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Category: Markets

No, Xi’s China Is Not ‘The Alternative’

November 4, 2022November 5, 2022

“China is the Alternative,” read the title of a somewhat dispiriting blog post published Friday morning in

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5 Comments on No, Xi’s China Is Not ‘The Alternative’

Party Off, Wayne

November 3, 2022November 5, 2022

Thursday’s key macro story — or one of them, anyway — was the stark juxtaposition

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1 Comment on Party Off, Wayne

The Rug Pull

November 3, 2022November 4, 2022

The Fed “executed the rare ‘dovish statement, but 10/10 hawkish presser’ surprise,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott

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2 Comments on The Rug Pull

The Scientific Method

November 2, 2022November 9, 2022

Jerome Powell almost threaded the needle on Wednesday. Around 20 minutes into one of the

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10 Comments on The Scientific Method

Fed Tips Slower Hikes, But Restrictive Nod May Placate Hawks

November 2, 2022November 3, 2022

The Fed on Wednesday hiked rates by 75bps, as expected. It marked the fourth consecutive

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Terminal Patient

November 2, 2022November 3, 2022

This’ll be stale as soon as Jerome Powell speaks on Wednesday afternoon, but only in

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5 Comments on Terminal Patient

Were Mega-Cap US Tech Stocks ‘Imposters’ All Along?

November 1, 2022November 2, 2022

Over the past, let’s call it three or four years, I’ve repeatedly referenced the suggestion

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12 Comments on Were Mega-Cap US Tech Stocks ‘Imposters’ All Along?

Crucial ‘Downshift’ Narrative Confirmed On Dubious RBA Anniversary

November 1, 2022November 2, 2022

It looks as though central banks have decided that downshifting to smaller rate hike increments

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10 Comments on Crucial ‘Downshift’ Narrative Confirmed On Dubious RBA Anniversary

The ‘Reopening Committee’

November 1, 2022November 1, 2022

The Chinese Foreign Ministry is “not aware” of any committees tasked with coordinating a grand

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Kolanovic, Wilson Agree: Central Bank Tightening Has Likely Peaked

October 31, 2022November 1, 2022

Wall Street’s most outspoken bear and the sell-side’s most famous bull agree on one thing

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9 Comments on Kolanovic, Wilson Agree: Central Bank Tightening Has Likely Peaked

Wicked Reversal Risk Hangs Over Fed Meeting

October 31, 2022November 1, 2022

You have to think three steps ahead these days. At least. By now, the Fed’s

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6 Comments on Wicked Reversal Risk Hangs Over Fed Meeting

The Fed Should End The Timiraos Speculation

October 31, 2022November 8, 2022

Earlier this month, when I was still willing to tweet something other than links to

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17 Comments on The Fed Should End The Timiraos Speculation

US Inflation May Soon Collapse: Mike Friedman

October 31, 2022November 1, 2022

If Milton Friedman was right, inflation may be poised to crater. “[CPI] is one of

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11 Comments on US Inflation May Soon Collapse: Mike Friedman

Blink Once For Crash Up

October 28, 2022October 30, 2022

You should be able to tell this story yourself. It’s a familiar tale. Friday’s raucous

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2 Comments on Blink Once For Crash Up

Impossibly Wild 2022 Sets Up Near Certainty For 2023

October 28, 2022October 29, 2022

Some believe the subtle shift in central bank behavior witnessed over the past month means

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Can Mark Zuckerberg Go Broke?

October 27, 2022October 28, 2022

It was a rough day to be Mark Zuckerberg. For the second time in 2022,

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29 Comments on Can Mark Zuckerberg Go Broke?

Amazon Risks Wipeout With Bad Guide. Apple Still Apple

October 27, 2022October 28, 2022

Amazon and Apple closed the book on mega-cap US tech earnings Thursday with results that

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7 Comments on Amazon Risks Wipeout With Bad Guide. Apple Still Apple

A ‘Historic’ Multi-Billion Dollar Meme Stock Restructuring

October 27, 2022October 28, 2022

Credit Suisse didn’t implode. As it turns out, the shrill social media cacophony and sundry

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ECB May As Well Just Quit Now

October 27, 2022October 27, 2022

Convoluted. That’s a one-word description of the ECB’s October meeting, which found Christine Lagarde and

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6 Comments on ECB May As Well Just Quit Now

Zuckerberg’s Metaverse Ambitions Bleed Billions

October 26, 2022November 2, 2022

Mark Zuckerberg’s fading fortunes (and you can take that figuratively, literally or both) hung in

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22 Comments on Zuckerberg’s Metaverse Ambitions Bleed Billions

The Offshore Yuan Just Surged The Most In History

October 26, 2022October 26, 2022

A top tier global economy intervened to stabilize its currency on Tuesday and Wednesday. And

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1 Comment on The Offshore Yuan Just Surged The Most In History

Stale Chips

October 26, 2022October 27, 2022

I’d call them inauspicious developments, but that seems trite. Seemingly all developments are inauspicious in

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11 Comments on Stale Chips

Is A Treasury ‘Intervention’ Imminent?

October 25, 2022November 5, 2022

Janet Yellen is “very focused” on Treasury market functioning. That’s according to remarks delivered on

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3 Comments on Is A Treasury ‘Intervention’ Imminent?

Microsoft, Alphabet Results May Underwhelm Anxious Markets

October 25, 2022October 26, 2022

Alphabet and Microsoft kicked off mega-cap US tech earnings on Tuesday afternoon with what I’d

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5 Comments on Microsoft, Alphabet Results May Underwhelm Anxious Markets

‘Terrified’ Buyside Has Fed Pivot FOMO

October 25, 2022October 26, 2022

The buyside is woefully underexposed and “terrified” of missing out on any extension of the

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7 Comments on ‘Terrified’ Buyside Has Fed Pivot FOMO

In China: More Drama

October 25, 2022October 25, 2022

Tuesday brought more drama in Chinese markets. A day on from an egregious selloff in

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1 Comment on In China: More Drama

Mike Wilson The (Tactical) Bull

October 24, 2022November 2, 2022

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson is bullish. Tactically, but any sort of bullishness from Wilson is

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3 Comments on Mike Wilson The (Tactical) Bull

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

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