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Featured

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

    November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

    October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026

Markets

What’s What And WTF?

October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Unshackled (Redux): Nomura’s McElligott Sees Potential For Wider Price Moves Next Week

May 14, 2020

Prepare for a possible ‘unclenching’.

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7 Comments on Unshackled (Redux): Nomura’s McElligott Sees Potential For Wider Price Moves Next Week

Jonathan Ferro Has A Message For Washington: ‘You’re Doing It Quite Wrong’

May 14, 2020May 14, 2020

“If you’re looking for five tech stocks to break down before you do more in Washington…”

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6 Comments on Jonathan Ferro Has A Message For Washington: ‘You’re Doing It Quite Wrong’

We’ve Reached The ‘P/E Ratios Are Irrelevant’ Stage

May 14, 2020May 14, 2020

“…three-quarters of the way to the Tech Bubble high.”

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2 Comments on We’ve Reached The ‘P/E Ratios Are Irrelevant’ Stage

36.5 Million And Counting

May 14, 2020May 14, 2020

Fingers crossed that those describing their predicament as “temporary” are correct. 

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2 Comments on 36.5 Million And Counting

Trump Ramps Up China Threats. Says US ‘Looking Strongly’ At Chinese Stocks Listed On NYSE, Nasdaq

May 14, 2020May 14, 2020

The US president also claimed he “has a lot of information” on China and the origins of COVID-19.

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6 Comments on Trump Ramps Up China Threats. Says US ‘Looking Strongly’ At Chinese Stocks Listed On NYSE, Nasdaq

‘Barely Legal’

May 13, 2020May 13, 2020

Dollars, dictators, Debbie downers and determined Democrats.

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9 Comments on ‘Barely Legal’

‘No Means No’: Critics Plead With Fed To Avoid Negative Rates Amid Pressure From Trump, Markets

May 13, 2020

“We are grasping at straws and if push comes to shove, anything goes”.

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4 Comments on ‘No Means No’: Critics Plead With Fed To Avoid Negative Rates Amid Pressure From Trump, Markets

David Tepper: This Is The Second-Most Overvalued Market In History

May 13, 2020May 13, 2020

“Do you feel the same way that Stanley does?”

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1 Comment on David Tepper: This Is The Second-Most Overvalued Market In History

‘Cold War 2.0’ Is Still A Thing. And One Bank Is Astounded At The Lack Of Media Coverage

May 13, 2020May 13, 2020

“Why not push back?”

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8 Comments on ‘Cold War 2.0’ Is Still A Thing. And One Bank Is Astounded At The Lack Of Media Coverage

Jerome Powell: The US Economy Is Drowning. Congress Needs To Spend More Or Risk Permanent Damage

May 13, 2020May 13, 2020

“This reversal of economic fortune has caused a level of pain that is hard to capture in words.”

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17 Comments on Jerome Powell: The US Economy Is Drowning. Congress Needs To Spend More Or Risk Permanent Damage

Sickened Meat Workers Describe ‘Modern Slavery’ In Germany, While America’s Pork, Beef Crisis Spirals

May 13, 2020May 13, 2020

“Like a lion in a cage.”

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9 Comments on Sickened Meat Workers Describe ‘Modern Slavery’ In Germany, While America’s Pork, Beef Crisis Spirals

Of Doves And Depressions

May 13, 2020May 13, 2020

“Whatever it takes.”

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Leave a Comment on Of Doves And Depressions

Stan Druckenmiller: ‘This Is The Most Bizarre Process I Have Ever Seen’

May 12, 2020May 12, 2020

“The risk-reward for equity is maybe as bad as I’ve seen it in my career.”

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10 Comments on Stan Druckenmiller: ‘This Is The Most Bizarre Process I Have Ever Seen’

Apple’s Many Eyes, ‘Dire Scenarios’ And A Glimpse At The New, Post-COVID ‘Normal’

May 12, 2020June 15, 2020

“”If hot spots keep popping up it will be an ongoing reminder.”

