Goldman was already on the low end of the range when it comes to recession
Category: Duly Noted
Rally Music Or Siren Song?
Investors are getting “drawn in.” So said JPMorgan’s Mislav Matejka on Monday. “Drawn in” has
Chinese Aid For Russia Suggests Ukraine Is Deadly Dress Rehearsal
One — perhaps the — key geopolitical question in 2023 is whether Moscow is overplaying
2001, 2015, 2008, 2020 And Right Now
It’s not over yet, but with 70% of S&P 500 market cap having reported earnings,
I’ll Have The Theme Du Jour. With A Side Of Catchy
“Immaculate disinflation” is the macro theme du jour. I suppose to employ it is to
Credit Monitor: Too Much, Too Far, Too Fast?
If you’re looking for evidence that the general tenor (readers will hopefully appreciate the pun)
Brave New Markets
Last year, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott suggested that every session had become its own self-contained narrative
Highs Before Valentine’s Day
Nearly $50 billion flowed into global equity funds over the past four weeks, according to
Food Prices Are Lower, So Where Are The Savings?
A fixture of the US political news cycle during the developed world’s worst bout of
The Fed’s Latest ‘Credibility Crisis’
Does the Fed have a credibility crisis? Before you answer, let me give you the
Debt Ceiling: What If?
Although it’s far too early for equity benchmarks to care about “trivial” matters like a
Micromanaging Stocks Until Inflation Cools
Although you wouldn’t know it to look at financial conditions or, relatedly, stocks, bonds and
In FOMO Rally, Investors Forget ‘Cardinal Rule’
“Don’t fight the Fed,” says the old adage. But that’s exactly what traders — carbon-based
‘COVID Zero’ Was Expensive
“COVID zero” was expensive. China notched a record deficit of almost CNY9 trillion in 2022,
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