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Featured

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

    November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

    October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026

Markets

What’s What And WTF?

October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Coronavirus Clubgoers, China Gets Some Credit And Risk Bears Sent Into Hibernation

May 11, 2020May 11, 2020

Wary, weary or just ambivalent…

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7 Comments on Coronavirus Clubgoers, China Gets Some Credit And Risk Bears Sent Into Hibernation

New Week Dawns With West Wing Worries, Fed-Driven Markets And Depression Dynamics

May 10, 2020May 11, 2020

“A great and powerful plague” versus “the Fed driven liquidity environment”…

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4 Comments on New Week Dawns With West Wing Worries, Fed-Driven Markets And Depression Dynamics

In This Market, There’s More To Fear Than Fear Itself

May 10, 2020May 10, 2020

Let us count the concerns, shall we?

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4 Comments on In This Market, There’s More To Fear Than Fear Itself

Neel Kashkari: Unemployment Is 24% And We’re Gonna Need A Bigger Bailout

May 10, 2020May 10, 2020

“…you’re going to have empty strip malls for a while.”

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4 Comments on Neel Kashkari: Unemployment Is 244 And We’re Gonna Need A Bigger Bailout

From Armageddon To FOMO In 6 Weeks: Goldman’s Clients Incredulous At ‘Unloved’ Stock Surge

May 10, 2020May 10, 2020

“CIOs expressed varying degrees of concern.”

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10 Comments on From Armageddon To FOMO In 6 Weeks: Goldman’s Clients Incredulous At ‘Unloved’ Stock Surge

‘There’s No Experience On Which To Base Our Forecasts’: After The Virus, Hyperinflation Or Deflationary Spiral?

May 9, 2020May 9, 2020

“Policymakers have never had to deal with such huge contraction in both demand and supply on this scale.”

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9 Comments on ‘There’s No Experience On Which To Base Our Forecasts’: After The Virus, Hyperinflation Or Deflationary Spiral?

The Great Disconnect And QQQ’s $100 Billion Pandemic Party

May 9, 2020

Absurd? Maybe. But money is money, I suppose.

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2 Comments on The Great Disconnect And QQQ’s $100 Billion Pandemic Party

Deutsche’s Kocic On Risk Premia, ‘The Missing Variable,’ And The Elusive Post-COVID Reality

May 9, 2020May 10, 2020

For now, he says, most of this “remain[s] largely out of grasp”.

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3 Comments on Deutsche’s Kocic On Risk Premia, ‘The Missing Variable,’ And The Elusive Post-COVID Reality

Characteristically Surreal.

May 8, 2020May 9, 2020

“If you don’t [think] the Fed is buying stock ETFs on the next market shock, you are wrong.”

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oil2 Comments on Characteristically Surreal.

The Fed Effect On Flows, And A $4.7 Trillion Cash Pile Suddenly Facing Negative Returns

May 8, 2020

Flow reversals and the “cost of cash”.

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2 Comments on The Fed Effect On Flows, And A $4.7 Trillion Cash Pile Suddenly Facing Negative Returns

‘Temporary’ Precarity

May 8, 2020December 25, 2020

The April jobs report was a tragedy of historic proportions – an unmitigated disaster. The

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26 Comments on ‘Temporary’ Precarity

Waking Nightmare: A Walk Through The Worst Jobs Report In American History

May 8, 2020

A funeral for America’s labor market.

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2 Comments on Waking Nightmare: A Walk Through The Worst Jobs Report In American History

Great Depression II: 20.5 Million Jobs Lost In Worst Ever Payrolls Report

May 8, 2020May 8, 2020

April’s jobs report is, quite simply, the single worst top-tier economic data print in modern history.

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7 Comments on Great Depression II: 20.5 Million Jobs Lost In Worst Ever Payrolls Report

With ‘No China Doves Left,’ Market’s Faith In Trade Deal Seems Misplaced

May 8, 2020May 8, 2020

None of this is going to mater if the virus recrimination continues, though.

