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Author: therealheisenberg

A Long Week For Jay Powell

May 4, 2025May 6, 2025

This’ll be a long week for Jerome Powell. The Fed convenes Tuesday and Wednesday, and

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2 Comments on A Long Week For Jay Powell

Dope

May 3, 2025June 24, 2026

Flurries   It was a busy day, and I was pressed for time. I had

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14 Comments on Dope

Buffett, 94 With $350 Billion In Cash, Holds Court

May 3, 2025August 2, 2025

Warren Buffett’s still alive. That was one takeaway from Berkshire’s annual meeting, where a 94-year-old,

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12 Comments on Buffett, 94 With $350 Billion In Cash, Holds Court

Miracle Man

May 2, 2025May 5, 2025

Congratulations to Donald Trump: Headed into the US afternoon on Friday, he was set to

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8 Comments on Miracle Man

Is The US Outflow Narrative Overdone?

May 2, 2025May 4, 2025

They were still selling US equities over the last week. And they were still buying

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7 Comments on Is The US Outflow Narrative Overdone?

Jobs Report Comes Up Roses In Boon To Trump

May 2, 2025May 5, 2025

If you were expecting something dramatic — something exciting — from Friday’s US jobs report,

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8 Comments on Jobs Report Comes Up Roses In Boon To Trump

Amazon, Apple Underwhelm As Questions Outnumber Answers

May 1, 2025May 3, 2025

Amazon, which was in the news this week for kissing Donald Trump’s ass, rang up

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3 Comments on Amazon, Apple Underwhelm As Questions Outnumber Answers

The Machines Should Be Buying Stocks From Here

May 1, 2025

I’ve been on at some length since “Liberation Day” about the extent to which the

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5 Comments on The Machines Should Be Buying Stocks From Here

Dumb and Dumber

May 1, 2025May 2, 2025

Scott Bessent says the Fed needs to cut rates. He’d know. He and a “Tariff

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3 Comments on Dumb and Dumber

American Manufacturers Unconvinced Tariffs Good For Business

May 1, 2025May 2, 2025

Could’ve been worse. That’s how I’d describe Thursday’s update on the marquee gauge of US

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2 Comments on American Manufacturers Unconvinced Tariffs Good For Business

You’re Fired

May 1, 2025May 2, 2025

The good news is, US job cut announcements plunged in April. The bad news is,

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12 Comments on You’re Fired

Microsoft, Meta Beat Estimates As Big-Tech Sturdy

April 30, 2025May 1, 2025

Microsoft results can be a tough cover. A lot depends on what Amy Hood says

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10 Comments on Microsoft, Meta Beat Estimates As Big-Tech Sturdy

Stagflation-Lite Is Here

April 30, 2025May 1, 2025

The US economy shrank during the first three months of America’s new “golden age.” And

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13 Comments on Stagflation-Lite Is Here

Contract Signings Surge In Mercurial US Housing Market

April 30, 2025May 1, 2025

They’re buying houses all of a sudden! Or at least signing contracts to buy houses.

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2 Comments on Contract Signings Surge In Mercurial US Housing Market

Things Were Going Well. Then Along Came Tariff Man.

April 30, 2025May 1, 2025

On the bright side — there’s something you don’t hear too often these days —

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1 Comment on Things Were Going Well. Then Along Came Tariff Man.

Sooner Or Later, Trump’s Going To Commandeer The Fed

April 30, 2025April 30, 2025

It’s tempting to ignore Donald Trump’s nonsensical ramblings — “malarkey,” to channel a certain senior

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9 Comments on Sooner Or Later, Trump’s Going To Commandeer The Fed

Capital Flows To US Assets Dry Up Amid Policy Chaos

April 29, 2025April 30, 2025

Hard stop. That’s what we’re looking at in terms of foreign investor flows to US

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2 Comments on Capital Flows To US Assets Dry Up Amid Policy Chaos

Amazon Can’t Tell Americans The Truth About Tariffs, White House Says

April 29, 2025April 30, 2025

You’re not allowed to tell Americans the truth about tariffs. That was Karoline Leavitt’s implicit

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18 Comments on Amazon Can’t Tell Americans The Truth About Tariffs, White House Says

Consumer Confidence Collapses As American Households Despair

April 29, 2025April 30, 2025

There’s no other way to look at this first 100 days other than a huge

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10 Comments on Consumer Confidence Collapses As American Households Despair

Prices Still Rising In ‘Out Of Whack’ US Housing Market

April 29, 2025April 29, 2025

US home prices continued to rise, worsening an affordability crisis which, according even to housing

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4 Comments on Prices Still Rising In ‘Out Of Whack’ US Housing Market

From GM To Canadian Grandmothers, Everyone’s ‘Tired Of Winning’ Already

April 29, 2025April 30, 2025

I don’t know about anybody else, but this American’s tired of winning already. 100 days

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10 Comments on From GM To Canadian Grandmothers, Everyone’s ‘Tired Of Winning’ Already

No One Likes Uncertainty

April 28, 2025April 28, 2025

This may not have occurred to every “very stable genius” in the world, but deliberately

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2 Comments on No One Likes Uncertainty

‘Ghosts In The Recursion Fields’: How We Lose Our Humanity To AI

April 28, 2025April 29, 2025

I tried recently to limit my iPhone screen time. To that end, I started bringing

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25 Comments on ‘Ghosts In The Recursion Fields’: How We Lose Our Humanity To AI

The Bonds Don’t Lie

April 28, 2025April 29, 2025

First thing Monday, I not-so-gently chided Scott Bessent for what, in my view anyway, was

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3 Comments on The Bonds Don’t Lie

Fool’s Gold

April 28, 2025April 29, 2025

Over the weekend, Scott Bessent said a ridiculous thing. He said a lot of ridiculous

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10 Comments on Fool’s Gold

Traders Brace For Data Tsunami With GDP, Payrolls Due

April 27, 2025April 29, 2025

This’ll be a busy week on the macro-market front, and probably on the political front

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3 Comments on Traders Brace For Data Tsunami With GDP, Payrolls Due

War, Peace And A Very Slippery Slope

April 27, 2025April 28, 2025

Donald Trump was at Pope Francis’s funeral for all of 14 minutes on Saturday. It

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8 Comments on War, Peace And A Very Slippery Slope

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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