Just 16% of US consumers expect their income gains to outrun inflation over the next
Author: therealheisenberg
Americans Refuse To Stop Spending As Inflation Rises In Worrying Data
Friday’s top-tier data release out of the US suggested the Fed has more work to
Money Market Assets, Bank Backstop Borrowing Hit New Records
Nearly $50 billion in new cash flooded into money market funds during the week to
Don’t Short A Bubble
You don’t want to short bubbles. That might sound counterintuitive. After all, if not bubbles,
Popular Strategist Weighs In On Nvidia’s Historic Rally
It was all about Nvidia on Thursday. By noon in the US, the company’s market
GDP Revisions, Claims Mock US Recession Meme
Bad news for the doves among you: The second estimate of Q1 GDP in the
Nvidia Scores Historic One-Day Value Gain On ‘iPhone Moment’
“I think you’re seeing the beginning of — call it a 10-year transition to basically
Resale Inventory Shortage Continues To Plague US Homebuyers
Not enough available homes! That’s the problem on the resale side of a bifurcated US
‘Reality’ Sets In As Germany Falls Into Recession
The world’s fourth-largest economy is in a recession. Or it was at the beginning of
The Future Is Now, Nvidia Shouts
The biggest criticism of 2023’s US equity market is also the simplest: The rally is
Soooo, Stagflation It Is Then?
The word “recession” came up exactly two times in minutes from the May FOMC meeting
Goldman Sees 30% Commodity Rally After ‘Great De-Stocking’
Last week, I talked a bit about commodities as a recession canary or, perhaps more
The Debt Ceiling Double Paradox
The paradox of a US debt ceiling deal is that it could be bad for
Albert Edwards Sees Glaring Disconnect Between ‘Hope And Evidence’
Albert Edwards is skeptical of the rally in equities. I think he’d agree that’s not
This Was Supposed To Be China’s Year. Alas…
This was supposed to be China’s year. You can probably recite the investment case from
UK Gets Another ‘Terrible,’ ‘Crushing’ Inflation Report
There was more bad economic news out of the UK on Wednesday, when inflation data
Mind The Taiwan Canary
Late last month, I identified a couple of additional recession “canaries” to complement the yield
Greedflation Aside, Corporate Profitability Is Feeling The Squeeze
Given all the media attention afforded to so-called “greedflation” (typically defined by reference to near-record
Man Who Downgraded America Weighs In On Debt Ceiling Drama
In 2011, Standard & Poor’s famously downgraded US debt for the first time. The man
New Home Prices Plunge In Still-Distorted US Housing Market
Last week, I spent some time documenting what I called the “great American housing bifurcation.”
After The Stop-In: Markets Face New Risks If D.C. Deal Done
Needless to say, under-positioned discretionary investor cohorts were in an uncomfortable position this week. On
Kolanovic Ups Gold, Cash Allocation As Risks Proliferate
Cash and gold. What’s not to like? Amid a grinding rally which took US equities
US Services Sector Laughs At Fed Hikes
Surprise! The US services sector is still running hot. If I didn’t know any better,
‘Greedflation’ Makes Survey Cameo, Giving ECB ‘A Headache’
Europe’s factory slowdown worsened in May, even as activity in the services sector continued to
Profit Maximization In A Factless World
As you might’ve heard, there’s no such thing as “facts” anymore. Facts went out of
Big Short? No. Big FOMO? Yes.
“FOMO” is now a fixture of daily market banter. That’s unfortunate, not because it suggests
How Much Did Quants Buy Over The Last Six Months?
It’s no secret that systematic flows can be a deciding factor for equities over short
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