In the aftermath of the original pandemic lockdowns, tech became even more synonymous with everyday
Category: Duly Noted
A $2 Trillion Year For Cash?
There’s been no capitulation in aggregate equities flows. So far in 2023, stock-focused ETFs and
Apocalypse Now, Says The Yield Curve
When will the world’s largest economy fall into recession? Right now, or sometime very soon,
Big Oil, Big Money
For the fourth straight quarter, Exxon raked in $10 billion or more in profits. Results
Cash Pours Back Into Money Funds. Fed Borrowing Jumps
Cash poured back into money market funds in the week to April 26, closely-watched flows
Bears Struggle To Shake 2023’s ‘Can’t Win For Losing’ Curse
For a day, maybe two, it looked like the stars might be aligning for a
3 Key Charts From The US GDP Figures
If you weren’t enamored with the advance read on Q1 GDP in the US, no
Who’s Gonna Buy Stocks Now?
Where’s the demand supposed to come from? From a stylized perspective, stocks are subject to
America Now A 5% Inflation Country, Summers Says
I’ve said it over and over again, and it’s not an especially popular talking point
McElligott Flags Risk Of ‘Accident’ In 0DTE Behavioral Shift
Short vol strategies have been profitable lately. “Grotesquely” so, in fact. The colorful description comes
4 Reasons One Bear Hasn’t Turned Bullish
For quite some time now, one bank’s leading earnings indicators have tipped a marked deceleration
US Equities Vol Regime Undergoes ‘Polar Opposite’ Shift
You’ve heard it again and again: You only need downside protection if you have exposure
Rate Cuts? Maybe. Easing Cycle? No.
“This time” is famously “never different,” but this cycle certainly is. It’s been a generation
Macron’s China Strategy Backfires As Diplomat Infuriates Baltics
“It is strange to hear an absurd version of the ‘history of Crimea’ from a
If SVB Was A ‘Crisis,’ Six-Month Rate Cut Odds Are 70%
Last week, during a Bloomberg forum, Brian Moynihan suggested the media and market participants might
High Profits, Hibernating Fear
Earlier this week, I talked a bit about the “too low” VIX. It’s a familiar
25/25/25/25
A couple of days ago, I mentioned the 25/25/25/25 portfolio again. The case for embracing
Yellen Stakes Out US Position Ahead Of China Tech Restrictions
For the third time in as many months, I’m compelled to inform you that Joe
5 Reasons For A ‘Too Low’ VIX
Over and over again last year, market participants of all shapes and sizes asked the
‘Greedflation’ Probably On Borrowed Time
I’ve been on (and on, and on) about so-called “Greedflation.” Whenever something goes wrong in
Trading Around America’s Debt Ceiling
As Kevin McCarthy made clear this week while doing his best Ronald Reagan impression at
Three Reasons Stocks Keep Frustrating The Bears
As you might’ve noticed, some of the most recognizable names on the sell-side are adamant
Tail Risks And Sideline Cash
The biggest tail risk is now a credit crunch accompanied by a global recession. That’s
Market Breadth Now Weakest Ever, Famous Bear Warns
Two of the sell-side’s most recognizable names warned on market breadth Monday. In an asset
Stocks Got $70 Billion Assist From Vol-Control Demand
If you’re wondering how much support equities have potentially received from the vol-sensitive mechanical bid
Investing With The Power Of Hindsight
Hindsight is a helluva thing. If time travel were possible, hindsight would be tantamount to
‘Fed Cuts Versus Recession’: The Next Battle
Where to from here? “Recession! That’s where.” Or so goes the refrain from seemingly everyone
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