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Author: therealheisenberg

Capital Flows To US Assets Dry Up Amid Policy Chaos

April 29, 2025April 30, 2025

Hard stop. That’s what we’re looking at in terms of foreign investor flows to US

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2 Comments on Capital Flows To US Assets Dry Up Amid Policy Chaos

Amazon Can’t Tell Americans The Truth About Tariffs, White House Says

April 29, 2025April 30, 2025

You’re not allowed to tell Americans the truth about tariffs. That was Karoline Leavitt’s implicit

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18 Comments on Amazon Can’t Tell Americans The Truth About Tariffs, White House Says

Consumer Confidence Collapses As American Households Despair

April 29, 2025April 30, 2025

There’s no other way to look at this first 100 days other than a huge

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10 Comments on Consumer Confidence Collapses As American Households Despair

Prices Still Rising In ‘Out Of Whack’ US Housing Market

April 29, 2025April 29, 2025

US home prices continued to rise, worsening an affordability crisis which, according even to housing

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4 Comments on Prices Still Rising In ‘Out Of Whack’ US Housing Market

From GM To Canadian Grandmothers, Everyone’s ‘Tired Of Winning’ Already

April 29, 2025April 30, 2025

I don’t know about anybody else, but this American’s tired of winning already. 100 days

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10 Comments on From GM To Canadian Grandmothers, Everyone’s ‘Tired Of Winning’ Already

No One Likes Uncertainty

April 28, 2025April 28, 2025

This may not have occurred to every “very stable genius” in the world, but deliberately

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2 Comments on No One Likes Uncertainty

‘Ghosts In The Recursion Fields’: How We Lose Our Humanity To AI

April 28, 2025April 29, 2025

I tried recently to limit my iPhone screen time. To that end, I started bringing

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25 Comments on ‘Ghosts In The Recursion Fields’: How We Lose Our Humanity To AI

The Bonds Don’t Lie

April 28, 2025April 29, 2025

First thing Monday, I not-so-gently chided Scott Bessent for what, in my view anyway, was

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3 Comments on The Bonds Don’t Lie

Fool’s Gold

April 28, 2025April 29, 2025

Over the weekend, Scott Bessent said a ridiculous thing. He said a lot of ridiculous

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10 Comments on Fool’s Gold

Traders Brace For Data Tsunami With GDP, Payrolls Due

April 27, 2025April 29, 2025

This’ll be a busy week on the macro-market front, and probably on the political front

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3 Comments on Traders Brace For Data Tsunami With GDP, Payrolls Due

War, Peace And A Very Slippery Slope

April 27, 2025April 28, 2025

Donald Trump was at Pope Francis’s funeral for all of 14 minutes on Saturday. It

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8 Comments on War, Peace And A Very Slippery Slope

The Domino Effect Of De-Anchored Inflation Expectations

April 26, 2025April 28, 2025

The Powell Fed’s in a tough spot. That’s a good early candidate for macro-market understatement

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11 Comments on The Domino Effect Of De-Anchored Inflation Expectations

Is 20x The New Ceiling For US Equity Multiples?

April 25, 2025April 25, 2025

A little over a month ago, JPMorgan suggested US equity valuations reset structurally higher over

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2 Comments on Is 20x The New Ceiling For US Equity Multiples?

Arresting Developments

April 25, 2025April 28, 2025

Kash Patel’s arresting judges now. So, there’s that. No sense burying the lede. But it’s

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16 Comments on Arresting Developments

Americans’ Inflation Outlook Neared 10% During April Tariff Panic

April 25, 2025April 27, 2025

Donald Trump’s backpedaling on tariffs, and the partial recovery in US financial assets since the

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3 Comments on Americans’ Inflation Outlook Neared 103 During April Tariff Panic

If Everything’s Exempted, Is It Still A Trade War?

April 25, 2025April 27, 2025

As it turns out, the trade war’s a silly charade. Who knew?! On Friday, reports

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5 Comments on If Everything’s Exempted, Is It Still A Trade War?

Alphabet Does Enough

April 24, 2025April 25, 2025

To let some analysts tell it, Alphabet’s virtually uninvestable. Pretty much everything to do with

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7 Comments on Alphabet Does Enough

Who Sold US Stocks?

April 24, 2025

Who is Colonel Mustard, in the library, with a candlestick? This is Jeopardy, you took

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1 Comment on Who Sold US Stocks?

‘Vladimir, STOP!’

April 24, 2025April 26, 2025

“Vladimir, STOP!” So came the manifestly impotent squeal from TruthSocial, where Donald Trump on Thursday

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15 Comments on ‘Vladimir, STOP!’

Erstwhile Housing Optimists Warn On Society-Wide Mobility Crisis

April 24, 2025April 25, 2025

So much for that? For a few months, it looked as though the resale US

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4 Comments on Erstwhile Housing Optimists Warn On Society-Wide Mobility Crisis

Long March Versus Tiny Hands

April 24, 2025April 25, 2025

According to China, remarks from Donald Trump and Scott Bessent in recent days about a

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14 Comments on Long March Versus Tiny Hands

Cutting The Tails, Watching The Screens

April 23, 2025

It’s too stupid, I can’t take it. Or at least not without laughing at something

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5 Comments on Cutting The Tails, Watching The Screens

‘A Nonsensical Place’

April 23, 2025April 24, 2025

Did everyone hear Scott Bessent on Wednesday? I hope so, because the rhetoric from the

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14 Comments on ‘A Nonsensical Place’

Jump In New Home Sales Is Old News As Rates Surge Back To 7%

April 23, 2025April 24, 2025

Tediously bland wooden boxes newly-built atop suburban concrete farms: Get ’em while there’s a glut!

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2 Comments on Jump In New Home Sales Is Old News As Rates Surge Back To 72

US Economy Seen Succumbing To Stagflation In Lackluster PMIs

April 23, 2025April 24, 2025

Early reads on US business activity for April painted a subdued, stagflationary picture, not surprising

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6 Comments on US Economy Seen Succumbing To Stagflation In Lackluster PMIs

Untethered

April 23, 2025April 24, 2025

Remember when tariff threats were a boon for the dollar, Treasurys were a haven from

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15 Comments on Untethered

‘An Artificial And Unnecessary Crisis’

April 22, 2025April 23, 2025

Donald Trump on Tuesday said he’s never been inclined to fire Jerome Powell. It was

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9 Comments on ‘An Artificial And Unnecessary Crisis’

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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