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Featured

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

News Flash: People Hate High Prices

October 11, 2024October 13, 2024

Consumer sentiment undershot expectations in early October, according to the preliminary read on the country’s

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11 Comments on News Flash: People Hate High Prices

JPMorgan Tops Estimates As Dimon Stares Down ‘Treacherous’ World

October 11, 2024October 13, 2024

Jamie Dimon’s hoping for the best, but as ever, his bank’s prepared for the worst.

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PPI Plays Along, But Won’t Quash November ‘Skip’ Chatter

October 11, 2024October 12, 2024

The Fed welcomed some incrementally encouraging news on the inflation front Friday, when US producer

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2 Comments on PPI Plays Along, But Won’t Quash November ‘Skip’ Chatter

Prepping The Pause

October 10, 2024October 11, 2024

If nobody else gets it, Raphael Bostic does. Four hours or so after BLS data

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1 Comment on Prepping The Pause

Are America’s Magnificent Mega-Caps Losing Their Luster?

October 10, 2024October 11, 2024

Are they tired of tech? I suppose it depends on who “they” are and also

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2 Comments on Are America’s Magnificent Mega-Caps Losing Their Luster?

Hedge Funds ‘Rapidly’ Sold Chinese Stocks This Week

October 10, 2024

I’ve cautioned recently against reading too much into a monumental rally in Chinese shares. My

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Leave a Comment on Hedge Funds ‘Rapidly’ Sold Chinese Stocks This Week

Hurricanes And Suicide Missions

October 10, 2024October 11, 2024

On Thursday, a Fed pondering the outlook for the US economy received two potentially impactful

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6 Comments on Hurricanes And Suicide Missions

This Was Not A Good Inflation Report

October 10, 2024October 11, 2024

“US CPI data will likely show further disinflation in September,” read the headline on one

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4 Comments on This Was Not A Good Inflation Report

Promises, Promises

October 9, 2024October 10, 2024

At the September FOMC meeting, “many” Fed officials said the rekindled inflation impulse observed over

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Are We Still In A FOMO Regime?

October 9, 2024

Are we still living in a FOMO regime? How would one go about determining such

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1 Comment on Are We Still In A FOMO Regime?

Iran Spy Chief Qaani ‘Perfectly Healthy.’ Will Get Medal

October 9, 2024October 10, 2024

“Esmail Qaani is, unfortunately, alive,” someone joked on social media Wednesday. I actually don’t know

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15 Comments on Iran Spy Chief Qaani ‘Perfectly Healthy.’ Will Get Medal

US Mortgage Rates Inflect, Rocket Higher

October 9, 2024October 10, 2024

Damn you jobs! Mortgage rates in the US jumped sharply over the last week and

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6 Comments on US Mortgage Rates Inflect, Rocket Higher

Chinese Stocks Crash On Botched Stimmy Reveal

October 9, 2024October 10, 2024

If at first you don’t succeed. Beijing on Wednesday said Finance Minister Lan Fo’an will

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6 Comments on Chinese Stocks Crash On Botched Stimmy Reveal

So Long, Safieddine

October 8, 2024October 9, 2024

The world knew Hashem Safieddine’s name for exactly a week before the IDF buried him

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7 Comments on So Long, Safieddine

Dollar Questions

October 8, 2024October 9, 2024

Ahead of this week’s crucial US CPI report, and with America’s jobs market and service

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1 Comment on Dollar Questions

‘This Is How Policy Mistakes Are Created’

October 8, 2024October 9, 2024

On Tuesday, at an ECB event in Frankfurt, Adriana Kugler said she doesn’t know the

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8 Comments on ‘This Is How Policy Mistakes Are Created’

Zheng’s Epic Fail

October 8, 2024October 9, 2024

If Chinese equities were an instantaneous barometer of Zheng Shanjie’s success in communicating the Party’s

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6 Comments on Zheng’s Epic Fail

Why Not Be Bullish?

October 7, 2024October 8, 2024

The prospects for rapid, deep Fed cuts are diminished following last week’s dramatic upside US

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2 Comments on Why Not Be Bullish?

Wilson Upgrades Cyclicals As Bonds Say Jobs Report Not One-Off

October 7, 2024

The red-hot September jobs report was a game-changer in at least one respect: It compelled

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One Year Later, Israel Forces ‘New Reality’ In Mideast

October 7, 2024October 8, 2024

Hamas still has some rockets. On the (exceedingly grim) anniversary of the October 7 attacks,

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Moment Of Truth Looms For Historic China Rally

October 7, 2024October 8, 2024

If you’re curious as to how committed officials in Beijing really are to the stimulus

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3 Comments on Moment Of Truth Looms For Historic China Rally

2024 Stock Inflows Near Half-Trillion. MMF AUM Swells Further

October 6, 2024October 6, 2024

On the heels of a near $65 billion two-week bonanza, inflows to global equity funds

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Leave a Comment on 2024 Stock Inflows Near Half-Trillion. MMF AUM Swells Further

Quds Chief Qaani, Hezbollah’s Safieddine Incommunicado After Israeli Strike

October 6, 2024October 8, 2024

When Ali Khamenei led the Friday prayer in Tehran for the first time since Qassem

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7 Comments on Quds Chief Qaani, Hezbollah’s Safieddine Incommunicado After Israeli Strike

Market’s CPI Fixation Returns After Hot US Jobs Report

October 6, 2024October 7, 2024

Needless to say, the marquee macro release this week is the September US CPI report.

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10 Comments on Market’s CPI Fixation Returns After Hot US Jobs Report

Goldman Officially Raises S&P Target

October 5, 2024October 7, 2024

Goldman’s David Kostin has seen enough. I won’t bury the lede: The bank’s new official

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8 Comments on Goldman Officially Raises S&P Target

Release The Hawks?

October 4, 2024October 7, 2024

There’s good news and bad news if you’re Jerome Powell. The good news is, the

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3 Comments on Release The Hawks?

So… What Now?

October 4, 2024October 6, 2024

Needless to say, the US rates complex reacted — and I’m searching for the right

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3 Comments on So… What Now?

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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  • T-Dog on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • derek on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • T-Dog on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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