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Author: therealheisenberg

Unhedged Pros Perilously Exposed To Stock Drawdown

January 21, 2026January 22, 2026

If nothing can go wrong, I suppose you don’t need hedges. I’m reminded of an

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Uber-Bullish Fund Managers Expect A ‘Boom’

January 21, 2026January 21, 2026

Professional money managers have virtually never been more bullish. Because what on Earth could go

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Denmark De-Dollarizes

January 20, 2026January 21, 2026

“We are taking no action based on rhetoric alone.” So said Anders Schelde, CIO of

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5 Comments on Denmark De-Dollarizes

‘Take A Deep Breath,’ Bessent Says, As Dollar Dives

January 20, 2026January 21, 2026

If you’re a developed nation, you don’t want to see your currency sell off at

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3 Comments on ‘Take A Deep Breath,’ Bessent Says, As Dollar Dives

Trump Goes All-In On Greenland As Macron Decries ‘Blood Politics’

January 20, 2026January 21, 2026

Tariff Man’s losing the plot a little bit. Or maybe, as the most powerful person

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14 Comments on Trump Goes All-In On Greenland As Macron Decries ‘Blood Politics’

Japanese Bond Market Implodes On Takaichi Power Play

January 20, 2026January 21, 2026

There’s trouble in bond land and the epicenter’s Tokyo. Three months into her tenure, Japanese

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4 Comments on Japanese Bond Market Implodes On Takaichi Power Play

Nobel Giftee Trump ‘No Longer Obliged To Think Purely Of Peace’

January 19, 2026January 20, 2026

Donald Trump’s bid to acquire (or seize or steal or whatever verb you prefer) Greenland

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13 Comments on Nobel Giftee Trump ‘No Longer Obliged To Think Purely Of Peace’

China Just Had A Very Tough Year Economically

January 19, 2026January 20, 2026

Late last month, Xi Jinping described 2025 as an “extraordinary” year for China economically. It

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The Great Irony Of China’s Record-Low Birth Rate

January 19, 2026January 20, 2026

Say what you will, but at least they escaped the Malthusian trap. Behind China’s much-ballyhooed

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13 Comments on The Great Irony Of China’s Record-Low Birth Rate

Stocks, Credit Ignore A World Ablaze

January 18, 2026January 19, 2026

It’s a holiday week in the US and there isn’t a lot on the compressed

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8 Comments on Stocks, Credit Ignore A World Ablaze

Transatlantic Union Nears Collapse As Trump Demands Greenland

January 18, 2026January 20, 2026

Part of me’s surprised Donald Trump didn’t threaten to rain “fire and fury” on Copenhagen

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13 Comments on Transatlantic Union Nears Collapse As Trump Demands Greenland

Weekly: Fiat Fatigue And A World On Fire (Why Gold Keeps Rising)

January 17, 2026January 20, 2026

The never-ending rally in gold’s no different from any other phenomenon in being unamenable to

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13 Comments on Weekly: Fiat Fatigue And A World On Fire (Why Gold Keeps Rising)

Did Trump Just Announce The Next Fed Chair?

January 16, 2026January 19, 2026

Donald Trump may spare us the humiliation of Fed Chair Kevin Hassett. As recently as

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Builder Mood Worsens As Down Payment Burden Sidelines Home Buyers

January 16, 2026January 18, 2026

Forlorn US homebuilders weren’t feeling any better about their plight as 2026 dawned. The last

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7 Comments on Builder Mood Worsens As Down Payment Burden Sidelines Home Buyers

Trump Will Force Big-Tech To Subsidize Expensive Power Bills

January 16, 2026January 18, 2026

By every outward appearance, Donald Trump’s very concerned about his inflation polling headed into the

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9 Comments on Trump Will Force Big-Tech To Subsidize Expensive Power Bills

How Scary Is The Ramp-Up In Tech Sector Debt?

January 15, 2026January 17, 2026

Investors harbor a veritable obsession with hyper-scaler capex and for good reason. As discussed here

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4 Comments on How Scary Is The Ramp-Up In Tech Sector Debt?

AI Capex Spree Points To Lower Returns On Capital

January 15, 2026January 16, 2026

Get ready for lower returns on capital from the largest, most important companies on the

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4 Comments on AI Capex Spree Points To Lower Returns On Capital

Jobless Claims Don’t Want To Hear Your Recession Narrative

January 15, 2026January 15, 2026

Jobless claims: They’re low in the US. And that’s an understatement. With the caveat that

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3 Comments on Jobless Claims Don’t Want To Hear Your Recession Narrative

Goldman’s Equities Traders, Morgan’s Debt Bankers Make It Rain

January 15, 2026January 16, 2026

Goldman’s equities traders did some trading last quarter. Notwithstanding a slight miss to consensus when

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2 Comments on Goldman’s Equities Traders, Morgan’s Debt Bankers Make It Rain

A Word On Donald Trump’s Credit Card Crusade

January 15, 2026January 16, 2026

The handwringing over Donald Trump’s credit card interest rate cap looks overdone and comically so.

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US Housing Perks Up As Industry Debates Trump’s GSE Gambit

January 14, 2026

A “tough” year for the resale US housing market ended on a high note, data

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For The Islamic Republic, It’s All Over But The Crying

January 14, 2026January 15, 2026

Iran would hate to have to pretend to shoot at US troops again, but they

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11 Comments on For The Islamic Republic, It’s All Over But The Crying

US Retail Sales Solid, Wholesale Prices Benign

January 14, 2026January 15, 2026

The Census Bureau finally got around to tallying US retail sales for November which is,

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Bank Of America’s Fine, In Case You Were Wondering

January 14, 2026January 15, 2026

Brian Moynihan, like Jamie Dimon, is bullish on the US economy. He said as much

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China’s $1.2 Trillion Trade Surplus Papers Over Deflation Crisis

January 14, 2026January 15, 2026

The final numbers are in. When it was all said and done for 2025, China’s

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McElligott Explains Why Stocks Don’t Care About Powell Drama

January 13, 2026January 14, 2026

If you’re old enough to remember 2018, the year Jerome Powell took the reins at

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Greenland’s Future May Be ‘Sovereignty Twilight’

January 13, 2026January 14, 2026

Early this week, a piece appeared in Foreign Affairs called “How Greenland Falls.” It’s by

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