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Author: therealheisenberg

August BoE Cut Highly Likely After ‘Finely Balanced’ Hold

June 20, 2024July 4, 2024

There were “a range of views” among the seven Bank of England officials who voted

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Buy Gold To Hedge Republican Election Sweep, One Bank Says

June 19, 2024July 4, 2024

Naturally, the GOP would have you believe that if Joe Biden’s reelected, or if Democrats

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18 Comments on Buy Gold To Hedge Republican Election Sweep, One Bank Says

Roast Peasant

June 19, 2024July 4, 2024

I suppose this goes without saying, but if you find yourself in Pyongyang begging for

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10 Comments on Roast Peasant

Rate Cuts To Cool Inflation? Home Builders Say Yes

June 19, 2024July 4, 2024

US home builder sentiment deteriorated to the worst levels of 2024 in June, according to

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9 Comments on Rate Cuts To Cool Inflation? Home Builders Say Yes

Rishi Gets 2%

June 19, 2024July 4, 2024

Say congratulations to the UK: Inflation’s back to 2%. Headline CPI matched the Bank of

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3 Comments on Rishi Gets 23

Jensen’s Juggernaut

June 18, 2024July 4, 2024

Two sessions, two new all-time highs. In the first two frames of a split week,

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3 Comments on Jensen’s Juggernaut

Solving The Mystery Of America’s Dueling Jobs Surveys

June 18, 2024July 4, 2024

There are any number of burning questions one could pose vis-à-vis the US labor market,

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10 Comments on Solving The Mystery Of America’s Dueling Jobs Surveys

Goldman’s Hatzius Sees Tipping Point For US Labor Market

June 18, 2024July 4, 2024

Everyone was wrong except Goldman. Goldman and Chris Waller. That’s not exactly how Jan Hatzius

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3 Comments on Goldman’s Hatzius Sees Tipping Point For US Labor Market

US Shoppers Balk At High Prices

June 18, 2024July 4, 2024

Retail sales in the US rose less than expected last month, this week’s only top-tier

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1 Comment on US Shoppers Balk At High Prices

$640 Billion Is Most Bullish Since Peak ‘Everything Bubble’

June 18, 2024July 4, 2024

Fund managers are the most bullish since the height of the so-called “everything bubble.” That’s

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1 Comment on $640 Billion Is Most Bullish Since Peak ‘Everything Bubble’

‘Haves’-‘Have-Nots’ Divide Reaches Tipping Point, One Bank Warns

June 17, 2024July 4, 2024

There’s a vociferous debate raging in the macro community where economists, technocrats and economists employed

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4 Comments on ‘Haves’-‘Have-Nots’ Divide Reaches Tipping Point, One Bank Warns

Soft Landing Strip Now Very Narrow, Kolanovic Says

June 17, 2024July 4, 2024

The landing strip’s narrow for Jerome Powell. That was one (familiar) message from JPMorgan analysts

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14 Comments on Soft Landing Strip Now Very Narrow, Kolanovic Says

De-Dollarization Delayed

June 17, 2024July 4, 2024

The funny thing about the de-dollarization story is that it’s unequivocally false. I tried to

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Rainbow Sprinkles

June 17, 2024July 4, 2024

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson sees a worrying sign. I suppose this goes without saying by

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20 Comments on Rainbow Sprinkles

It’s (Still) Not Going Well In China

June 17, 2024July 4, 2024

It’s not going well in China. Still. It’s still not going well in China. Beijing

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6 Comments on It’s (Still) Not Going Well In China

Mega-Cap Versus Median

June 16, 2024July 4, 2024

Mega-cap exceptionalism’s admittedly a tired topic by now, but then again, it’s the defining characteristic

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France To The Right, UK To The Left

June 16, 2024July 4, 2024

Two of the world’s preeminent democracies will hold pivotal elections in a mere three weeks’

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3 Comments on France To The Right, UK To The Left

Two Weeks In One

June 16, 2024July 4, 2024

One way or another, this’ll be a two-day week for a lot of US market

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6 Comments on Two Weeks In One

Goldman Unveils Five New Scenarios For US Equities

June 15, 2024July 4, 2024

In a best-case scenario, US equities could rise another 16% through year-end. That’s according to

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5 Comments on Goldman Unveils Five New Scenarios For US Equities

A Tale Of Two Markets

June 14, 2024July 4, 2024

US equity funds took in another $6.3 billion on net over the latest weekly reporting

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France Staggers Toward Political, Financial Crises

June 14, 2024July 4, 2024

Bruno Le Maire’s concerned. During an interview with Franceinfo radio, Emmanuel Macron’s finance minister took

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21 Comments on France Staggers Toward Political, Financial Crises

America’s New Sales Pitch

June 14, 2024July 4, 2024

Americans tend to take US “exceptionalism” in all its various manifestations for granted. Rarely do

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15 Comments on America’s New Sales Pitch

Bad Vibes Continue In America Despite Record Stock Prices

June 14, 2024July 4, 2024

US consumer moods deteriorated a third month in early June, the preliminary read on America’s

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Summer Vol Bleed?

June 13, 2024July 4, 2024

It’s probably fair to say US soft landing odds increased materially over the past several

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8 Comments on Summer Vol Bleed?

We Have Your Money. And We’re Giving It To Ukraine.

June 13, 2024July 4, 2024

On Thursday, G7 leaders agreed to a plan that would use investment returns on frozen

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8 Comments on We Have Your Money. And We’re Giving It To Ukraine.

Fed Hawks Frozen As Producer Prices Fall, Jobless Claims Leap

June 13, 2024July 4, 2024

There was more favorable inflation news out of the US on Thursday. 24 hours after

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2 Comments on Fed Hawks Frozen As Producer Prices Fall, Jobless Claims Leap

Six Reasons To Doubt The Fed Dots

June 13, 2024July 4, 2024

The market doesn’t believe the Fed’s new dot plot. At the June FOMC, the Committee

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3 Comments on Six Reasons To Doubt The Fed Dots

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