Come hell or high sanctions.
Category: emerging markets
Things Just Got Worse For Turkey As U.S. Said To Ready Sanctions, Lira Heads To No Man’s Land
Erdogan isn’t going to like this.
Turkey Will Give Up Andrew Brunson Around The Same Time Erdogan Gives Up Control Of Monetary Policy (So, Never)
Meanwhile, 10Y yields in Turkey spike to record highs.
Marko Kolanovic Returns, Sees Value, Emerging Market Rally, Says Fed Should ‘Skip A Hike’
“Regardless of whether this materializes, our view is that a slower pace of hiking is the right thing to do.”
As Trump, Pence Threaten Turkey With Sanctions, It’s Time For Markets To Accept The Reality Of Erdogan
Accepting idiosyncratic, country-specific risk is part and parcel of investing in emerging markets, but this has gone well beyond that.
‘This Is No Fly In The Ointment’: One Bank Politely Asks You Not To Ignore ‘Supremely Important’ Trade War
“For us, this is supremely important.”
Elephant In The Room: Full Week Ahead Preview
Just try to ignore it.
Death By Trade Tweet: How FX Markets Cope With ‘High-Volume Tariff News’ Days
“Chirp, chirp”: the yuan is crashing.
To Hell(sinki) And Back: Full Week Ahead Preview
This is the usual cocktail of geopolitical risk and Fed watching, with a dash of Brexit for bad measure.
‘Credibility Has Been Damaged’: Turkey Downgraded By Fitch As Erdogan Prepares To Commandeer Central Bank
Prepare to be harangued with tales of international conspiracies from newly-minted Sultan Recep Tayyip ErdoÄŸan.ÂÂ
Loving You Is Risky: One Bank’s ‘Risk-Love’ Indicator ‘Collapses’ Into ‘Panic’ Territory
“The set up was poor, in hindsight.”
Mohamed El-Erian Reveals His ‘Gut Feeling’ On The Emerging Market Selloff In Interview With Goldman
“I wouldn’t label myself as a pessimist but rather as someone who respects market technicals.”
As The World Turns: Full Week Ahead Preview
Or “burns” – whichever.
Silence Is Golden.
Don’t expect it to last.
Amid Nightmare Quarter, Here’s The ‘Severe Bear Case’ For Emerging Market Outflows
This is *not* the base case, but someone will invariably pitch it as such.
Reciprocity: Full Week Ahead Preview
Trade, immigration and “covfefe” – what else is there?
The Hateful Eight.
Lucky number 8.
Family Time.
Lots and lots of “winning.”
‘Gains Are Like An Escalator, But Losses Are Like Going Down A Lift’: More Warnings On EM FX
“…it will get really bad if the Fed is hiking when growth is slowing.”
Confucius Say.
Good lord.
Bitter Coffee.
A spoonful of sugar, helps the medicine go down.
Meet Me In Sintra And Mind The Oil Slick: Full Week Ahead Preview
Ironies, cartels and trade wars.
There’s A ‘Big Problem’ In Emerging Market Liquidity And Here It Is…
(Back) down the liquidity rabbit hole.
‘Plain English’.
Do you speak it?!
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