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2 Comments on With ‘No China Doves Left,’ Market’s Faith In Trade Deal Seems Misplaced

William Barr Ain’t Good For Much, But Maybe He Can Break Up Meat Monopolies

May 7, 2020May 8, 2020

If there’s anything you can count on Trump to safeguard, it’s America’s right to cheap burgers.

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4 Comments on William Barr Ain’t Good For Much, But Maybe He Can Break Up Meat Monopolies

Market Prices In Negative Rates For US. Media, Blogs, Finance Twitter Lose Collective Mind

May 7, 2020May 7, 2020

You can’t go wrong with “negative rates are coming to America”.

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2 Comments on Market Prices In Negative Rates For US. Media, Blogs, Finance Twitter Lose Collective Mind

‘He Lost It’: Fearing Economic Oblivion, Trump May Extend Tax Deadline To December, Take ‘Unilateral’ Measures

May 7, 2020May 7, 2020

“We’re not going to shy away from them.”

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8 Comments on ‘He Lost It’: Fearing Economic Oblivion, Trump May Extend Tax Deadline To December, Take ‘Unilateral’ Measures

Meanwhile, Turkey Careens Into Currency Crisis As Erdogan ‘Declares War’ On Citi, UBS, BNP

May 7, 2020

“…a hugely damaging move.”

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Leave a Comment on Meanwhile, Turkey Careens Into Currency Crisis As Erdogan ‘Declares War’ On Citi, UBS, BNP

Albert Edwards Dreams Of Stephanie Kelton’s Free Money Train. Says S&P Is ‘Ludicrous’ Bubble

May 7, 2020May 7, 2020

“I’m not sure what to make of all this except…”

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4 Comments on Albert Edwards Dreams Of Stephanie Kelton’s Free Money Train. Says S&P Is ‘Ludicrous’ Bubble

33.5 Million And Counting.

May 7, 2020May 7, 2020

…an ongoing, higher frequency reminder that the US economy is by no means out of the proverbial woods.

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4 Comments on 33.5 Million And Counting.

Nomura’s McElligott: Don’t Mistake Curve Steepening For Something It’s Not

May 7, 2020May 7, 2020

“Cash crunch issuance realities.”

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5 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: Don’t Mistake Curve Steepening For Something It’s Not

Band-Aids For Earthquake Fissures.

May 7, 2020May 7, 2020

…the coordinated, global firefighting effort continues.

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Leave a Comment on Band-Aids For Earthquake Fissures.

More Than Half Of America’s Small Businesses May Be Gone By The Election. Literally.

May 6, 2020May 7, 2020

…teetering precariously on the precipice of oblivion.

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7 Comments on More Than Half Of America’s Small Businesses May Be Gone By The Election. Literally.

Larry Fink Terrified That Corporations May Be Asked To Pay Higher Taxes After Virus

May 6, 2020

But higher corporate taxes aren’t the only wraiths and phantasms floating around Larry’s tortured dreams.

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9 Comments on Larry Fink Terrified That Corporations May Be Asked To Pay Higher Taxes After Virus

‘I Exhort You To Do This’: It’s Desperation Time As America’s Beef Crisis Goes DEFCON Wendy’s

May 6, 2020May 6, 2020

Everyone knows people go to Wendy’s for the Frostys.

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10 Comments on ‘I Exhort You To Do This’: It’s Desperation Time As America’s Beef Crisis Goes DEFCON Wendy’s

With Stocks In ‘No Man’s Land,’ Nomura’s McElligott Delivers Summer Outlook, ‘Roadmap’ For Second Half

May 6, 2020May 6, 2020

The summer fade, and a possible bounce thereafter.

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9 Comments on With Stocks In ‘No Man’s Land,’ Nomura’s McElligott Delivers Summer Outlook, ‘Roadmap’ For Second Half

Goldman Previews Dystopian ‘Adjustment Mechanisms,’ Isn’t Worried About Inflation In Post-COVID Reality

May 6, 2020May 6, 2020

The good news is…

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Leave a Comment on Goldman Previews Dystopian ‘Adjustment Mechanisms,’ Isn’t Worried About Inflation In Post-COVID Reality

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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