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4 Comments on Apple’s Many Eyes, ‘Dire Scenarios’ And A Glimpse At The New, Post-COVID ‘Normal’

The Stars May Have Just Aligned For Another Risk-Off Episode

May 12, 2020May 12, 2020

… a reminder that despite the surprising durability of the bounce, downside catalysts are myriad. 

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8 Comments on The Stars May Have Just Aligned For Another Risk-Off Episode

Lindsey Graham Presses China Sanctions. Demands Beijing ‘Provide Full Accounting’ Of Coronavirus Outbreak

May 12, 2020May 12, 2020

This sets the stage for spiraling tensions at a delicate juncture.

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6 Comments on Lindsey Graham Presses China Sanctions. Demands Beijing ‘Provide Full Accounting’ Of Coronavirus Outbreak

Trump To Powell On Negative Rates: Don’t Look A ‘GIFT’ Horse In The Mouth!

May 12, 2020May 12, 2020

“Big numbers!”

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7 Comments on Trump To Powell On Negative Rates: Don’t Look A ‘GIFT’ Horse In The Mouth!

In FOMO Versus FOVA World, Nomura’s McElligott Says It’s ‘Long The Stuff That Can Grow’

May 12, 2020

We’ve been here before.

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9 Comments on In FOMO Versus FOVA World, Nomura’s McElligott Says It’s ‘Long The Stuff That Can Grow’

Core Prices Fall Most In History While Cost Of Groceries Jumps Most In 46 Years

May 12, 2020May 12, 2020

Is coronavirus a deflationary supernova or just a recipe for the return of inflation?

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6 Comments on Core Prices Fall Most In History While Cost Of Groceries Jumps Most In 46 Years

Nobody Has ‘Prevailed’ Over Coronavirus. This Is Now A War Of Attrition

May 12, 2020May 12, 2020

The virus has other ideas. 

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16 Comments on Nobody Has ‘Prevailed’ Over Coronavirus. This Is Now A War Of Attrition

Trump Bans Fund From Buying Chinese Stocks In First Step Towards Capital Restrictions

May 12, 2020May 12, 2020

“These events dramatically increase the risk that Chinese companies could be subject to sanctions or boycotts.”

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5 Comments on Trump Bans Fund From Buying Chinese Stocks In First Step Towards Capital Restrictions

‘Ask China’: Trump Stokes Fears Of Tension With Beijing During Exchange With Weijia Jiang

May 11, 2020May 12, 2020

“I’m not interested in that.”

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2 Comments on ‘Ask China’: Trump Stokes Fears Of Tension With Beijing During Exchange With Weijia Jiang

Howard Marks’s Latest Memo Is His Worst Ever. And It Saddens Me Greatly To Say That

May 11, 2020May 11, 2020

About that much, I am certain.

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15 Comments on Howard Marks’s Latest Memo Is His Worst Ever. And It Saddens Me Greatly To Say That

Will The Fed Buy Stocks? It’s Not Their ‘First Impulse,’ But You Never Know!

May 11, 2020May 11, 2020

“My first impulse is that is not something we would entertain”.

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3 Comments on Will The Fed Buy Stocks? It’s Not Their ‘First Impulse,’ But You Never Know!

As Fed Wades Into Credit, One Bank’s Clients Are ‘The Most Bearish On Fundamentals We Have Ever Seen’

May 11, 2020May 11, 2020

“So it would be helpful if you soon began buying in size”.

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4 Comments on As Fed Wades Into Credit, One Bank’s Clients Are ‘The Most Bearish On Fundamentals We Have Ever Seen’

In Saudi Arabia, Desperation Is In The Air

May 11, 2020

Too late.

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oil, OPEC2 Comments on In Saudi Arabia, Desperation Is In The Air

If Trump And Meat Executives Are So Worried About Shortages, Why Are They Shipping America’s Pork To China?

May 11, 2020May 11, 2020

This raises uncomfortable questions going forward.

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4 Comments on If Trump And Meat Executives Are So Worried About Shortages, Why Are They Shipping America’s Pork To China?

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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