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Author: therealheisenberg

Are Americans Taking Democracy For Granted?

June 26, 2024July 4, 2024

I wasn’t planning to pen another “end of democracy” article this week. Really I wasn’t.

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2 Comments on Are Americans Taking Democracy For Granted?

Why The Market Can’t Move

June 26, 2024July 4, 2024

“Eye-wateringly dire.” That’s how Nomura’s Charlie McElligott described the vol environment in US equities, where

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1 Comment on Why The Market Can’t Move

Macron, Le Pen And The Perils Of Polarization

June 26, 2024July 4, 2024

It’s hard to feel “bad,” as such, for Emmanuel Macron. He not a terribly sympathetic

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10 Comments on Macron, Le Pen And The Perils Of Polarization

New Home Sales Plunge As US Housing Gridlock Continues

June 26, 2024July 4, 2024

Sales of new US homes plunged in May, according to what I can confidently call

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4 Comments on New Home Sales Plunge As US Housing Gridlock Continues

‘Too Big To Fail’ US Stock Market Isn’t So Exceptional Without Tech

June 25, 2024July 4, 2024

US equities are “too big to fail.” That was one, among many, takeaways from what

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4 Comments on ‘Too Big To Fail’ US Stock Market Isn’t So Exceptional Without Tech

Bubble Or Bust

June 25, 2024July 4, 2024

Three months ago, SocGen’s Manish Kabra dethroned BofA’s Savita Subramanian to become Wall Street’s largest

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3 Comments on Bubble Or Bust

Americans Have An Anxiety Disorder

June 25, 2024July 4, 2024

US consumer confidence slipped in June, as Americans continued to fret about the outlook despite

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18 Comments on Americans Have An Anxiety Disorder

There’s Always The Park Bench

June 25, 2024July 4, 2024

Guess what? US home prices are at record highs. Oh, you already knew that? I

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4 Comments on There’s Always The Park Bench

Who’s Right?

June 25, 2024July 4, 2024

On some days (a lot of days, including the first day of this week) Nvidia

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4 Comments on Who’s Right?

The Bond Conundrum

June 24, 2024July 4, 2024

Bonds have very nearly pulled even for 2024. Maybe you noticed. 10-year US yields were

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Leave a Comment on The Bond Conundrum

How To Lose $400 Billion In Three Days

June 24, 2024July 4, 2024

Nvidia melted into America’s ridiculous heat wave on Monday, when the shares suffered a third

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7 Comments on How To Lose $400 Billion In Three Days

Kolanovic, JPMorgan See ‘Ominous Signs’

June 24, 2024July 4, 2024

“Ominous signs.” Marko Kolanovic sees them. It’s been a long 18 months for bears. I’d

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4 Comments on Kolanovic, JPMorgan See ‘Ominous Signs’

‘Three Potential Candidates’ To Break The Bullish Tape

June 24, 2024July 4, 2024

The stock market’s not the economy. And the economy’s not the stock market. Morgan Stanley’s

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3 Comments on ‘Three Potential Candidates’ To Break The Bullish Tape

The Skinniest US Equity Market Since At Least 1965

June 24, 2024July 4, 2024

If it feels to you like US equity market breadth’s a perennial concern, you’re not

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1 Comment on The Skinniest US Equity Market Since At Least 1965

Where’d The Shorts Go?

June 23, 2024July 4, 2024

Late last week, I spent a few minutes editorializing around record-low short interest on the

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1 Comment on Where’d The Shorts Go?

US Inflation Update In Focus As Stocks Gun For More Records

June 23, 2024July 4, 2024

It’ll be a fairly busy week on the US macro front. An update on the

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5 Comments on US Inflation Update In Focus As Stocks Gun For More Records

Netanyahu Wants His ‘Tools’ Now, Thank You

June 23, 2024July 4, 2024

Israeli defense chief Yoav Gallant is in Washington this week to beg for weapons. If

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3 Comments on Netanyahu Wants His ‘Tools’ Now, Thank You

Sweep Risk

June 22, 2024July 4, 2024

Generally speaking, Americans don’t understand the extent to which democracy’s imperiled. When people hear “democracy

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24 Comments on Sweep Risk

A ‘Nightmare Scenario’

June 21, 2024July 4, 2024

If you’re into nightmare scenarios, I’ve got one for you. I’ll keep it short, commensurate

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4 Comments on A ‘Nightmare Scenario’

#AIcapitulation (God Risk Revisited)

June 21, 2024July 4, 2024

“All roads lead to Nvidia.” That’s the trade. Or at least that’s how the market’s

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5 Comments on #AIcapitulation (God Risk Revisited)

Smash Burgers

June 21, 2024July 4, 2024

Existing home sales held up better than expected last month in the US, but nevertheless

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6 Comments on Smash Burgers

US Economy Stuns Again While Europe Falters

June 21, 2024July 4, 2024

US economic activity picked up further in early June, preliminary PMIs released on Friday showed.

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Money Market Funds See First Outflows Since Tax Week

June 20, 2024July 4, 2024

US money market funds saw their first outflows since tax week, an update released after

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Capture The Mag

June 20, 2024July 4, 2024

Under-capture. That’s the name of the game for (too) many investors in 2024. The ultra-concentrated

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7 Comments on Capture The Mag

JPM Sees ‘Implicit Short Vol Trade’ In Record-Low ETF Short Interest

June 20, 2024July 4, 2024

Short interest on the two predominate ETFs tracking the most important US equity indices has

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Leave a Comment on JPM Sees ‘Implicit Short Vol Trade’ In Record-Low ETF Short Interest

In US Housing, A Builders’ Strike?

June 20, 2024July 4, 2024

You can argue with home builders all day about whether they’re correct to insist that

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15 Comments on In US Housing, A Builders’ Strike?

Continuing Claims May Prod Powell Into Rate Cuts

June 20, 2024July 4, 2024

US jobless claims slipped in the week to June 15, Thursday’s update showed. Initial filers

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