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Featured

Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026October 31, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026

Markets

My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

‘Frankenbull’ And Corporate America’s Multi-Trillion Dollar Bonanza

December 11, 2020December 11, 2020

Forget the “everything rally.” That’s not nearly colorful enough as a description of 2020’s various

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3 Comments on ‘Frankenbull’ And Corporate America’s Multi-Trillion Dollar Bonanza

D.C. Dysfunction & The Lost Art Of Civic Responsibility

December 11, 2020December 11, 2020

Good news: University of Michigan sentiment managed to post what, on the surface anyway, appeared to

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15 Comments on D.C. Dysfunction & The Lost Art Of Civic Responsibility

Bullish Catalysts And Volatility Suppressants For 2021

December 11, 2020December 12, 2020

Let’s talk bullish catalysts. Or, if you like, we can call them “factors with the

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2 Comments on Bullish Catalysts And Volatility Suppressants For 2021

Deal Busters Going Sideways

December 11, 2020December 11, 2020

Risk sentiment soured Friday as market participants weighed stalled stimulus talks in D.C. and the

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4 Comments on Deal Busters Going Sideways

Enjoy The Money

December 10, 2020December 11, 2020

Another day of convoluted stimulus headlines stateside found lawmakers striking what one Senate aide described

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8 Comments on Enjoy The Money

‘It Took Unprecedented Liquidity Merely To Stabilize Risk’

December 10, 2020December 11, 2020

“It’s all about liquidity.” That’s a popular refrain when it comes to explaining how risk

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4 Comments on ‘It Took Unprecedented Liquidity Merely To Stabilize Risk’

Hot Takes Galore: Key Macro Thoughts And ‘Good Stuff’ With Nomura’s McElligott

December 10, 2020December 10, 2020

Whatever happens later, the “now” is still under the influence of the same set of

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Jobless Claims Surge In Stark Warning To Congress

December 10, 2020December 10, 2020

Jobless claims surged last week, data out Thursday showed. 853,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits

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9 Comments on Jobless Claims Surge In Stark Warning To Congress

Let’s Talk Inflation. Or A Lack Thereof

December 10, 2020December 10, 2020

Inflation was a bit “hotter” than expected in November, the BLS said Thursday, although “hot”

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4 Comments on Let’s Talk Inflation. Or A Lack Thereof

ECB ‘Recalibrates’ Easing Measures. Ups Pandemic QE Program To €1.85 Trillion

December 10, 2020December 10, 2020

As expected, the ECB topped up its emergency pandemic QE program (PEPP), adding €500 billion

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Leave a Comment on ECB ‘Recalibrates’ Easing Measures. Ups Pandemic QE Program To €1.85 Trillion

‘Never Quite Say Never’

December 10, 2020December 10, 2020

Cans were kicked both on fresh stimulus to help the US weather the winter virus

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Leave a Comment on ‘Never Quite Say Never’

A Ticket To The S&P Party Costs American Workers More Sweat Than Ever

December 9, 2020December 9, 2020

Let’s say, for argument’s sake, that you have a job. First of all, congratulations! Because

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6 Comments on A Ticket To The S&P Party Costs American Workers More Sweat Than Ever

Are We Just Buying Time? ‘An Urgent Need To Reconfigure The Whole Socioeconomic System’

December 9, 2020December 10, 2020

Over the course of the last nine months, I’ve been keen to emphasize that part

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21 Comments on Are We Just Buying Time? ‘An Urgent Need To Reconfigure The Whole Socioeconomic System’

Marko Kolanovic Delivers 2021 Outlook: ‘A Decline In Volatility Creates A Positive Feedback Loop’

December 9, 2020December 9, 2020

JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic grabbed plenty of headlines over the course of the pandemic, both within

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As Households Cling To Cash, Dalio Wonders: Why Not 50X Earnings For Stocks?

December 9, 2020December 9, 2020

While perusing a recent note from Goldman assessing the odds of an equity market pullback

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5 Comments on As Households Cling To Cash, Dalio Wonders: Why Not 50X Earnings For Stocks?

Stocks May See ‘Modest Pullback’ On ‘Extremely Stretched’ Positioning, Goldman Says

December 9, 2020

“Since the start of November, US equity mutual funds and ETFs have witnessed $52 billion

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3 Comments on Stocks May See ‘Modest Pullback’ On ‘Extremely Stretched’ Positioning, Goldman Says

All Brinkmanship, All The Time

December 9, 2020December 9, 2020

US stimulus talks dominated the headlines again on Wednesday after Steve Mnuchin injected himself into

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15 Comments on All Brinkmanship, All The Time

China Sees First Consumer Price Deflation Since 2009

December 8, 2020

For the first time since 2009, China witnessed consumer price deflation. CPI declined 0.5% in

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Leave a Comment on China Sees First Consumer Price Deflation Since 2009

Don’t Leave Town Without It

December 8, 2020December 9, 2020

More incrementally positive developments on the vaccine front bolstered risk sentiment in the US Tuesday

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3 Comments on Don’t Leave Town Without It

Mini-Mansion Mania!

December 8, 2020December 8, 2020

When Toll Brothers, America’s leading luxury home builder, reported earnings after the bell on Monday

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3 Comments on Mini-Mansion Mania!

Ray Dalio On ‘Floods Of Money,’ Bitcoin, China, And Social Safety Nets

December 8, 2020December 8, 2020

Ray Dalio held another one of his “Ask Me Anything” Reddit events on Tuesday. It

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5 Comments on Ray Dalio On ‘Floods Of Money,’ Bitcoin, China, And Social Safety Nets

Nomura’s McElligott: ‘Right-Tail, Crash-Up’ Still Most Likely Scenario Despite ‘Scary’ Sentiment Overshoot

December 8, 2020December 8, 2020

The ongoing compression of realized volatility into a rally that saw US equities push to

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Meanwhile, In Japan

December 8, 2020December 8, 2020

Lost in the shuffle Tuesday was more than $700 billion in additional stimulus out of

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4 Comments on Meanwhile, In Japan

For A Good Cause

December 8, 2020December 8, 2020

Headlines on Tuesday were dominated by the UK’s vaccine rollout (the first among western nations),

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Leave a Comment on For A Good Cause

Reluctant Borrowers: Another Canary?

December 7, 2020December 8, 2020

I doubt the point needed further underscoring, but just in case, the latest consumer credit

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3 Comments on Reluctant Borrowers: Another Canary?

Divide, Conquer & Stay Rich

December 7, 2020December 9, 2020

Part of COVID-19’s legacy will be the extent to which the pandemic laid bare the

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23 Comments on Divide, Conquer & Stay Rich

‘Real Households Are Going To Be In Dire Straits’: JPMorgan Liaises With Biden On Stimulus

December 7, 2020December 8, 2020

Don’t worry: JPMorgan knows what to do. With lawmakers in Washington still wrangling over how

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4 Comments on ‘Real Households Are Going To Be In Dire Straits’: JPMorgan Liaises With Biden On Stimulus

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • therealheisenberg on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • WMD on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • derek on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)
  • Yang Zhang on Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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