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Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026

Markets

My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

‘Morphing Into A Structural Shift’

December 16, 2020December 16, 2020

For all the celebration (and simultaneous derision) around the Fed’s success in helping to drive

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2 Comments on ‘Morphing Into A Structural Shift’

Optically Decent US PMIs Belie ‘Severe’ Supply Chain Disruptions, Lost Momentum

December 16, 2020December 16, 2020

IHS Markit’s PMIs for the US seemingly ignored the virus surge and associated new lockdowns

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1 Comment on Optically Decent US PMIs Belie ‘Severe’ Supply Chain Disruptions, Lost Momentum

Retail Sales Dive As Feared Consumer Retrenchment Becomes Reality

December 16, 2020December 16, 2020

Retail sales, one of the few top-tier economic indicators to stage a quick “V-shaped” recovery

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3 Comments on Retail Sales Dive As Feared Consumer Retrenchment Becomes Reality

EUR-phoria

December 16, 2020December 16, 2020

The euro was the story prior to the Fed on Wednesday, as the single currency

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Harley Bassman Presents: A Model Portfolio – 2021

December 15, 2020December 15, 2020

Come this time every year, I tend to publish a list of “Investments” that I

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5 Comments on Harley Bassman Presents: A Model Portfolio – 2021

Psychologically Speaking

December 15, 2020December 16, 2020

US equities snapped a four-day losing streak Tuesday on stimulus optimism. At this point, market

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3 Comments on Psychologically Speaking

Cash Is Trash For Hyper-Bullish Fund Managers

December 15, 2020December 15, 2020

Overall, the pile of “dry powder” parked in money market funds remains elevated, but a

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Goldman’s Solomon, CNBC Serve Up Ready-Made IPO Bubble Punchlines

December 15, 2020December 15, 2020

It’s not that the punchlines aren’t there. Rather, it’s that the punchlines are so obvious

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3 Comments on Goldman’s Solomon, CNBC Serve Up Ready-Made IPO Bubble Punchlines

A Half-Trillion In AUM Is The Second-Most ‘Optimistic’ Ever

December 15, 2020

With the exception of the post-tax cut melt-up in early 2018, “optimism,” defined as faith

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4 Comments on A Half-Trillion In AUM Is The Second-Most ‘Optimistic’ Ever

A ‘Big Change’ In Hedging Focus. And Don’t Forget About Tesla

December 15, 2020December 15, 2020

Every box was checked. The worst-case, “science fiction” election outcome didn’t play out, even as

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1 Comment on A ‘Big Change’ In Hedging Focus. And Don’t Forget About Tesla

Cooperation And Contacts

December 15, 2020December 15, 2020

Mixed global markets reflected investor reticence Tuesday, as rates traders awaited the Fed and the

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2 Comments on Cooperation And Contacts

China’s Recovery Continued In November. PBoC Surprises With 950 Billion Liquidity Injection

December 14, 2020December 14, 2020

Dust off the boilerplate China recovery copy. The world’s second-largest economy continued to perform in

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2 Comments on China’s Recovery Continued In November. PBoC Surprises With 950 Billion Liquidity Injection

Down Goes Bill Barr

December 14, 2020December 14, 2020

With the possible exception of Fox News, few domestic actors did more to protect Donald

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19 Comments on Down Goes Bill Barr

‘Making Adjustments’

December 14, 2020December 14, 2020

Stimulus progress and Brexit optimism weren’t enough to carry equities through the US session Monday,

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Meanwhile, Trump Finally Sanctions Turkey

December 14, 2020December 14, 2020

“The circumstances that led Turkey to procure S-400 systems in the past are very well

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1 Comment on Meanwhile, Trump Finally Sanctions Turkey

The Tragic Irony Of America’s ‘Too Big To Fail’ Stock Market

December 14, 2020December 15, 2020

Most of my days are spent digging around for interesting things to highlight, and in

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9 Comments on The Tragic Irony Of America’s ‘Too Big To Fail’ Stock Market

Beware The ‘Post-War Hangover’ From Misguided Government Belt Tightening

December 14, 2020December 15, 2020

What’s the biggest risk to the macroeconomic outlook in 2021 and beyond? To answer that

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6 Comments on Beware The ‘Post-War Hangover’ From Misguided Government Belt Tightening

‘Just Because The Sun Is Out’

December 14, 2020December 14, 2020

Markets looked poised to embrace a risk-on bent to start the new week, emboldened by

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1 Comment on ‘Just Because The Sun Is Out’

‘With All Our Hearts’

December 13, 2020December 14, 2020

Angela Merkel is poised to take Germany back into a full-scale COVID lockdown starting Wednesday.

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2 Comments on ‘With All Our Hearts’

Front-Running Collective Irrationality

December 13, 2020

I have to tell you: What interests me isn’t always what “sells” for the financial

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9 Comments on Front-Running Collective Irrationality

Let Me Off This ‘Wild Ride’: What To Expect From The Fed’s Last Meeting Of 2020

December 13, 2020December 13, 2020

If the Fed wants to unveil plans to extend the average maturity of its ongoing

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Rage Kapital

December 12, 2020December 12, 2020

[Read more from NOTES FROM DISGRACELAND and follow on Twitter] 12. XII 2020 Thymos is

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6 Comments on Rage Kapital

Yen And The Art Of Bridge Maintenance

December 12, 2020December 13, 2020

For years, critics of central banks’ increasingly belabored efforts to engineer robust growth and “healthy”

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19 Comments on Yen And The Art Of Bridge Maintenance

Clarity. And A ‘Good Deal Of Confusion’

December 12, 2020December 12, 2020

On Saturday, Americans had some measure of clarity on the two most important issues facing

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3 Comments on Clarity. And A ‘Good Deal Of Confusion’

‘Some Worry’

December 12, 2020December 12, 2020

“Some worry,” is an industry mainstay when it comes to language the financial media employs

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5 Comments on ‘Some Worry’

Macro Tourist: ‘This Is A Buying Frenzy. And The Trader In Me Is Worried’

December 11, 2020December 11, 2020

[Editor’s note: The following excerpts are from a longer piece by Kevin Muir, formerly head

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4 Comments on Macro Tourist: ‘This Is A Buying Frenzy. And The Trader In Me Is Worried’

Is Buyback Plunge Protection Poised For A 2021 Comeback?

December 11, 2020December 11, 2020

Last weekend, I talked a bit more about equity supply/demand dynamics. The overarching point was

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5 Comments on Is Buyback Plunge Protection Poised For A 2021 Comeback?

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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