I’m not sure I’d call Wednesday’s all-important inflation update out of the US “comforting.” Although
Author: therealheisenberg
JPMorgan’s Doing Fine, If You Were Wondering
Remember: Volatility’s a boon if your business (or one of your businesses) is facilitating trades.
January Effects
So far, January hasn’t been especially kind to previously-buoyant equities. Global shares are down 1%
Two Key Stock Performance Drivers (And One ‘Quite Depressing’ Chart)
Let’s say you want to explain stock returns and performance. What factors matter? You could
Key Systematic Strats Shed $92 Billion Of Stock Exposure Since FOMC Meeting
Is the stock pullback over? I doubt it, and now that you mention it, I
Wholesale Price Growth Slows In Welcome News For Battered Bonds
Good news for the melancholic, inflation fatalists among you (I should say “among us” considering
Capex Boom, Like Everything Else, Is A Mag7 Story
First thing this week, in “The Numbers Behind America’s AI Dominance,” I cited capex and
Why The VIX Space Is ‘Chronically Stressed’
There’s tension in the air across markets. Can you feel it? I’ve talked at some
Fed Gets Second Worrisome Inflation Expectations Update In Two Sessions
There was more evidence Monday that Americans’ medium-term inflation expectations are drifting higher (again) amid
The Numbers Behind America’s AI Dominance
The “US exceptionalism” theme’s ubiquitous to the point of being a cliché by now. Universal
Stocks’ Bond Problem Grows As Traders Fret Over Fed
Stocks have a bond problem. Maybe you noticed. US equities — and stocks more generally,
On Eve Of Trump’s Return, China’s Trade ‘Winnings’ Reach $1 Trillion
China’s a reverse Art Vandelay: “Just exports, no imports?” On Monday, Beijing released trade figures
The Chilly Truth Behind China’s 5% Growth
China’s set to release a raft of key data this week, including the full-year GDP
Fed Prays For Inflation Reprieve
The Fed could really — really — use a break on the inflation front. Policymakers
The Most Pressing Question(s) On Earth
I’d say there’s no more pressing question than whether the largest US tech companies will
High Bar, Two-Sided Risks: What To Expect From Earnings Season
Reporting season starts next week, and analysts collectively have great expectations for corporate America. Consensus
Cash Cult Keeps Gathering Adherents
If you’re curious, money market funds kicked off the new year with a big inflow.
Worst Of All Possible Worlds?
I don’t know how many market participants had “bear flattener” on their jobs day bingo
In Ominous Development, US Inflation Expectations Soar To Highest Since 2008
Uh oh. A closely-watched measure of medium- and longer-term inflation expectations printed 3.3% in the
Bulls, Bears, Booms And Bonds
As a reminder no one needs, last year marked just the fifth time in a
US Jobs, Comin’ In Hot!
Look out! US payrolls are comin’ in hot. The US economy added 256,000 jobs last
UK Teeters On Brink Of Second Crisis In Two Years
Liz Truss was in the news Thursday. Apparently, it’s illegal to suggest she crashed the
In China, The Great Deep Freeze Continues
China: It’s not going well. Still. It’s still not going well for the world’s second-largest
Rekindled Inflation And Fear Of The Great Unknown
At the risk of stating the obvious (and for the umpteenth time), one of the
Risk Of US Stock Drawdown Rises To One In Three
The risk of a meaningful stock pullback’s elevated. You can tell because… well, have you
FOMC Minutes Betray Early Concern Over Tariffs, Deportations
During last month’s press conference, Jerome Powell went out of his way to suggest upward
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