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Category: Markets

Don’t Forget About The Plague

November 19, 2021November 21, 2021

“10-year US real rates are now -4.6%,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett wrote, in the latest installment

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7 Comments on Don’t Forget About The Plague

Front-Running ‘Semi-Predictable Volatility Storms’

November 19, 2021November 21, 2021

Over the course of 2021, the notion that OpEx is associated with vol expansions and

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The Final Decoupling: Markets Achieve ‘Autonomy’ From Fundamentals

November 18, 2021November 21, 2021

When BofA asked the 350 panelists who participated in the November edition of the bank’s

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11 Comments on The Final Decoupling: Markets Achieve ‘Autonomy’ From Fundamentals

Another Quick Word On The Market’s Tech Addiction

November 18, 2021November 19, 2021

Earlier this week, in “The ‘Greatest Risk’ To The ‘GAMMA’ Stocks,” I mentioned SocGen’s Albert

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2 Comments on Another Quick Word On The Market’s Tech Addiction

In Turkey, ‘History Is Now Going In Reverse’

November 18, 2021November 24, 2021

You can have your theories, but Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan “cannot be on the same

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1 Comment on In Turkey, ‘History Is Now Going In Reverse’

Firms See Long-Run Inflation Running Far Above Fed Target

November 18, 2021November 19, 2021

If you’re inclined to extrapolate from regional Fed surveys, the US economy is still running

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2 Comments on Firms See Long-Run Inflation Running Far Above Fed Target

A Straight Horizontal Line

November 18, 2021November 18, 2021

In a wonderfully ridiculous example of fitting a narrative to a given day’s price action,

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9 Comments on A Straight Horizontal Line

In ‘Dreamland,’ Nobody Knows Anything

November 17, 2021November 25, 2021

To the extent they’ve succumbed to avarice, market participants could use “a little bit more

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3 Comments on In ‘Dreamland,’ Nobody Knows Anything

Crash-Up! Retail Investors Engineer Another Gamma Squeeze

November 17, 2021November 18, 2021

There’s been a “massive grab” for short-dated lottery tickets in high-flying US growth shares and

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Housing Starts Data Betrays Eye-Watering Disparity

November 17, 2021November 18, 2021

US housing starts fell a second month in October, data out Wednesday showed. Starts dropped

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1 Comment on Housing Starts Data Betrays Eye-Watering Disparity

‘Raging Manias’ And The Only Acceptable State Of Affairs

November 17, 2021November 18, 2021

The headlines are littered with bubble warnings. Of course, that’s been true every day for

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5 Comments on ‘Raging Manias’ And The Only Acceptable State Of Affairs

The ‘Greatest Risk’ To The ‘GAMMA’ Stocks

November 16, 2021November 17, 2021

Earlier this month, I noted that “concentration risk” in US equities is the highest it’s

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7 Comments on The ‘Greatest Risk’ To The ‘GAMMA’ Stocks

Investors ‘Storm’ US Housing Market, Buy 90,000 Homes In Three Months

November 16, 2021November 26, 2021

As US home prices ascended into the stratosphere amid a confluence of pandemic dynamics all

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8 Comments on Investors ‘Storm’ US Housing Market, Buy 90,000 Homes In Three Months

Goldman Delivers 2022 US Equity Outlook (It’s Bullish)

November 16, 2021November 17, 2021

700 points separates Goldman’s year-end 2022 target for the S&P 500 from Morgan Stanley’s forecast.

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Forget Bill Dudley. Mind The Flows That Matter

November 16, 2021November 16, 2021

If you’re looking to explain intraday market swings, don’t read too much into the incessant

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4 Comments on Forget Bill Dudley. Mind The Flows That Matter

Summers Warns Biden, Fed: Control Inflation Or Trump Comes Back

November 15, 2021November 26, 2021

I’ve critiqued Larry Summers at regular intervals over the course of 2021 mostly because, in

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6 Comments on Summers Warns Biden, Fed: Control Inflation Or Trump Comes Back

Why US Stocks Will Lag The World In 2022

November 15, 2021November 16, 2021

“Serene progress.” That amusing characterization of global equities’ monumental post-pandemic rally comes from a 64-page,

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2 Comments on Why US Stocks Will Lag The World In 2022

Topics Du Jour: Musk, Bernie, Burry And Bulletproof Stocks

November 15, 2021November 16, 2021

The new week dawned with familiar banter. “Banter” may not be the best word. It

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11 Comments on Topics Du Jour: Musk, Bernie, Burry And Bulletproof Stocks

‘Turbulence All The Time’: A Never-Ending Energy Crisis?

November 14, 2021November 15, 2021

The impact of green policies “can be explained in one sentence,” JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic said

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Psst! Don’t Tell Them About The Recession Part

November 14, 2021November 15, 2021

As calls grow louder for Fed action to help rein in inflation, it’s important the

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5 Comments on Psst! Don’t Tell Them About The Recession Part

Fragile: Handle With Care

November 14, 2021November 17, 2021

Another eyebrow-raising inflation print and associated tumult in rates means traders will spend the new

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Leave a Comment on Fragile: Handle With Care

A Sea Change In Portfolio Risk Management Is Coming

November 13, 2021November 15, 2021

Earlier this week, in “Why Not 100% Stocks?“, I revisited the debate around the viability

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6 Comments on A Sea Change In Portfolio Risk Management Is Coming

White House Has Serious Inflation PR Problem, Survey Shows

November 12, 2021November 19, 2021

Consumers are now very concerned about inflation. That might seem like a flippant or otherwise

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2 Comments on White House Has Serious Inflation PR Problem, Survey Shows

‘Why Not 100% Stocks?’

November 11, 2021November 12, 2021

For what seems like a very, very long time, Wall Street analysts, strategists of various

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4 Comments on ‘Why Not 1004 Stocks?’

El-Erian Lacks Ideas, But He’ll Make Up For It In Hyperbole

November 11, 2021November 13, 2021

Mohamed El-Erian, net worth — I don’t know, a lot — is concerned about “the

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13 Comments on El-Erian Lacks Ideas, But He’ll Make Up For It In Hyperbole

Not Everyone Was Gentle: Market Reacts To US Inflation Surge

November 11, 2021November 16, 2021

Reactions to the hottest US inflation print since December 1990 ran the gamut from apathetic

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2 Comments on Not Everyone Was Gentle: Market Reacts To US Inflation Surge

Evergrande Dodges Death, Xi To Rule For Life

November 11, 2021November 17, 2021

Once again, Evergrande managed to avert a potentially destabilizing default. Despite reports to the contrary,

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2 Comments on Evergrande Dodges Death, Xi To Rule For Life

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

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To Be Happy

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Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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