Remember the post-December FOMC vol shock and correlation spike? If not, don’t fret. That was
Author: therealheisenberg
2024, Signing Off
The final session of 2024 on Wall Street was, like the handful of sessions before
‘In Wind And Rain’
There’s good news out of China. No, seriously. Don’t laugh. Or do laugh, because when
US Home Price Gains Continue, But At Slower Rate
US home values continued to rise in October, data released on Tuesday showed. Prices rose
Where’s My Damn Santa Rally?
Someone check the stocks. They might be unplugged, like so many strands of Christmas lights
US Homebuyers Give Up On Lower Rates
Hope may not be a strategy, but giving up hope might be. So suggested the
Do You Believe In Miracles?
Do you believe in miracles? Maybe you should after this year on Wall Street. 2024
Cash: A Renaissance Tale
A few days ago, while summarizing and otherwise closing the book on another remarkable year
What’s Wrong With The Bonds?
I hope Scott Bessent’s paying attention. The US long end’s on track for its worst
Ring It In
Humanity will ring in a new year in the week ahead. Here’s hoping 2025’s every
King Dollar Reigned In 2024
Remember when Western sanctions on $300 billion of Russian reserve assets ushered in the dawn
Can China Weather The Tariff Storm?
Among the (many) pressing macro-market questions for 2025 asks if the Party in Beijing can
South Korea In Crisis
Congratulations to Choi Sang-mok! Choi became South Korea’s third president in a month on Friday,
US Money Fund Assets Edge Closer To $7 Trillion
A strong year for money market fund flows was set to go out with a
2025 Crystal Ball
What’s the consensus outlook for 2025? That’s a tough question to answer. Consensus for what,
Competing Claims
Initial US jobless claims slipped below 220,000 for the first time in a month, Thursday’s
Breaks, Myths And Hyper-Scalers
I’d say investors and traders were back at the desk on Thursday, but that’d be
Who’s Afraid Of Tariff Man?
The tariffs! My God, what of the tariffs?! (“Think of the children!”) Most intelligent people
Reports Of US Inflation Rebound ‘Greatly Exaggerated,’ Goldman Says
Fed critics — and here I mean critics concerned about the proper course of monetary
‘The System Needs A Breather’
“Giddy.” That’s equity investors. Or US equity investors anyway. The adjective comes from SocGen’s Jitesh
The Best (And Worst) Outcomes For 2025, According To Fund Managers
If you had to make a list of prospective good outcomes for 2025, which would
Is China Finally Serious About Stimulus?
Stop me if you’ve heard this before: China has big stimulus plans. “Fool me once,”
The Equity Funding Squeeze Briefly Revisited
A month or so ago, I wrote a bit about an under-the-radar funding squeeze for
Boxes For Sale
It’d be an understatement, and not a small one, to describe investor interest in macro
Not-So-Great Expectations
Oddly enough, US consumers are trepidatious again. Confidence among American households deteriorated in December, according
Musk Takes A Shot At The Fed
On December 4, Jerome Powell sat for a fireside-style chat with Andrew Ross Sorkin for
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