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Featured

Jensen Got Honey-Trapped

November 8, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Rasputin Presiding

    November 8, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Inflation Week!

    November 8, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Weekly: Melodrama

    November 7, 2026November 7, 2026

Markets

‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

    November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

economy

Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

November 3, 2026November 8, 2026

Catalan Parliament Votes To Declare Independent State

October 27, 2017October 27, 2017

CATALAN PARLIAMENT VOTES TO IMPLEMENT INDEPENDENT STATE

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2 Comments on Catalan Parliament Votes To Declare Independent State

Trump Tries To Wish Lee Greenwood Happy B-Day, Ends Up Tweeting Some Random Redskins Fan

October 27, 2017October 27, 2017

“Your beautiful song has made such a difference”

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1 Comment on Trump Tries To Wish Lee Greenwood Happy B-Day, Ends Up Tweeting Some Random Redskins Fan

Revisiting The Only Thing That Matters In A Taper: Stock Vs. Flow Effects

October 27, 2017October 27, 2017

As a reminder, no one knows the answer to this yet. That’s how it works with things that are “unprecedented.”

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A ‘Bleak’ Near-Term Outlook For EURUSD

October 27, 2017October 27, 2017

“Narratives often dominate fundamentals for weeks at a time. Often, old data will be looked at in a new, supportive light when the story shifts, while fresh, contradictory information is dismissed.”

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1 Comment on A ‘Bleak’ Near-Term Outlook For EURUSD

Key Calls (Friday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations

October 27, 2017October 27, 2017

You need an upgrade.

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Leave a Comment on Key Calls (Friday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations

George W. Bush Helped Bring Us Trump And One Speech Doesn’t Change That

October 26, 2017October 26, 2017

“But a more careful look at Trump and Bush’s records shouldn’t elevate Bush; it should remind us that the two presidents have more in common than they care publicly to admit.”

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13 Comments on George W. Bush Helped Bring Us Trump And One Speech Doesn’t Change That

No Talent.

October 26, 2017

Color me incredulous.

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3 Comments on No Talent.

Never Go Full-Trichet

October 26, 2017October 26, 2017

“The reality is that no country can afford to have the most aggressively tight monetary policy. Whoever is foolish enough to attempt to return their monetary policy to normalcy, finds themselves at the end of a strong currency, and importing all the world’s deflation.”

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1 Comment on Never Go Full-Trichet

‘Crisis’ Averted.

October 26, 2017October 26, 2017

Now back to your regularly scheduled rally.

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1 Comment on ‘Crisis’ Averted.

‘Wolves’: Albert Edwards Returns To Outline The ‘Nightmare Scenario’

October 26, 2017October 26, 2017

“It could happen tomorrow given the extreme expense of US equities and the near universal consensus of a continued acceleration in the economic cycle despite the Fed also in the midst of a tightening cycle.”

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Leave a Comment on ‘Wolves’: Albert Edwards Returns To Outline The ‘Nightmare Scenario’

Trader: ‘Stocks Are Overvalued And We All Know It’

October 26, 2017October 26, 2017

“The debate continues to rage over whether and why equities are overvalued. Ultimately, it’s a waste of time.”

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In Most Aggressive Push By U.S. Social Media Yet, Twitter Bans Sputnik, RT Ads ‘Effective Immediately’

October 26, 2017October 26, 2017

“Twitter has made the policy decision to off-board advertising from all accounts owned by Russia Today (RT) and Sputnik, effective immediately.”

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6 Comments on In Most Aggressive Push By U.S. Social Media Yet, Twitter Bans Sputnik, RT Ads ‘Effective Immediately’

You’ll Get Your ‘War’ Steve: GOP Establishment Launches Push To ‘Personally Attack’ Bannon

October 26, 2017October 26, 2017

“This is a guy who is more interested in seeing his name in the headlines than he is in any kind of accomplishment for the president.”

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3 Comments on You’ll Get Your ‘War’ Steve: GOP Establishment Launches Push To ‘Personally Attack’ Bannon

Yes, I’ll Have The ‘Taper’ But Is It Possible To Ask The Chef To Leave Off The ‘Tantrum’?

