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Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A King In Washington

    September 20, 2026
  • The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

    September 19, 2026September 19, 2026

Markets

‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • Relief

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Holding Pattern

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • ‘The Plain Fact’

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026
  • How Crack Spread Reflexivity Kills The Equity Bull Market

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

economy

Weekly: The Counterfactual

September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026
  • Bolstered By Stock Gains, Americans Keep Spending

    September 16, 2026September 16, 2026

Geopolitics

Over A Barrel

September 14, 2026September 14, 2026

The Bab Al-Mandab Now Belongs To The Houthis

September 11, 2026September 14, 2026

$5,000 ‘Trump Dividend’ Is Classic Populist Inanity

September 10, 2026September 11, 2026

Duly Noted

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Revisiting Macro’s ‘Most Important Chart’

September 14, 2026September 15, 2026

Daily Kickstart (Swedish Edition)

December 21, 2016December 21, 2016

It makes total sense to take some money off the table. We’ve priced in no

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Leaked Memo Shows Russia Didn’t Make Trump’s List Of “Defense Priorities”

December 20, 2016December 20, 2016

Well this is truly epic. Those who have followed Donald Trump’s campaign from his grandiose,

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Here’s What Carl Icahn Did After Trump’s Election

December 20, 2016

Over the past several weeks, I’ve noted time and again how markets seem to be

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A Recent History Of Global Trade In One Chart

December 20, 2016

Ok, so let’s just be honest here. Anyone who suggests that the world would be

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Goldman Predictions No Better Than Coin Flip, Bank Admits

December 20, 2016December 21, 2016

Some folks think of Goldman Sachs as a collection of the smartest guys in the

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Presenting A Timeline Of China’s Fraught Currency

December 20, 2016

On Monday I took an in-depth look back at China’s trials and travails as they’ve played

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Daily Kickstart (BoJ Recap Edition)

December 20, 2016December 20, 2016

“European stocks climbed to their highest in almost a year, while bonds and gold fell,

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Geopolitics Rears Its Ugly Head As Russian Ambassador To Turkey Assassinated

December 19, 2016December 19, 2016

Update (via Stratfor): The attack comes at a bad time: Moscow and Ankara have only

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Following The “Three Wise Markets”

December 19, 2016

Boy, oh boy, the Christmas metaphors are in full effect over on the sellside. Thankfully

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Ushering Out 2016 With A Chuckle

December 19, 2016

If laughter is truly the best medicine and you happen to be sick with something,

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Daily Kickstart With Deutsche Bank

December 19, 2016

Well the dollar took a break on its march higher versus the yen on Monday,

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Majority Of Americans Say Trump Too Friendly With Russia/Putin: Poll

December 18, 2016

One topic that’s grabbed its share of headlines is the degree to which President-elect Donald

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These Are The States That Would Be Most Hurt If Trump Rips Up NAFTA

December 18, 2016

Donald Trump likes to extol the virtues of “good” deals. He also likes to bemoan

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This Graphic Shows Which Countries Are Most Vulnerable To A Soaring Dollar

December 17, 2016

If there’s anything analysts seem sure of right now, it’s that a stronger dollar is

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Breaking Down Policy Shift By Country

December 17, 2016

One of the themes at the forefront of everyone’s mind (well, at the forefront but

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Here’s What China Thinks Of Europe According To Web Search Results

December 17, 2016

If you want to have yourself some fun, play around one day with Google’s autocomplete.

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A Look Back At 8 Years Of QE

December 17, 2016

Well, we’re coming to the end of an era. The median Fed dots now presage

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Here Are Donald Trump’s Four Policy “Arrows”

December 17, 2016

One of the most pervasive themes (perhaps the most pervasive) in the post-election world is

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“Higher Rates Are Coming To Town”

December 17, 2016December 17, 2016

Oh dear lord. This is what passes for humor on the sellside (from Wells Fargo’s Nathaniel

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A Look Back At The Day That Was (Friday)

December 16, 2016

Well, the day ended pretty much as it started – with a reversal of recent

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Barclays Surveys 885 Investors – Here’s What They Found

December 16, 2016December 16, 2016

I’ve said it until I’m blue in the face (or maybe “yellow in the face”

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More Post-Fed, End Of Year Chatter

December 16, 2016

Reactions to the Fed’s “hawkish” dot plot shift are still trickling in from all over

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Presenting “Truth Trump”

December 16, 2016

You know, I have seen (not to mention penned) some pretty damning indictments of dishonest

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Assessing OPEC/Non-OPEC Production Cut Compliance

December 16, 2016December 16, 2016

I’ve been skeptical about the OPEC/non-OPEC production cuts since day one. As I outlined earlier

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The Dollar Has Become A “High Yielder”

December 16, 2016

We all know the USD has been on fire of late, thanks in no small

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Daily Kickstart

December 16, 2016

Gold is up, 10Y yields are slightly lower, the dollar is marginally weaker against the

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A Look Back At The Day That Was

December 16, 2016

For those who might have missed any of Thursday’s action or for anyone who just

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • derek on What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?
  • Marto on What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?
  • DL on A King In Washington
  • Mr. Lucky on A King In Washington

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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