Pre-Election Flows Check
If you were wondering, inflows to US equity funds continued in the lead-up to an
Bonds Had It Comin’. But Everything Has A Price
How unusual is the post-first Fed cut selloff in bond land? The answer is: Pretty
US Factory Recession Worsens, Morphs Into Stagflation
Widgets. They don’t make ’em like they used to. They don’t make ’em where they
Thank You, Hurricanes
The US economy added virtually no jobs in October on net, according to data which
Don’t Worry About That. Worry About This.
“The sea was angry that day, my friends.” The waters were a bit choppy on
Where’s The Fire Now?
I’m a broken record: The Fed should keep rates unchanged at the November policy meeting.
Necessary But Not Sufficient
Good news for a Fed that was (probably) going to cut anyway: Jerome Powell’s favorite
ECB Flummoxed By Abrupt Data U-Turn
A warm GDP release and now an inflation overshoot. Maybe the ECB should’ve waited for
Analogues, Probable Outcomes And Certain Disputes
If you’re curious to know what’s in store for markets following next week’s epoch-making election
‘Fierce’ Mechanical Buying Could Turbocharge A Post-Election Stock Rally
If we can make it through the US election without “incident” — and I’ll let
Free-Spending Americans, Blockbuster Hiring May Complicate Fed Decision
The US economy’s doing pretty well. In aggregate. Note the caveat: In aggregate. There’s absolutely
In Europe, A Dead Cat Bounce?
For the longest time, Europe’s moribund growth profile meant the ECB’s biggest worry was deflation
Alphabet Puts Up Decent Numbers Amid Antitrust Angst
Magnificent 7 laggard Alphabet reported a set of large numbers after the bell on Wall
Never Surrender! (The Trump Premium)
Bonds. Everyone’s talking about them. Well, probably not “everyone.” And if someone is talking about
US Home Price Growth Slows, But Main Street Gut-Punched By Rate-Rise
US home appreciation slowed as summer drew to a close, according to Tuesday’s update on
‘UNRWA Equals Hamas, Period’
The very existence of the UNRWA testifies to the notion, true or not, that a
Goldman’s Rubner Says Don’t Expect Stock-Dip Around US Election
If you’re waiting for a post-election selloff to add risk, maybe don’t. Don’t wait, I
Sell-By Date
Oil was — umm — lower on Monday. I don’t have a model to “prove”
The Big Bond Question
Treasurys, like the nation which issues them, are at a critical juncture. That was the
Rolling The Dice
Donald Trump says sweeping tariffs and draconian immigration curbs wouldn’t rekindle inflation across the US
Is Generative AI A True ‘This Time Is Different’ Moment?
I realize — better than most I’d wager, given how immersed I stay in the
Traders Brace For Macro-Market Circus Ahead Of US Election
Brace yourselves: The days leading into the US jobs report will be busy. Every now
Hyped-Up Hyperscalers
The big guns report this week. Israel will be firing lots of large weapons. See
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