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Featured

‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026
  • There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

    September 21, 2026September 21, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 21, 2026

Markets

Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • Relief

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Holding Pattern

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Deal Dash

April 8, 2025April 8, 2025

China’s going to “fight to the end.” Japan’s going to make a deal. Or something.

Read More

7 Comments on Deal Dash

What Just Happened To US Treasurys?

April 7, 2025April 7, 2025

What happened to the US long-end on Monday? That was the question — or one

Read More

4 Comments on What Just Happened To US Treasurys?

Ron Vara’s War And Trump’s Banana Republic

April 7, 2025April 8, 2025

I was pleasantly surprised on Monday: Virtually no one whose job it is to weigh

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12 Comments on Ron Vara’s War And Trump’s Banana Republic

With Apologies To Clown Shows…

April 7, 2025April 8, 2025

Donald Trump on Monday threatened an incremental 50% tariff on China starting immediately if Beijing

Read More

29 Comments on With Apologies To Clown Shows…

Trump As ‘Human VVIX’: McElligott On The Meltdown

April 7, 2025April 8, 2025

If you were wondering how Charlie McElligott celebrated “Liberation Day,” the answer is that he

Read More

11 Comments on Trump As ‘Human VVIX’: McElligott On The Meltdown

Carnage. Utter Carnage

April 7, 2025April 8, 2025

Monday was a God-awful session for equity benchmarks around the world. By “God-awful” I mean

Read More

14 Comments on Carnage. Utter Carnage

US Stocks Saw Second Week Of Outflows In Tariff Unveil Lead-Up

April 6, 2025April 6, 2025

If you were wondering, US equities saw more outflows in the lead up to “Liberation

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Leave a Comment on US Stocks Saw Second Week Of Outflows In Tariff Unveil Lead-Up

‘Interesting’ Days!

April 6, 2025April 7, 2025

It’s all about tariffs this week. That goes without saying. A benign scenario finds the

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8 Comments on ‘Interesting’ Days!

So…. Who’s Gonna Lie To Clients This Week?

April 6, 2025April 7, 2025

This week better not go like last week. Seriously, it better not. If we all

Read More

20 Comments on So…. Who’s Gonna Lie To Clients This Week?

Saudi Stocks Plunge Most Since Pandemic As Riyadh Gambles On Oil Supply

April 6, 2025April 7, 2025

It was ugly Sunday in the catch-up trade from Wall Street’s late-week bloodletting. Regional losses

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3 Comments on Saudi Stocks Plunge Most Since Pandemic As Riyadh Gambles On Oil Supply

Is The Damage Done?

April 5, 2025April 7, 2025

“The damage is done.” I keep hearing that vis-à-vis Donald Trump’s botched “Liberation Day” unveil,

Read More

16 Comments on Is The Damage Done?

Meltdown

April 4, 2025April 6, 2025

Donald Trump tried to put on a brave face Friday, but he wasn’t fooling anyone:

Read More

41 Comments on Meltdown

As Trump Demands Rate Cuts, ‘JEROME’ Warns On Stagflation

April 4, 2025April 6, 2025

As US stocks plunged again on Friday, Donald Trump had a message for Jerome Powell.

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6 Comments on As Trump Demands Rate Cuts, ‘JEROME’ Warns On Stagflation

Trump Tariffs Are $700 Billion Tax Hike, Will Probably Cause Recession

April 4, 2025April 6, 2025

America’s largest bank now thinks a US recession is more likely than not in 2025.

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14 Comments on Trump Tariffs Are $700 Billion Tax Hike, Will Probably Cause Recession

‘I’ll Never Change!’ Trump Fumes As China Strikes Back

April 4, 2025April 4, 2025

Beijing didn’t take Donald Trump’s tariffs lying down. No, instead Xi Jinping slapped a 34%

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20 Comments on ‘I’ll Never Change!’ Trump Fumes As China Strikes Back

Solid US Jobs Report May Struggle To Offset Tariff Anxiety

April 4, 2025April 5, 2025

Happily, the US added far more jobs than anyone thought possible in March, according to

Read More

3 Comments on Solid US Jobs Report May Struggle To Offset Tariff Anxiety

Bad Apple?

April 3, 2025

Bill Gross doesn’t think you should buy the dip. “Investors should not try to ‘catch

Read More

9 Comments on Bad Apple?

An ‘Insane,’ ‘Crazy,’ ‘Embarrassing’ Fiasco

April 3, 2025April 4, 2025

It’s a good thing “you can’t really watch the stock market,” as Donald Trump told

Read More

29 Comments on An ‘Insane,’ ‘Crazy,’ ‘Embarrassing’ Fiasco

Bottom Falls Out For Key Measure Of US Services Employment

April 3, 2025April 4, 2025

Markets beset by tariff worries could’ve done without a very poor read on a key

Read More

1 Comment on Bottom Falls Out For Key Measure Of US Services Employment

Layoff Announcements Go Vertical On Musk Effect

April 3, 2025April 4, 2025

Last month “would’ve been a fairly quiet month for layoffs” in America. Would’ve. Should’ve. Could’ve.

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Tariff Man’s Not Much For Mathing

April 3, 2025April 4, 2025

It’d be “complex, if not impossible,” the United States Trade Representative said, to “comput[e] the

Read More

26 Comments on Tariff Man’s Not Much For Mathing

‘Free At Last, Free At Last’

April 2, 2025April 3, 2025

“For years, hard-working American citizens were forced to sit on the sidelines as other nations

Read More

37 Comments on ‘Free At Last, Free At Last’

D.C. Power Couple Reportedly Calling It Quits After Three Months

April 2, 2025April 3, 2025

Well, it was fun while it lasted. Elon Musk will reportedly step away from his

Read More

15 Comments on D.C. Power Couple Reportedly Calling It Quits After Three Months

Ophidia Mini

April 2, 2025April 3, 2025

How’s the US consumer? Well, as ever, that depends on who you mean by “the

Read More

4 Comments on Ophidia Mini

Another Bull Cuts S&P Forecast Citing ‘Crisis Of Confidence’ In America

April 2, 2025April 3, 2025

America’s experiencing a “crisis of confidence” and the US “exceptionalism” narrative needs a new catalyst.

Read More

5 Comments on Another Bull Cuts S&P Forecast Citing ‘Crisis Of Confidence’ In America

US Private Hiring Comes Up Roses In Rare Macro Reprieve

April 2, 2025April 2, 2025

US equities (to say nothing of the Trump administration, assuming, perhaps misguidedly, they still care

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Leave a Comment on US Private Hiring Comes Up Roses In Rare Macro Reprieve

2025’s Treasury Rally Is ‘Clear Nod To Stagflation’

April 1, 2025

Donald Trump and Scott Bessent wanted to get 10-year US Treasury yields down, and they

Read More

2 Comments on 2025’s Treasury Rally Is ‘Clear Nod To Stagflation’

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • WeeblesWobble (ButTheyDon'tFallDown) on ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!
  • Wave Dash on ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!
  • Blognonymous on There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…
  • Mr. Dog on ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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