow to Hassan Nasrallah, who lost Ibrahim Aqil to a precision strike targeting an underground meeting facility in Beirut.
Aqil, like Fuad Shukr, was wanted by the US in connection with the October 1983 barracks bombing which killed more than 200 US servicemembers in one the deadliest days for the US Marine Corps since World War II. Shukr, you’re reminded, was blown apart by the IDF two months ago, leaving his portfolio to Aqil.
This is another instance where it’s virtually impossible to overstate the significance of the loss incurred. Aqil founded the Radwan Force, the elite unit trained and consolidated by the Quds. They’re commandos. The closest thing Hezbollah has to spec ops.
According to Daniel Hagari, Aqil was killed with “at least” nine other high-ranking Radwan commanders, including Ahmed Wahbi, who were planning an October 7-style attack on Galilee, which they intended to raid and occupy. Aqil had “a great deal of blood on his hands,” Hagari said. As a man with red hands himself, Hagari would know.
Aqil’s death marked a calamitous end to a humiliating week for Hezbollah, which lost dozens of members and affiliates to an audacious Mossad bombing operation involving the simultaneous detonation of tiny explosives hidden in thousands of compromised pagers and walkie talkies.
Israel was reportedly able to track Aqil after seeing him leave the hospital where he was treated for injuries related to an exploded pager.

For context, the Radwan’s predecessor organization was behind the ambush and kidnappings which sparked the Israel-Hezbollah war in 2006.
In the fight to restore Bashar al-Assad to power during Syria’s civil war, the Radwan fought alongside Quds trainers, the Wagner Group and Tehran-loyal militia based out of Iraq, including Harakat al-Nujaba, which lost a top commander to a US drone strike in Baghdad earlier this year. In January, Israel targeted Wissam Al-Tawil, another high-ranking Radwan photographed repeatedly with Qassem Soleimani himself.
I’m going to recycle some language from two previous articles because it really is critical to understand what’s happening here. The people Iran’s losing in this fight aren’t replaceable. They’re not random jihadists. Westerners don’t generally get the distinction, but there’s a difference between Iran’s “Axis of Resistance” and the kind of causeless lunatics who fall in with Wahhabi fanatics harboring delusions of the end times.
Iran’s proxies are well organized, well trained and purpose driven, and no more so than Hezbollah. To kill a commander or a facilitator is to leave a void. In many instances, these men define their positions. Once someone like Aqil — or Shukr, or Saleh al-Arouri, or Seyed Razi Mousavi, or Sadegh Omidzade — is gone, their role in some cases ceases to exist.
Crucially — and this is the key to the whole thing — every, single one of these people is (or was) part of the machine that Soleimani built. As one academic who spoke to The Guardian in April put it, “The IRGC is still reliant on one man and his networks. It cannot function independently of them.” Israel is dismantling those networks.
In the course of the Radwan’s heavy involvement in Syria’s civil war, Aqil surely cultivated a relationship with the Russian military. Suffice to say Moscow won’t be pleased to hear of his demise. (Soleimani was a friend of Vladimir Putin’s directly.)
I don’t know where Nasrallah goes from here. To meet Soleimani and Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis if he’s not careful. Because I can assure you: Israel knows where Nasrallah is. Or at least has a very good idea. The IDF apparently still thinks killing him isn’t yet a risk worth taking, but if this week’s events in Lebanon are any indication, the Israelis are going for the jugular.
In 2023, the US State Department put a $7 million bounty on Aqil. “Yes, hello? Is this Rewards for Justice? I have information on the whereabouts of Ibrahim Aqil.” “Ok, let’s start with your name, sir.” “Sure. First name is ‘Benjamin.’ Last name ‘Netanyahu.’ That’s ‘n,’ ‘e,’ ‘t’ — actually, just call me ‘Bibi.'”


I learn more ME foreign affairs from you than the NYT and Economist combined.
Great analysis Mr H !!!
Truly in awe of the depth of your research, H.
H- You have alluded to how you gained some of your immense knowledge of the ME- but someday, I hope to read the “full disclosure” version.
I do have a two-part follow up question to this very interesting post: roughly how many more remaining leaders of various groups are there that are part of Iran’s “Axis of resistance” (i.e. potentially on Israel’s list to dismantle) and as Israel takes out more players along the line, and therefore gets directly closer to Iran, what is at the end of the line of Iran’s “Axis of resistance”?
I fear the answer to the second part of my question.
When I was a doctoral student at The OSU I heard about a wonderful professor of Archaeology, adored by his students and colleagues alike. I did some checking and I found out that not only was he a tenured full professor without a doctorate, he never even finished high school. He started going on digs in his mid-teens and gradually accumulated enough knowledge to be published in many learned journals, eventually ending up in his position at the school. I found myself needing to know what the fuss was about so one afternoon I crashed one of his classes. It was being held in one of our our large rooms that held 300. I sneaked in the back to stand. He was sitting cross-legged on an old oak table on the stage. No notes, no aids, no nothing but the sound of his voice discussing the assigned reading. There wasn’t a single empty seat in the room and you could hear a pin drop. It took me five minutes to discover why he held the distinguished position he had. This as a guy in an old pair of jeans and a khaki shirt with a huge brain that knew many, many things. I felt like I needed to be sitting on the floor a part of a small circle that needed to learn what he knew. I feel the same way here.
Me too.
H – have you read Nine Lives? The story of Ahmed Dean, a jihadi turned MI6 informant… Appears to be very good…
NB – if any commentator has and want to share…