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Author: therealheisenberg

Meta, Microsoft Beat As AI Costs Scrutinized

January 28, 2026January 29, 2026

Meta and Microsoft both beat estimates in results released after the bell on Wall Street

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4 Comments on Meta, Microsoft Beat As AI Costs Scrutinized

Jerome Powell’s Got Nothing For You

January 28, 2026January 29, 2026

Jerome Powell has nothing for you. On anything. Or at least not on anything you

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7 Comments on Jerome Powell’s Got Nothing For You

Waller Joins Miran In Dovish Dissent As Fed Holds Rates

January 28, 2026January 29, 2026

The Fed kept rates on hold Wednesday, as widely expected. Stephen Miran naturally dissented, but

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‘With Speed And Violence’: Iran Regime Change Back In Play

January 28, 2026January 29, 2026

It’s hard not to laugh, dire though these times of ours most assuredly are. I’m

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11 Comments on ‘With Speed And Violence’: Iran Regime Change Back In Play

The Poli-Sci Catalyst Behind Gold’s Epic Rally, Dollar’s Deepening Disaster

January 28, 2026January 28, 2026

The paradox of power for America vis-à-vis the dollar-based financial architecture which grew out of,

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8 Comments on The Poli-Sci Catalyst Behind Gold’s Epic Rally, Dollar’s Deepening Disaster

As Mag7 Results Begin, This Is The Most Important Question…

January 27, 2026

As Mag7 results roll in, the most important question for the world’s most important companies

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US Population Growth Plunges On ‘Historic’ Immigration Decline

January 27, 2026January 28, 2026

It’s working. The Trump administration’s sweeping effort to curb immigration, I mean. New estimates from

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10 Comments on US Population Growth Plunges On ‘Historic’ Immigration Decline

American Mood ‘Collapses’

January 27, 2026January 28, 2026

“Collapsed.” That’s the word the Conference Board used on Tuesday to describe the month-to-month change

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9 Comments on American Mood ‘Collapses’

Real US Home Values Keep Shrinking. Deal Cancellations Soar

January 27, 2026January 28, 2026

Home prices are still rising in America, but real housing wealth contracted a sixth month

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5 Comments on Real US Home Values Keep Shrinking. Deal Cancellations Soar

Dollar Bears Everywhere!

January 27, 2026January 28, 2026

I spent a lot of time early this week lamenting the rampant uncertainty engendered by

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1 Comment on Dollar Bears Everywhere!

Insurrection Act Rumors, Civil War Fears Spread Amid Minneapolis Melee

January 26, 2026January 27, 2026

The images plastered across the front page of every mainstream media outlet in America on

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20 Comments on Insurrection Act Rumors, Civil War Fears Spread Amid Minneapolis Melee

What Immigration Crackdowns And De-Dollarization Have In Common

January 26, 2026January 27, 2026

Rule of law. It matters. In fact, it’s the only thing that matters in the

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6 Comments on What Immigration Crackdowns And De-Dollarization Have In Common

Gold Soars Above $5,000 As Chaos Rally Goes Parabolic

January 26, 2026January 27, 2026

I love the smell of flaming fiat in the morning. On Monday, gold added to

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4 Comments on Gold Soars Above $5,000 As Chaos Rally Goes Parabolic

What To Expect From 2026’s First FOMC Meeting

January 25, 2026January 26, 2026

Jerome Powell, spendthrift renovator, will defy Donald Trump’s calls for more rate cuts at this

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1 Comment on What To Expect From 2026’s First FOMC Meeting

Is Another US Government Shutdown Coming?

January 25, 2026January 27, 2026

Who’s ready for another US government shutdown? Or martial law in America? Or both? Senate

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14 Comments on Is Another US Government Shutdown Coming?

Weekly: The Existential Threat To US Treasurys

January 24, 2026January 26, 2026

I’m pretty sanguine about the outlook for risk assets but… BUT. At the end of

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11 Comments on Weekly: The Existential Threat To US Treasurys

Remember: ‘The Markets Have No Heart’

January 23, 2026January 26, 2026

I’ve said it a few dozen times before and I’m sure I’ll say it at

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4 Comments on Remember: ‘The Markets Have No Heart’

White House Gets Rare Reprieve From Marquee Macro Mood Poll

January 23, 2026January 25, 2026

The Trump administration caught a rare break on the domestic economic sentiment front Friday, when

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Bond Vigilantes Beat Down The Door In Japan

January 23, 2026January 25, 2026

I wouldn’t say this was an “all’s well that ends well” week for the Japanese

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3 Comments on Bond Vigilantes Beat Down The Door In Japan

The Stocks Are Fine. The ‘Fake’ Polls, Not So Much

January 23, 2026January 24, 2026

If you’re a politician and your poll numbers aren’t great, there are a couple of

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1 Comment on The Stocks Are Fine. The ‘Fake’ Polls, Not So Much

Missiles, Mining And Military Bases: Greenland Deal Comes Into View

January 22, 2026January 23, 2026

By Thursday afternoon in the US, which is to say around 24 hours after Donald

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7 Comments on Missiles, Mining And Military Bases: Greenland Deal Comes Into View

Fed’s Favored Inflation Metric Still Tame (Read The Fine Print)

January 22, 2026January 23, 2026

“Refer to ‘Technical Notes’ for information on how the BEA imputed missing BLS prices.” That

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3 Comments on Fed’s Favored Inflation Metric Still Tame (Read The Fine Print)

Since 1969: US Jobless Claims Average Nears Milestone

January 22, 2026January 23, 2026

Another week, another rock-bottom — which is to say completely benign — read on US

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4 Comments on Since 1969: US Jobless Claims Average Nears Milestone

The ‘Infinite, Forever Deal’ For Greenland

January 22, 2026January 23, 2026

As it turns out — and I doubt this’ll surprise anybody — what Donald Trump

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9 Comments on The ‘Infinite, Forever Deal’ For Greenland

Greenland, Lisa Cook Saved As Rutte, SCOTUS Come Through

January 21, 2026January 22, 2026

Donald Trump’s not going to invade Greenland nor, apparently, is the Supreme Court prepared to

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14 Comments on Greenland, Lisa Cook Saved As Rutte, SCOTUS Come Through

Trump Says US Won’t Invade Greenland

January 21, 2026January 22, 2026

Donald Trump’s speech in Davos on Wednesday was very difficult to entertain and I wouldn’t

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7 Comments on Trump Says US Won’t Invade Greenland

Seller-Buyer Imbalance Goes Vertical As Pending Home Sales Plunge

January 21, 2026January 22, 2026

A mid-week update on the marquee gauge of contract activity across America’s still-beset resale housing

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