America’s resale housing market remains woefully — perennially, even– beset. Closings have managed just a
Category: Duly Noted
Lower Mortgage Rates Fail To Revive Moribund US Housing
Flat. That was contract activity in the US housing market last month. Wednesday’s sole, lonely
America’s Inflation-Adjusted Housing Wealth Shrinks Again
Don’t look now, but America’s housing wealth declined a third straight month in inflation-adjusted terms.
‘If This Was A Normal Cycle’
In “This Time Was Different” I talked at some length about the uniqueness of the
Rich But Not Crazy
Rich but not crazy. That’s global equities. Bubble coverage took a backseat to cockroach coverage
Risk Taking And Sell Signals
Strange as this sounds, a fixture of the equity melt-up to a succession of new
Trading Short, Playing Catch-Up
“Why have equities been trading short?” That’s what JPMorgan’s Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou wants to know. Whenever
US Home Purchases Are Still Falling Through At Record Rates
US housing. It’s — what word should I use? — complicated. That’s a (very) polite
Wall Street Versus Main Street: It’s Complicated
True or false: The stock market = the economy. True or false: Wall Street =
Can De-Globalization Be Good For Corporate Profits?
Maybe globalization wasn’t such a great idea after all. That’s been the rallying cry for
Kindling Present: No Matches Allowed
Trivia time: How many daily SPX moves of +/- 1% have we seen since the
Why ‘You Cannot Take Your Hedges Off Now’
Grinding, low-vol melt-ups are painful when you’re hedged for downside. And the summer just ended
Froth! Record Share Of Money Managers Say Stocks Overvalued
Do you suspect the S&P might be overvalued, trading as it does on a 23x
How The Cost Of Labor Impacts US Corporate Profits
Were you curious as to the sector-by-sector breakdown on labor costs as a share of
There’s An ‘Invisible Hand’ Keeping Stocks At Records
There’s an “invisible hand” at work and I don’t mean Adam Smith’s thoroughly exhausted metaphor
Acrophobia
It’s a good thing valuations and market concentration aren’t reliable predictors of near-term equity market
Don’t Say It Out Loud
Wall Street’s beginning to think the unthinkable. And to say it aloud, just not always
In US Housing: An Emergency
As a general rule, you don’t want to be spending more than a third of
‘The Ultimate Dip-Buyer’
I remind readers of this whenever the opportunity presents itself: The biggest source of demand
The Deals Are Falling Through
“We also agreed to increase the one-time membership fee from $—- to $—-,” read the
How Realistic Are Wall Street’s 2026 S&P Margin Forecasts?
If I told you corporate profit margins were likely to hold up better than feared
Skew (Still) Has A Story To Tell
Cautious. That’s something I won’t blame you for being. I spent some time being cautious
Capex, Good Or Bad?
Capex, good or bad? It depends. Good, generally. Or at least that’d be my assessment.
US Labor Productivity Improves, Jobless Claims Move Up
Good news: Productivity improved across the US economy and unit labor cost growth moderated, according
Margin For Error
If you’re a corporate, the simplest way to “mitigate” tariffs is to raise prices to
US Labor Costs Are Warming Up Again…
For whatever it’s worth, the Fed’s preferred measure of labor costs in America rose more than
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