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Category: economy
Price Pressures Pick Up Sharply In Vast US Services Sector
The implacable US services sector outperformed in December. More importantly, price pressures accelerated sharply. That’s
Europe Not Out Of The Inflation Woods Just Yet
If you’re interested — and I know most of you are(n’t) — inflation in Europe
Gambling Cues
The white collar crowd will grudgingly go back to the office this week across the
Factory Stagflation! (Blah, Blah, Blah.)
US manufacturing activity improved in December, but contracted nevertheless, while underlying measures of input prices
7%. Again.
US mortgage rates: They’re high. Or “high,” with scare quotes. It depends on how old
The Shoe That Never Drops
If the question’s whether market participants cared about US jobless claims on Thursday, the answer’s
‘In Wind And Rain’
There’s good news out of China. No, seriously. Don’t laugh. Or do laugh, because when
US Home Price Gains Continue, But At Slower Rate
US home values continued to rise in October, data released on Tuesday showed. Prices rose
US Homebuyers Give Up On Lower Rates
Hope may not be a strategy, but giving up hope might be. So suggested the
Can China Weather The Tariff Storm?
Among the (many) pressing macro-market questions for 2025 asks if the Party in Beijing can
Competing Claims
Initial US jobless claims slipped below 220,000 for the first time in a month, Thursday’s
Reports Of US Inflation Rebound ‘Greatly Exaggerated,’ Goldman Says
Fed critics — and here I mean critics concerned about the proper course of monetary
Is China Finally Serious About Stimulus?
Stop me if you’ve heard this before: China has big stimulus plans. “Fool me once,”
Boxes For Sale
It’d be an understatement, and not a small one, to describe investor interest in macro
Not-So-Great Expectations
Oddly enough, US consumers are trepidatious again. Confidence among American households deteriorated in December, according
Joy To The World
Plainly, this’ll be a slow week for the macro-market crowd. It’s Christmas, which means the
US Inflation Promptly Undershoots After Fed Raises Forecast
In a fortuitous — if ironic — development for a panel of technocrats who just
US Home Sales Thaw As Buyers Accept ‘New Normal’
Homebuyers in America are “get[ting] used to a new normal,” NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun
US Economy Surprises Again As Jobless Claims Drop, GDP Revised Up
A two-week jump in initial US jobless claims in and around the Thanksgiving holiday was
BoE Vote Split Nets To ‘Dovish Hold’
“Gradual.” That’s still the “appropriate” way to approach the “removal of policy restraint.” So said
Fed Lifts Inflation Outlook, Sees Fewer 2025 Cuts
The Fed cut rates by 25bps on Wednesday, as expected, bringing the total amount of
US Housing At The Crossroads
US housing’s at a crossroads of sorts. Rates have seemingly stabilized, and may be biased
Recession Where? Not Here. Not Yet.
Recession? Who? Where? When? Not us. Not in America. And certainly not right now. At
Builders Bet On Red Tape Relief From Trump 2.0
There’s a builder in The White House! There’s a builder in The White House! Homebuilders
Flaming-Hot US Services Makes Mockery Of Powell’s ‘Restrictive’ Policy
The biggest part of the world’s largest economy expanded at the brisket pace since October
‘Vastly Disappointing’ Retail Sales Underline China Deflation Threat
The Chinese consumption impulse registered an apathetic 3% for last month in key data out
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