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Featured

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Corporate Equity Bid May Hit $1 Trillion In 2025

October 18, 2024October 18, 2024

Who’s going to buy the stocks? Or, put differently, who’s going to buy stakes in

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2 Comments on Corporate Equity Bid May Hit $1 Trillion In 2025

Bearish Tyranny

October 18, 2024October 21, 2024

People think I’m a China bear. I’m not. I mean, I am in the sense

Read More

9 Comments on Bearish Tyranny

Inflows To Global Stock Funds Officially Surpass Half-Trillion For 2024

October 18, 2024October 20, 2024

Last week’s equity flows story was all about emerging markets and, more to the point,

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3 Comments on Inflows To Global Stock Funds Officially Surpass Half-Trillion For 2024

Mixed Signals From Xi’s Struggling Economy

October 18, 2024October 20, 2024

There was good news and bad news for the Chinese economy on Friday. Let’s start

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3 Comments on Mixed Signals From Xi’s Struggling Economy

‘Everybody’s An Economic Populist Now’

October 17, 2024

I don’t want to dwell too much on hypothetical US election outcomes given the myriad

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2 Comments on ‘Everybody’s An Economic Populist Now’

The End Of Yahya Sinwar

October 17, 2024October 19, 2024

Three years ago, following nearly two weeks of intense clashes between Hamas and the IDF,

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11 Comments on The End Of Yahya Sinwar

Spend It If You Got It!

October 17, 2024October 18, 2024

Surprise! Americans are still spending. Or at least they were last month. A key underlying

Read More

7 Comments on Spend It If You Got It!

Better Safe Than Sorry: ECB Delivers Third Rate Cut

October 17, 2024October 18, 2024

As expected, the ECB cut rates for a third time on Thursday. The move, 25bps,

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1 Comment on Better Safe Than Sorry: ECB Delivers Third Rate Cut

‘The Stock Selloff Is Canceled,’ Rubner Says

October 16, 2024

Looking for a simple bull case? Of course you are. Who’s going to turn down

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Leave a Comment on ‘The Stock Selloff Is Canceled,’ Rubner Says

Inequality’s A Very Big Problem, Albert Edwards Reckons

October 16, 2024October 18, 2024

Albert Edwards suspects there may be “a big problem brewing for investors.” That’s not unusual.

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8 Comments on Inequality’s A Very Big Problem, Albert Edwards Reckons

Buckle Up For A 2.5% Stock ‘Crash’

October 16, 2024

It’s probably fair to suggest the unofficial “consensus” on Wall Street is year-end stock rally.

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2 Comments on Buckle Up For A 2.52 Stock ‘Crash’

Smart Money Rules Out Recession. (SELL!)

October 16, 2024October 17, 2024

If it’s contrarian “sell” signals you’re after, you could do a lot worse than professional

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2 Comments on Smart Money Rules Out Recession. (SELL!)

UK Catches Inflation Break, Teeing Up More BoE Cuts

October 16, 2024October 17, 2024

There are fantastic things happening in the UK macro space. Did you hear? Headline inflation

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2 Comments on UK Catches Inflation Break, Teeing Up More BoE Cuts

‘A Falling-Rates Environment’

October 16, 2024October 17, 2024

Should’ve bought last month! There’s a misconception out there among a lot of would-be American

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4 Comments on ‘A Falling-Rates Environment’

Trump And I

October 15, 2024October 16, 2024

Every now and again, I try to reason with readers who’re supporters of Donald Trump.

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18 Comments on Trump And I

Delinquencies And Financial Death Sentences

October 15, 2024October 16, 2024

The latest installment of the NY Fed’s monthly consumer poll was released on Tuesday. Who’s

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9 Comments on Delinquencies And Financial Death Sentences

‘Evil, Clever Things’

October 15, 2024October 16, 2024

Goldman Sachs. What can you say about it? A lot! If you’re David Solomon, you’ll say

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13 Comments on ‘Evil, Clever Things’

Bank of America Still Going Concern, Q3 Results Suggest

October 15, 2024October 16, 2024

Bank of America’s still a going concern, if you had any doubts. I mean, banks

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1 Comment on Bank of America Still Going Concern, Q3 Results Suggest

How Many Comrades Does It Take To Screw Up A Stimulus Unveil?

October 14, 2024October 15, 2024

Six trillion yuan. That’s the number. Or maybe it’s seven trillion. Or eight trillion. Don’t

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3 Comments on How Many Comrades Does It Take To Screw Up A Stimulus Unveil?

Another Modern Market Melt-Up?

October 14, 2024

If US equities felt melt-up-ish to you midway through Monday’s bond market holiday, it wasn’t

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Leave a Comment on Another Modern Market Melt-Up?

History Doesn’t Support Cash-To-Stocks Rotation Narrative

October 14, 2024October 15, 2024

Will record-high money market fund AUM be deployed into equities now that the Fed’s cutting

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10 Comments on History Doesn’t Support Cash-To-Stocks Rotation Narrative

Exports, Imports And The China Bloc

October 14, 2024October 15, 2024

What happens if export growth falters? That’s a question Chinese officials — and particularly Beijing’s

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8 Comments on Exports, Imports And The China Bloc

Lunatics

October 13, 2024October 15, 2024

Another day in the paradise that is the Holy Land found Israeli tanks bulldozing their

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7 Comments on Lunatics

US Spending Update, ECB Rate Cut Headline Macro Docket

October 13, 2024October 14, 2024

The US data docket’s pretty light this week. If there’s a highlight it’s plainly retail

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Leave a Comment on US Spending Update, ECB Rate Cut Headline Macro Docket

Lackluster Price Data Underscores China’s Deflation Risk

October 13, 2024October 14, 2024

If authorities in Beijing weren’t already under enough pressure to revive domestic demand, Xi’s statisticians

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3 Comments on Lackluster Price Data Underscores China’s Deflation Risk

Brass Tacks. Or A Lack Thereof

October 12, 2024October 14, 2024

Phrases like “without specifying an amount” and “without specifying a time frame” are prevalent in

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6 Comments on Brass Tacks. Or A Lack Thereof

China Stimmy Flows And SPX 6666

October 11, 2024October 13, 2024

Investors put nearly $40 billion to work in global equities over the last week. The

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2 Comments on China Stimmy Flows And SPX 6666

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • T-Dog on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • derek on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • T-Dog on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks
  • John3D on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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