October 26, 2017

“It looks like the ECB is managing a taper without a tantrum. For the first time in many meetings we got a truly different policy statement and one that seems to strike a pretty good balance between the hawks and the doves.”

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Leave a Comment on Yes, I’ll Have The ‘Taper’ But Is It Possible To Ask The Chef To Leave Off The ‘Tantrum’?

Yellen, Warsh Out Of The Running For Fed: Politico

October 26, 2017October 26, 2017

“President Trump changes his opinion on the issue every day, so it can’t be assumed Powell and Taylor are the only possible choices.”

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5 Comments on Yellen, Warsh Out Of The Running For Fed: Politico

ECB Announces Dovish Taper, Euro Slides

October 26, 2017October 26, 2017

“From January 2018 the net asset purchases are intended to continue at a monthly pace of €30 billion until the end of September 2018, or beyond, if necessary, and in any case until the Governing Council sees a sustained adjustment in the path of inflation consistent with its inflation aim.”

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Spanish Stocks Soar On ‘Good’ Catalonia News

October 26, 2017October 26, 2017

“They’re caught in a mousetrap. It seems their own decisions are producing vertigo.”

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Leave a Comment on Spanish Stocks Soar On ‘Good’ Catalonia News

The Key Risk From Draghi Isn’t A Taper Tantrum, It’s This…

October 26, 2017October 26, 2017

“Against this benign environment, the key risk isn’t that the ECB is going to set off a sustained bond bear market.”

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Leave a Comment on The Key Risk From Draghi Isn’t A Taper Tantrum, It’s This…

Key Calls (Thursday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations

October 26, 2017October 26, 2017

You need an upgrade.

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Leave a Comment on Key Calls (Thursday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations

Bush Counterterrorism Prosecutor: ‘I Prosecuted Terrorists And Now My Family Can’t Come To America’

October 25, 2017October 25, 2017

“In many ways, my family was the picture of assimilation.”

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Leave a Comment on Bush Counterterrorism Prosecutor: ‘I Prosecuted Terrorists And Now My Family Can’t Come To America’

Trump To Dobbs: ‘When I Say Maybe, I Think I Know Exactly What I’m Talking About’

October 25, 2017October 25, 2017

Also, ‘Xi is King of China.’

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8 Comments on Trump To Dobbs: ‘When I Say Maybe, I Think I Know Exactly What I’m Talking About’

A Dark Side Stab On China’s Minsky Moment

October 25, 2017October 25, 2017

“China is the tail that wags the dog. Full stop. Figure out China, and all the other financial market forecasts become that much easier.”

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Leave a Comment on A Dark Side Stab On China’s Minsky Moment

Fireworks.

October 25, 2017October 25, 2017

“…or what counts as ‘fireworks.'”

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3 Comments on Fireworks.

Gary Cohn’s Anti-Nazi Leanings Not Welcome At Trump’s Fed, Will Leave White House After Tax Deal: BBG

October 25, 2017October 25, 2017

“I’m sorry Gary, you seem like a good guy and all, but when it comes to dictating monetary policy we’re looking for someone who’s more closely aligned with our feelings on the whole Master Race thing.

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3 Comments on Gary Cohn’s Anti-Nazi Leanings Not Welcome At Trump’s Fed, Will Leave White House After Tax Deal: BBG

Trump: War Widow Is Wrong Because ‘I Have One Of The Great Memories Of All-Time’

October 25, 2017

That, by extension, means it’s entirely possible that Myeshia Johnson just isn’t remembering her call with the President correctly. 

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2 Comments on Trump: War Widow Is Wrong Because ‘I Have One Of The Great Memories Of All-Time’

Did Fox News Just Officially Rule Out Janet Yellen?

October 25, 2017October 25, 2017

I LIKE’ YELLEN BUT `YOU HAVE TO MAKE’ OWN MARK

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4 Comments on Did Fox News Just Officially Rule Out Janet Yellen?

Stocks Are ‘Plunging’ – Cue The Peanut Gallery

October 25, 2017October 25, 2017

Now go write your own script.

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3 Comments on Stocks Are ‘Plunging’ – Cue The Peanut Gallery

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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