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Featured

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

    November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

    October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026

Markets

What’s What And WTF?

October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

WHO, Nasdaq Crackdown Are Double-Barreled Reality Check On Simmering International Tensions

May 19, 2020May 19, 2020

All is not well.

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12 Comments on WHO, Nasdaq Crackdown Are Double-Barreled Reality Check On Simmering International Tensions

Here’s A Thought: What If (Almost) Everybody Is Wrong?

May 18, 2020May 19, 2020

“This would be perhaps the biggest surprise to markets.”

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8 Comments on Here’s A Thought: What If (Almost) Everybody Is Wrong?

Caveat Emptor.

May 18, 2020May 18, 2020

Of course, all the usual disclaimers apply.

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9 Comments on Caveat Emptor.

Morgan’s Mike Wilson On The Rally: This Looks Like 2009 With ‘One Major Outlier’

May 18, 2020May 18, 2020

With financial repression alive and well, “it really isn’t different this time”.

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4 Comments on Morgan’s Mike Wilson On The Rally: This Looks Like 2009 With ‘One Major Outlier’

An Aggrieved Howard Marks Warns Fed Action Risks Creating ‘A Fake, Potemkin Market’

May 18, 2020

Another incredulous “legend”, robbed of an opportunity to make (more) millions.

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11 Comments on An Aggrieved Howard Marks Warns Fed Action Risks Creating ‘A Fake, Potemkin Market’

Nomura’s Charlie McElligott: ‘Money Printer Go Brrrrrrrrrrrrr’

May 18, 2020May 18, 2020

Also, there’s vaccine euphoria in the air.

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5 Comments on Nomura’s Charlie McElligott: ‘Money Printer Go Brrrrrrrrrrrrr’

‘The Chinese Are Buying Everything In Sight’: Xi Conjures Astounding Oil Demand Recovery

May 18, 2020May 18, 2020

Chinese oil demand seen in ‘remarkable’ rebound to near pre-virus levels.

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oil2 Comments on ‘The Chinese Are Buying Everything In Sight’: Xi Conjures Astounding Oil Demand Recovery

Damn The Depression. Onward And Upward. With Apologies To The ‘Legendary People’

May 18, 2020May 18, 2020

It’s not “supposed” to be this way, after all.

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4 Comments on Damn The Depression. Onward And Upward. With Apologies To The ‘Legendary People’

Tensions Weren’t High Enough, So Peter Navarro Accused China Of ‘Seeding’ New York With Virus

May 17, 2020May 17, 2020

“That’s why I say the Chinese did that to Americans”.

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5 Comments on Tensions Weren’t High Enough, So Peter Navarro Accused China Of ‘Seeding’ New York With Virus

Jay Powell Skeptical Of Full Recovery Without Vaccine. Says ‘No Limit’ To What Fed Can Do Under Lending Powers.

May 17, 2020May 18, 2020

“There is… no limit to what we can do with these lending programs”.

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6 Comments on Jay Powell Skeptical Of Full Recovery Without Vaccine. Says ‘No Limit’ To What Fed Can Do Under Lending Powers.

Imagine This: 25% Of America’s Restaurants May Disappear Forever

May 17, 2020May 17, 2020

For many of these establishments, it’s already too late.

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6 Comments on Imagine This: 256 Of America’s Restaurants May Disappear Forever

Goldman: Quarterly EPS Growth Will Be Negative At Least Through 2020

May 17, 2020

A maddeningly slow rebound.

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5 Comments on Goldman: Quarterly EPS Growth Will Be Negative At Least Through 2020

The ‘Winner-Take-All’ Market And Our ‘Scroll Hypnosis’ Economy

May 17, 2020May 17, 2020

“The stuff that can grow”.

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6 Comments on The ‘Winner-Take-All’ Market And Our ‘Scroll Hypnosis’ Economy

Trump, Pompeo Risk New Firestorm With Brazen Move Against State Watchdog

May 16, 2020

You should expect an investigation.

