Listen, you people are concerned about 10Y yields, and that’s fine. After all, we blew threw the February highs this week on the way to the “dreaded” 3% “pain threshold” and while there were no swarms of locusts and no Pazuzu sightings (that I’m aware of), there are still concerns that the higher we go, the closer we get to a situation characterized by “diversification desperation” or, more simply, a scenario where bonds and stocks selloff in tandem.
Category: fomc
Behold: An ‘Incubator For Vicious Steepeners’
Something tells us this is an underappreciated tail risk, indeed.
‘Keep The Change, You Filthy Animal’
“Get ready.”
Fed Minutes: ‘Trade War Is A Downside Risk’
STRONG MAJORITY OF FED OFFICIALS SAW TRADE WAR AS DOWNSIDE RISK
FED SEES `SIGNIFICANT’ FISCAL-POLICY GROWTH BOOST NEXT FEW YRS
A NUMBER FED OFFICIALS SAW OUTLOOK WARRANTING STEEPER RATE PATH
War And (No) Peace: Full Week Ahead Preview
Say your prayers.
Here’s What Wall Street Thinks About The Fed And Jerome Powell’s Debut
Well, the reviews are in on the Fed decision, the SEP, the dots and on Jerome Powell’s “plain speak” presser debut.
Breaker One-Niner
The market’s verdict was as follows.
Powell Don’t Talk Much Like Yellen – Jury Still Out On Whether That’s Good Or Bad
I’m sorry, but I’m not sure doublespeak and bluntness are going to be compatible forever.
Fed Signals 2 More Hikes In 2018: Dot Plot, Projections, Statement, Analysis
FED RAISES RATES QUARTER POINT, SIGNALS TWO MORE HIKES IN 2018
FED ESTIMATES SHOW STEEPER PATH FOR RATE INCREASES IN 2019-20
FED SAYS `ECONOMIC OUTLOOK HAS STRENGTHENED IN RECENT MONTHS’
FED REPEATS NEAR-TERM RISKS `APPEAR ROUGHLY BALANCED’
One Bank Says A Dovish Fed Is Going To ‘Place A Floor Under The Stock Market’
So you know, “fingers crossed” I guess if you’re long.Â
A Couple Of Thoughts On The Fed’s Growth Outlook
Here are my off-the-cuff thoughts on that as sent around to a couple of people this morning (and again, these are just my musings and should be treated as such).
Face The Music.
In terms of news flow on Tuesday, everything took a backseat to Facebook and the worsening Cambridge Analytica scandal, which is spiraling rapidly out of control.
Toxic Brew: Full Week Ahead Preview
This should be all kinds of amusing.
‘This Is An Important Development’: Lael Brainard Turns Hawkish, You’re All Fucked
“Risks are moving toward five.”
‘Most Investors Didn’t Anticipate That’: Goldman Weighs In On Powell’s Hawkish Surprise
“…so soon and so straightforwardly.”
David Stockman To CNBC: ‘That Was Just Janet Yellen In Trousers And A Tie’
“The Donald seems to think that the 37% gain in the stock market between election day and the January 26th high was all about him, and in one sense that’s true. Donald Trump is all about delusional and so are the casino punters.”
Ok, So Jerome Powell Screwed Up A Little Bit On Tuesday
Who knows, maybe Powell meant to do just what he did, but somehow I doubt it.
They’ve Done Studies You Know…
60% of the time…
Powell Says Stocks Play A Role In Economy’s Performance – Here’s What A Crash Would Mean
Why yes, the stock market is “an important place for investors to invest.”Â
Here’s What To Look For From Jerome Powell’s Closely-Watched Testimony
All eyes will turn to brand new Fed Chair (and guy who is regretting it already) Jerome Powell on Tuesday as he heads to Capitol Hill to regale lawmakers with some shit they won’t understand.
High Note.
And so the holiday-shortened week comes to a close and it delivered everything that could have been reasonably expected of it.
Goldman Weighs In On The Fed Minutes
Are you still trying to figure out what to make of the January Fed minutes?
Wait, What?
If you don’t have a sense of humor, the market’s reaction to the Fed minutes was probably pretty frustrating for you.Â
Here Are The Fed Minutes: Take Them To Your Palm Reader
ALMOST ALL FED OFFICIALS EXPECTED INFLATION TO RISE TO 2% GOAL
SOME FED OFFICIALS SAW APPRECIABLE RISK INFLATION TO LAG TARGET
Read These Instructions Before Handling Fragile Fed Minutes
Obviously, interpreting the January Fed minutes is going to be a self-referential nightmare bordering on the absurd.
Neel Kaskhari Isn’t ‘Sitting Here Trying To Engineer’ Dow 86,000, Ok?
“…we’re not sitting here trying to engineer a certain level of the stock market.”
‘As Far As I’m Concerned, It’s Just Speculation’: Full Week Ahead Preview
“Right away, you’re ready to sell it.”
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