Another week, another decent read on a high-frequency proxy for private payroll growth in the
Author: therealheisenberg
BLS Hands Trump Decent Inflation Report
Well whaddya know, core inflation in the US was cooler than expected last month. Fancy
Dimon Upbeat On US Economy As JPMorgan Tops Estimates
JPMorgan kicked off big bank earnings in the US on Tuesday with a set of
Trump Has World On Tenterhooks Again As Iran Strike Rumors Swirl
On the off chance anyone’s interested in JD Vance’s opinion, America’s vice president isn’t convinced
First They Came For Jay…
As any long-time reader can attest, I spent years (literally) warning on the clear and
‘Mark Z’ Taps Trump-Endorsed ‘Goldman Diplomat’ To Head AI Buildout
Dina Powell McCormick’s “uniquely suited to help Meta manage [its] next phase of growth.” She’s
Potential Powell Indictment Casts Pall Over Inflation Data
To the extent the Trump administration’s concerned about restoring the market’s faith in the reliability
Facing Criminal Indictment, Powell Finally Stands Up To Trump
Jerome Powell’s finally had enough of Donald Trump. In an extraordinary statement accompanied by an
Is Another US Military Strike On Iran Imminent?
The death toll in Iran’s rising. And Donald Trump’s patience, which is thin on stoic
The Virtues And Risks Of Trump’s Foreign Policy
In some perverse sense, Donald Trump may deserve credit for jettisoning post-World War II decorum
Weekly: The Diosdado Cabello Question
Late Friday, Delcy Rodriguez, in her capacity as interim president of Venezuela, said her country’s in
American Workers Screwed Like Never Before, Key Metric Shouts
Remember when labor, as an economic actor with clout, was back? No? Me neither, but
‘Vibecession’ Lives On As Poor Sentiment Belies Red-Hot GDP Tracker
“Kitchen table issues.” That’s what Americans are concerned about, not so much which Chavistas are
Trump Resorts To Gimmicks To Revive Moribund US Housing
It’s a good thing Donald Trump’s going to rescue the US housing market by “asking”
US Hiring Tepid After Sharp 2025 Slowdown
The first “clean” (that probably needs more scare quotes) read on the US labor market
In Iran, A Moment
The chickens are restless in Iran. Video footage verified and geolocated by multiple mainstream international
Donald Trump, Peace Prize Hopeful, Wants A ‘Dream Army’
If the Department of Defense is the Department of War now, does that mean defense
Potential Vs Kinetic Energy: Goldman Sees 2026 Stock Rally Despite Risks
Did I mention that Goldman expects meaningful gains for US equities in 2026? Maybe. Probably.
McElligott Offers Nuanced Explanation For Macro ‘Green Shoots’
Mind the capex pull-forward effect. That was one message from Nomura’s Charlie McElligott who, in
Now Hiring. Or At Least Not Firing
The overall US hiring impulse was the strongest in eight months in December, a private-sector
Layoffs Soar, Hiring Plunges In Year One Of American ‘Golden Age’
I’ll start with the good news. Job cuts halved in the US last month versus
Trump Moves To Ban Private Equity From Housing Market
“I thought you were my friend!” shouted the private equity baron to the real estate
America’s ‘Jobs-Jobless’ Ratio Tumbles To Lowest Since 2021
If you were curious, job openings across the world’s largest economy plunged in November, a
Grand Theft Nautical: US Seizes Fugitive Ship Protected By Russian Sub
Donald Trump’s running the world like he’s playing Grand Theft Auto, which is hilarious. And
US Services Sector Heats Up As New Orders Soar
The US services sector’s doing just fine, thank you very much. On the heels of
Gimmie The Loot: Trump Hits Maduro Regime For $2.8 Billion
On January 3, one of The White House’s multiple official social media accounts posted a
Private Hiring Stabilizes In America
Good news: Overall private sector hiring in the US rebounded late last year as small
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