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Category: Duly Noted

Money Fund Assets Loiter Near Record. RRP Drain Stalls

August 24, 2023August 24, 2023

An uneventful update on money market fund flows found total assets slipping from record highs

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The $20 Billion Sell Flow Behind Thursday’s ‘Counterintuitive’ Stock Plunge

August 24, 2023August 24, 2023

Stocks were supposed to rally if Nvidia delivered another blockbuster set of results. Nvidia held

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The Numbers Behind A Possible China ‘Lehman Moment’

August 23, 2023August 24, 2023

Whenever there’s trouble in China, the media conjures Lehman. “China Needs A Lehman Moment” or

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The Dominance And Impact Of 0DTEs In Two Simple Charts

August 23, 2023

You’ve heard it again and again. Or at least you have if you frequent these

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What The ‘Smart Money’ Is Up To

August 22, 2023August 22, 2023

Hedge funds shifted towards cyclicals during the second quarter and began Q3 the least underweight

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‘There Is No More Fear, Only Complacency,’ Kolanovic Says

August 21, 2023

“There is no more fear, only complacency.” So said JPMorgan analysts led by Marko Kolanovic on

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Window For Stock Pullback May Close Without More Fireworks

August 21, 2023

Why were US equities able to pull back? Put differently: Why was the door open

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Cash, Bonds Or Stocks?

August 20, 2023

We’re probably in ad nauseam territory by now when it comes to the “cash as

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US Stock Funds See Largest Outflow In Months As Sentiment Turns

August 18, 2023

US equity-focused ETFs and mutual funds just saw their largest one-week outflow since mid-June. The

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Money Market Fund Assets Power Ever Higher

August 17, 2023

Money market funds attracted nearly $40 billion in new cash in the week to August

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CTAs Likely Sold $40 Billion Into Recent Stock Swoon

August 17, 2023

Dealers shedding VIX futures into expiration might’ve put a lid on vol, but it wasn’t

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FX Markets On Alert As Yen Breaches Intervention Level

August 16, 2023August 16, 2023

FX traders are once again on yen intervention watch. The Japanese currency on Wednesday weakened

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China’s Shadow Banks May Face $40 Billion In Property Losses

August 16, 2023August 16, 2023

“Why doesn’t the company pay us back?” wondered an irritable investor in a trust product

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Are US Stocks About To Get Interesting?

August 15, 2023August 15, 2023

Two days into a week that should’ve been quiet if you forget about the seasonal

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Yuan Depreciation Is ‘Red Flag’ With China At ‘Desperate Juncture’

August 15, 2023

It’s fair to say China’s economic woes are the most important story in the macro

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A Critical, Obvious, Underappreciated Point About Real Rates

August 14, 2023

On countless occasions over the past 12 or so months, Fed critics insisted that despite

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Fed Cuts May End With Rates Still Technically ‘Restrictive’

August 14, 2023

Early Monday, while documenting Goldman’s call for the commencement of Fed cuts from Q2 2024,

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Behold: A Can’t-Miss Options Strategy Finally Sputters

August 11, 2023

For months (or maybe I should just say for the duration of the summer equity

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China, EM Dominate US, DM In 2023 Stock Fund Flow Race

August 11, 2023

I’ve been on at considerable length about the lack of an “all-in” capitulation moment for

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Another Week, Another Record For Money Market Funds

August 10, 2023

Another week, another new record for money market fund assets. Inflows to US money funds

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Taking Stock Of Current Melt-Up (And Meltdown) Fuel

August 10, 2023

The inflation event risk cleared on Thursday morning in the US with no issues. Core

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Sudden Surge In European Natural Gas Spotlights Key Macro Themes

August 9, 2023

If European natural gas is in the news, it’s usually for the wrong reasons. In

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More Color From The Most Important Market On Earth

August 8, 2023

It’s possible we’re all overstating the significance of recent events in the US Treasury market.

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When Will Corporate America Feel The Heat From Higher Rates?

August 8, 2023August 8, 2023

Rising rates have been a boon to some US corporates, and I don’t just mean

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9 Reasons America’s Largest Bank Still Doubts The Rally

August 7, 2023

It’s been a tough year for anyone determined to stick with a bearish call on

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Mohammed Bin Salman Needs A Little More Out Of Aramco

August 7, 2023August 7, 2023

Saudi Aramco’s quarterly profit tumbled 38% in Q2, results released on Monday showed. Net income

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The Art Of The Aeronautical Metaphor

August 6, 2023August 6, 2023

Aeronautical metaphors for the US economy (and, more to the point, the Fed’s efforts to

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