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Category: Duly Noted

Haves, Have-Nots And The Term Premium

October 20, 2023October 20, 2023

Earlier this week, I noted that money market funds are throwing off an estimated $22

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Money Market Funds See Largest Outflow Since Lehman

October 19, 2023October 19, 2023

Money market funds saw the largest weekly exodus since Lehman in the week to October

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The Disinversion You Should Be Watching

October 19, 2023October 19, 2023

When you hear the term “disinversion,” you probably think Treasury curve. If this were a

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Are Higher Rates Inflationary Now?

October 19, 2023October 19, 2023

On Thursday, while editorializing around the slowest pace of US existing home sales since 2010,

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Never A Dull Moment For Bonds Gone Wild

October 18, 2023October 18, 2023

There’s rarely a dull moment in the US rates complex these days. If it’s fireworks

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Market Hedging Mideast ‘Tinderbox’ With VIX, Crude, Gold: McElligott

October 18, 2023

Bonds haven’t been the best hedge for your equities over the past two years. Maybe

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Bond Fireworks: Largest Treasury ETF Now More Volatile Than Stocks

October 17, 2023

Anyone hoping for a reprieve from the “penny stock“-esque, rollercoaster price action that’s come to

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Who’ll Buy Equities In 2024?

October 17, 2023October 17, 2023

Market participants are understandably concerned about what many argue is a burgeoning supply/demand imbalance in

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1 Comment on Who’ll Buy Equities In 2024?

Kolanovic, JPMorgan Add Bonds, Gold Amid Familiar Risks

October 16, 2023

Different month, same risks. That was the overarching message from JPMorgan analysts led by Marko

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Treasury Market Struggles With Unfamiliar Dynamic: Buyers Who Care About Price

October 16, 2023October 16, 2023

There’s a lot of focus on Treasury supply right now, and that’s an understatement. Last

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A Spread Worth Watching?

October 16, 2023

Who you gonna believe, gas prices or the labor market? Last week, the preliminary read

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Are Markets Overestimating Right-Tail Risk?

October 15, 2023

It’s been all right-tail and no left- in recent weeks, according to option-implied, three-month ahead

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2 Comments on Are Markets Overestimating Right-Tail Risk?

US Equity Funds Return To Outflows But Bullish Sentiment Jumps

October 13, 2023October 13, 2023

US equity-focused ETFs and mutual funds returned to outflows over the latest weekly reporting period.

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Bonds May Offer ‘Stock-Like’ Returns In 2024

October 13, 2023

Did you hear? Bonds could be set to offer “equity-like” returns in 2024. I’m serious.

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Money Fund Assets Remain Near Record. RRP Hits New Two-Year Low

October 12, 2023October 12, 2023

Money market funds assets remained near record highs in excess of $5.71 trillion in the

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A Quick Guide To Q3 Earnings Season

October 12, 2023

Earnings season kicks off in the US on Friday. Perhaps you heard. Most readers hopefully

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Two Mideast War Scenarios

October 11, 2023October 11, 2023

“An Israel-Hamas war would be tragic, but the impact on the global economy and markets

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‘Highly Probable Fed Hikes Are Complete’: McElligott

October 11, 2023October 11, 2023

Have we seen the turning point for bonds? I hope so. I like being right

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Fear The Wall

October 10, 2023

Everybody has a maturity wall, it’s just a matter of how far out it is.

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Technically Speaking

October 9, 2023

If you’re looking to explain recent weakness in equities, you don’t have to look very

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‘An Orderly Clearing Of Markets’: Goldman On The Bond Selloff

October 8, 2023October 8, 2023

Odds may now favor a “sharp reversal” in US long-end yields. That’s according to Goldman,

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US Equity Flows, Sentiment Cautious Amid Macro Ambiguity

October 6, 2023

US equity-focused ETFs and mutual funds notched another week of inflows with a modest $3.9

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Money Market Funds See Massive Inflow. Assets Hit $5.71 Trillion

October 5, 2023

Money market funds took in a massive $64 billion in the week to October 4,

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Stock Correction Saw $50 Billion In Mechanical Selling

October 5, 2023October 5, 2023

The impact of systematic flows — and particularly systematic selling — on equities is a

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Disinversion By Bear?

October 5, 2023October 5, 2023

The key question on the heels of this summer’s dramatic escalation in what’s now the

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The Only Thing To Fear Is Missing Out

October 4, 2023October 4, 2023

Ours is a market “conditioned to fear rallies more than selloffs and comfortably numb to

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Vol-Selling, Mechanical De-Leveraging And What’s Next For Stocks

October 4, 2023October 4, 2023

The muscle memory that says you sell vol on any meaningful expansion and/or setback for

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