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4 Comments on Trump, Pompeo Risk New Firestorm With Brazen Move Against State Watchdog

Pandemic Panic Produced Historic, Quarter-Trillion Decline In Foreign Treasury Pile

May 16, 2020May 16, 2020

March’s historic tumult produces another record.

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Leave a Comment on Pandemic Panic Produced Historic, Quarter-Trillion Decline In Foreign Treasury Pile

Will Trump Gamble 20% Of The US Stock Market To Pursue Big Tech Grudge? ‘Stay Tuned!’

May 16, 2020May 17, 2020

An “illegal situation”.

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8 Comments on Will Trump Gamble 208 Of The US Stock Market To Pursue Big Tech Grudge? ‘Stay Tuned!’

Administered Markets: The Ultimate Manifestation Of ‘Don’t Fight The Fed’

May 16, 2020May 16, 2020

We’re not all the way down the road to 100% administered markets, but the crisis has accelerated our journey.

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6 Comments on Administered Markets: The Ultimate Manifestation Of ‘Don’t Fight The Fed’

Sobering.

May 15, 2020May 16, 2020

“Investors have a lot to think about.”

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oil5 Comments on Sobering.

Maybe We Need To Worry About COVID Inflation After All…

May 15, 2020May 15, 2020

Sticker shock at the grocery store? Or too many “meat shortage” headlines?

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5 Comments on Maybe We Need To Worry About COVID Inflation After All…

One Year After Centennial Celebration, America’s Oldest Factory Index Falls Most In 101 Years

May 15, 2020May 15, 2020

This kind of outright cessation of economic activity cannot possibly heal without scars. 

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5 Comments on One Year After Centennial Celebration, America’s Oldest Factory Index Falls Most In 101 Years

US Retail Sales Are Total Disaster. Clothing Stores See 90% Plunge From Last Year.

May 15, 2020May 15, 2020

April’s numbers were worse than already dour estimates. The comps with last year are astounding.

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2 Comments on US Retail Sales Are Total Disaster. Clothing Stores See 902 Plunge From Last Year.

If You Squint, There’s Some Hope In The Empire Survey. But Mind The Capex Plans.

May 15, 2020May 15, 2020

“Good” is an extremely relative term.

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1 Comment on If You Squint, There’s Some Hope In The Empire Survey. But Mind The Capex Plans.

‘Dangerous Sparring’: Trump Turns Screws On Huawei, Prompting Chinese Threats Against Apple, Boeing

May 15, 2020May 15, 2020

“If the US further blocks key technology supply to Huawei, China will activate the ‘unreliable entity list.”

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17 Comments on ‘Dangerous Sparring’: Trump Turns Screws On Huawei, Prompting Chinese Threats Against Apple, Boeing

Germany Suffers Second Largest Contraction Since Unification. And There’s More To Come.

May 15, 2020May 15, 2020

“The recovery began with the cautious lifting of the lockdown at the beginning of May, but…”

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Leave a Comment on Germany Suffers Second Largest Contraction Since Unification. And There’s More To Come.

China Logs First Rise In Industrial Output Since Virus, But Retail Sales Recovery Is More Subdued

May 14, 2020May 14, 2020

Read the tea leaves, draw your own conclusions.

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Leave a Comment on China Logs First Rise In Industrial Output Since Virus, But Retail Sales Recovery Is More Subdued

Behold! The Fed’s First $305 Million In ETF Purchases

May 14, 2020May 14, 2020

Call it a “nibble”.

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5 Comments on Behold! The Fed’s First $305 Million In ETF Purchases

Zoltan Pozsar On Money Market ‘Singularity’ And War Finance

May 14, 2020May 15, 2020

“If the Fed is backstopping the credit market, why wouldn’t it backstop its natural habitat?”

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5 Comments on Zoltan Pozsar On Money Market ‘Singularity’ And War Finance

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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