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Featured

‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026
  • There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

    September 21, 2026September 21, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 21, 2026

Markets

Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • Relief

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Holding Pattern

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Flinches

April 14, 2025April 15, 2025

A lot of posturing aside, it’s pretty obvious that Donald Trump reached his pain threshold

Read More

10 Comments on Flinches

Are The Machines Done Selling?

April 14, 2025April 14, 2025

Early Monday, I revisited “doom loop” dynamics. A fixture of modern market structure is the

Read More

3 Comments on Are The Machines Done Selling?

Fed Survey Paints Dour Picture Of Household Moods

April 14, 2025April 15, 2025

The good news is, household inflation expectations didn’t “moon” in the latest edition of the

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1 Comment on Fed Survey Paints Dour Picture Of Household Moods

Tariff Drama Activated Equity Market ‘Doom Loop’

April 14, 2025April 15, 2025

Remember: Volatility and liquidity tend to be inversely correlated. That’s part and parcel of the

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2 Comments on Tariff Drama Activated Equity Market ‘Doom Loop’

‘Insightful’ Goldman Rings Up Huge Stock-Trading Haul

April 14, 2025April 15, 2025

At least somebody benefited from a rocky start to the year for US equities. “Somebody”

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Leave a Comment on ‘Insightful’ Goldman Rings Up Huge Stock-Trading Haul

Damage Control Or More Damage?

April 13, 2025April 14, 2025

One might’ve assumed this would be a damage control week for The White House. After

Read More

3 Comments on Damage Control Or More Damage?

‘From One Bucket Of Tariffs To A Different Bucket Of Potential Tariffs’

April 13, 2025April 14, 2025

The Trump administration’s now seemingly bent on undermining their own damage control initiatives before markets

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6 Comments on ‘From One Bucket Of Tariffs To A Different Bucket Of Potential Tariffs’

iFold

April 13, 2025April 14, 2025

Donald Trump’s in the process of trying to fix what he broke. Over the weekend,

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16 Comments on iFold

How Long Until Scott Bessent Gets Fired Or Quits?

April 12, 2025April 14, 2025

A few days ago, one brave reader endeavored to lecture me on the alleged genius

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32 Comments on How Long Until Scott Bessent Gets Fired Or Quits?

The ‘Science Fiction’ Scenario’s Upon Us

April 11, 2025April 13, 2025

What happened to that long bond call, Mike? I’m just kidding. But BofA’s most prominent

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17 Comments on The ‘Science Fiction’ Scenario’s Upon Us

Behold: The Worst Consumer Sentiment Report Ever

April 11, 2025April 13, 2025

Not surprisingly, the marquee gauge of consumer sentiment in the US printed what may as

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22 Comments on Behold: The Worst Consumer Sentiment Report Ever

The Banks Are Fine. But Expect ‘Considerable Turbulence’

April 11, 2025April 13, 2025

Well, at least the banks are ok. For now. JPMorgan beat estimates and lifted its

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2 Comments on The Banks Are Fine. But Expect ‘Considerable Turbulence’

Another Favorable US Inflation Report Lost To Trade War’s Fog

April 11, 2025April 12, 2025

There was more good news on the inflation front in the US Friday, when PPI

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3 Comments on Another Favorable US Inflation Report Lost To Trade War’s Fog

Wharton Budget Model Projects Disastrous Hit To Families, GDP From Trump Tariffs

April 10, 2025

The math’s done. The verdict’s in. Tariffs are guilty as charged. On Thursday, the Penn

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6 Comments on Wharton Budget Model Projects Disastrous Hit To Families, GDP From Trump Tariffs

Scary Stuff

April 10, 2025April 11, 2025

I hope you like excitement. Because these are exciting times. If you’re an adrenaline junkie,

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22 Comments on Scary Stuff

Sir, Just To Confirm, Is A Depression Part Of The Plan Too?

April 10, 2025April 11, 2025

If you’re curious, the fallout from “Liberation Day” triggered the biggest — which is to

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10 Comments on Sir, Just To Confirm, Is A Depression Part Of The Plan Too?

Best US Inflation Report In Five Years Overshadowed By Tariffs

April 10, 2025April 11, 2025

Good news. Unfortunately, it’s too stale to matter, because in a Donald Trump presidency, anything

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3 Comments on Best US Inflation Report In Five Years Overshadowed By Tariffs

Losing Everything

April 9, 2025April 11, 2025

If the problem is that no one knows what US trade policy will be from

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15 Comments on Losing Everything

Trump Folds

April 9, 2025April 10, 2025

Late last week, following the worst two-session slide for US equities since the financial crisis

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17 Comments on Trump Folds

A Direct Question

April 9, 2025April 10, 2025

Whether you realized it or not, you just lived through the most important 10-year US

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10 Comments on A Direct Question

Trump’s ‘High People Idea’ Would Double Cost Of iPhones

April 9, 2025April 9, 2025

Dave Chappelle’s in the news this week. As someone who was relatively young (I mean,

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3 Comments on Trump’s ‘High People Idea’ Would Double Cost Of iPhones

Shades Of Baghdad Bob As Bessent, Trump Deny US Bond Blaze

April 9, 2025April 9, 2025

Scott Bessent on Wednesday tried to wave away some of the worst Treasury market turmoil

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11 Comments on Shades Of Baghdad Bob As Bessent, Trump Deny US Bond Blaze

Tariffs Trigger Treasury Meltdown, Dollar ‘Close To Crisis’

April 9, 2025April 10, 2025

Well, it’s upon us: The moment when higher US yields aren’t sufficient to attract buyers

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11 Comments on Tariffs Trigger Treasury Meltdown, Dollar ‘Close To Crisis’

Scott, My Friend, You May Have A Problem

April 8, 2025April 9, 2025

There’s a burgeoning problem in USD rates and specifically in Treasurys. This is quickly becoming

Read More

16 Comments on Scott, My Friend, You May Have A Problem

Goldilocks And The Three Bears

April 8, 2025April 9, 2025

“Structural.” You’ve probably heard that term bandied about a lot in recent days in the

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7 Comments on Goldilocks And The Three Bears

Can We Get A Do-Over?

April 8, 2025April 9, 2025

The White House on Tuesday afternoon said Donald Trump intended to go ahead with the

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21 Comments on Can We Get A Do-Over?

What If Trump Just Repudiates America’s Debt?

April 8, 2025April 9, 2025

There are still no clear answers as to what happened to Treasurys to start the

Read More

26 Comments on What If Trump Just Repudiates America’s Debt?

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • WeeblesWobble (ButTheyDon'tFallDown) on ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!
  • Wave Dash on ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!
  • Blognonymous on There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…
  • Mr. Dog on ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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