As expected, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation was benign in data released on Friday.
Author: therealheisenberg
Do Foreign Investors Really Have ‘Too Much’ US Exposure?
There’s still no consensus on whether and to what extent Donald Trump’s policies — from
At The President’s Invitation
“Donnie, I got sent for.” On Thursday, the Fed casually announced that Jerome Powell was
Pending Home Sales Collapse Again In Hopeless US Housing
It was a false dawn. Another one. Following a blockbuster gain to kick off the
Court Says Felon Acted Illegally
On Thursday morning in the US, Best Buy cut its sales and profit outlook for
Brake Slam
Bad news. Or maybe it’s good news to the extent slower growth relieves some of
Terms And Conditions
I’ve spent a ton of time since “Liberation Day” talking about the term premium, and
Huang Praises The Revolution As Nvidia Results Clouded By China Curbs
Nvidia — maybe you’ve heard of it — beat on the top-line in results released
17 Times The Uncertainty
The word “uncertainty” came up 17 times in the May FOMC minutes, released on Wednesday
Is US Tech Still Magnificent?
As Nvidia readied its quarterly results, analysts and strategists were torn on whether investors should
Treasury Selloff Is Insult To Injury For US Housing Crisis
Remember when Scott Bessent was going to reduce financing costs for everyday, middle-income Americans like
Are Developed Markets The New Banana Republics?
Implicit in pervasive hand-wringing over the recent sharp rise in long-end bond yields across advanced
US Home Price Growth Slows, Luxury Market Hit By Stock Crash
The annual pace of home price growth as measured by the marquee gauge of US
Trump Engineers Epic Confidence Reversal With China Tariff Pause
While previewing this week’s slate of US macro releases, I suggested consumer confidence was likely
In Japan, Myth Maintenance
Markets stop panicking when policymakers start. I don’t know if the news out of Japan
For $1.8 Trillion In Student Loans, It’s Payback Time
Student loans are in the news and I feel like I should say something about
Gone Crazy
Breaking news: Vladimir Putin’s a psychopath. According to Donald Trump, that’s a recent development. “He
Indecency Run Amok
One day, it’ll be obvious to everyone how crazy US policy was in 2025. To
Confidence Game
There’s enough on the calendar to keep macro watchers engaged this week, although the unofficial
A Global ‘Losing The Long-End’ Moment?
Is the developed world staring down a fiscal crisis and a potential implosion of sundry
‘Sell America’ Vibe Hard To Ignore Despite ‘TINA’ Legacy
Maybe the “sell America” narrative’s overdone, maybe it isn’t, but one thing’s for sure: Europe-focused
Who Wants To Loan ‘The King Of Debt’ Some Money?
This week was all about bonds, and specifically US Treasurys. Although the US long-end managed
New Homes: Get ‘Em While Builders Are Desperate
If you’re looking for a discount on a new construction, now’s the time. That was
‘A Straight 50%’
Donald Trump’s so over it. By “it,” I mean recalcitrance in Brussels, where EU officials
Trump Again Demands Apple Make iPhones In America
Maybe the iPhones aren’t safe after all. Donald Trump put a damper on Friday’s pre-Memorial
Playing With Fire
It’s a mistake, and not a small one either, to view Donald Trump’s assault on
Spring Buying Season Goes Bust As Existing Home Sales Fall Again
Surprise! Existing US home sales fell last month, according to Thursday’s update from the recognized
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