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The Dark Side Of Liquidity: The Genealogy Of The AI Arms Race

November 9, 2026
  • Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • What Are Treasurys Telling Us?

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Megaspeed Indeed. (Two Huangs Don’t Make A Right)

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026

Markets

Jensen Got Honey-Trapped

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Weekly: Melodrama

    November 7, 2026November 9, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

    November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026

economy

Inflation Week!

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Rasputin Presiding

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

November 3, 2026November 8, 2026

Pimco’s Balls On Markets: “You’re Too Relaxed. Raise Cash Now.”

May 31, 2017

Balls: “We believe that many market participants today are too relaxed, that medium-term risks are building.”

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1 Comment on Pimco’s Balls On Markets: “You’re Too Relaxed. Raise Cash Now.”

Guest Post: Are Stock Traders Actually The Pessimists Here?

May 31, 2017

“Could it be utility stocks smell the coming economic slowdown ahead of the bond market?”

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Philadelphia Police Dept. Trolls Trump: “Drive With Covfefe”

May 31, 2017

Donald Trump has finally done it. He’s united the nation – in a coordinated effort

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Just 10 Stocks Account For Half The S&P’s 2017 Gain: “We’ve Reached A Limit”

May 31, 2017

“At 17pp above the average since 2003, it would be unusual for this outsized 47% contribution to increase even further.”

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1 Comment on Just 10 Stocks Account For Half The S&P’s 2017 Gain: “We’ve Reached A Limit”

One Bank Sums Things Up: “Equities Are The Last One Standing”

May 31, 2017

This is something I hope you already know.

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2 Comments on One Bank Sums Things Up: “Equities Are The Last One Standing”

Trader: “We’re Struggling To Understand Why Things Are Even Happening”

May 31, 2017

“So we function in a world where risk assets keep going up while we couch everything in risk-off terms. It’s not enough that our central bankers think they can play with our heads under the fiction that they are masters of nuance, we do it to ourselves.”

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oil, OPEC1 Comment on Trader: “We’re Struggling To Understand Why Things Are Even Happening”

And At 6 Minutes After Midnight, Trump Did Deliver The Orb’s Message: “Covfefe”

May 31, 2017

There’s a logic to Trump that you can only get if you look at Trump

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2 Comments on And At 6 Minutes After Midnight, Trump Did Deliver The Orb’s Message: “Covfefe”

China Just Murdered The Yuan Bears

May 31, 2017

The PBoC has spoken and markets, at least for the time being, have listened. Coming

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1 Comment on China Just Murdered The Yuan Bears

Key Calls (Wednesday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations

May 31, 2017May 31, 2017

Are your stocks on the list?

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Leave a Comment on Key Calls (Wednesday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations

Here’s This Week’s “Central Bank Chatterbox”

May 30, 2017

So about two weeks ago, we said that Goldman is super excited about their new “Central

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1 Comment on Here’s This Week’s “Central Bank Chatterbox”

“Trumping Your Life” – The Funniest Thing You’ll Read All Week

May 30, 2017May 30, 2017

“This is the second of five installments I plan to share. If you take this Trump-inspired self-help advice seriously, I believe it will significantly improve your existence.”

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2 Comments on “Trumping Your Life” – The Funniest Thing You’ll Read All Week

Alex Gardega Enjoys Vicariously “Pissing” On “Fearless Girls”

May 30, 2017May 30, 2017

That bull had integrity. That’s your absurd quote of the day and it comes from sculptor

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6 Comments on Alex Gardega Enjoys Vicariously “Pissing” On “Fearless Girls”

Goldman Has Some ‘Cheap’ Options Advice For You On Tuesday

May 30, 2017May 30, 2017

Right, so earlier today we noted that just a few weeks after everything was supposed

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Guest Post: Liberation From Facts – The American Cultural Revolution

May 30, 2017May 30, 2017

“But, at the same time, it is the only developed country where scientific discoveries are not reported, but debated.”

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1 Comment on Guest Post: Liberation From Facts – The American Cultural Revolution

Chart Of The Day: Don’t Fight The PBoC. K. Thx. Bye.

May 30, 2017

As you’re aware, some folks are talking about the yuan again. And that’s because last

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Leave a Comment on Chart Of The Day: Don’t Fight The PBoC. K. Thx. Bye.

It’s Official: “We Can Lay The Trump Reflation Euphoria To Rest”

May 30, 2017

“Still, when confronted with a choice of positioning for mean reversion or extremes to get more extreme, given the current level of market uncertainty I’ll choose the first one every time.”

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1 Comment on It’s Official: “We Can Lay The Trump Reflation Euphoria To Rest”

Guest Post: Is China Behind The Huge Spec Long Position In Crude?

May 30, 2017

“I don’t know about you, but if I were a Central Bank with too many U.S. dollars, I certainly would be selling the fiat currency and buying some real assets. And if you think about it, nothing is a better real asset than crude oil.”

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on Guest Post: Is China Behind The Huge Spec Long Position In Crude?

“Lower For Longer”: Goldman Presents “The Shale Productivity Paradox” (Part Deux)

May 30, 2017May 30, 2017

“Even if declines stay elevated, there is not room in our view for the market to handle “full capacity” from shale, OPEC and Top Projects at $55/bbl WTI without inventories moving well above the 5-year average on days of demand basis.”

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oil, OPEC1 Comment on “Lower For Longer”: Goldman Presents “The Shale Productivity Paradox” (Part Deux)

One Trader Talks Homemade Italian And A “Tag Team Wrestling Exhibition”

May 30, 2017May 30, 2017

“It’s yet another example of how the global narrative increasingly resembles a tag team wrestling exhibition. Or at least a heated he said, she said rumble.”

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CNN: Russia May Have “Derogatory Info” On Trump Other Than The Prostitutes Thing

May 30, 2017

The source said the intercepted communications suggested to US intelligence that Russians believed “they had the ability to influence the administration through the derogatory information.”

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1 Comment on CNN: Russia May Have “Derogatory Info” On Trump Other Than The Prostitutes Thing

“The Honeymoon Period Is Over” – Bullard Ain’t Buyin’ Trump And Other Overnight News

May 30, 2017

“Washington does have to deliver at some point and I think that is a concern going forward, whether the honeymoon period would end at some point and maybe the reality of American politics would settle in.”

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Leave a Comment on “The Honeymoon Period Is Over” – Bullard Ain’t Buyin’ Trump And Other Overnight News

“Between A Rock And A Hard Place” – China’s Latest Yuan Gambit

May 30, 2017

“Stuck between a rock and a hard place, China is likely to strengthen the yuan in order to lure foreign capital as the liquidity lifeline.”

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Key Calls (Tuesday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations

May 30, 2017May 30, 2017

Are your stocks on the list?

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Leave a Comment on Key Calls (Tuesday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations

Memorial Day Satire: “Garrett Kushner? I Hardly Knew Her”

May 29, 2017May 29, 2017

“He’s someone I would see around the office and who, I guess, was working for me.”

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Does It Only Get Steeper From Here?

May 29, 2017

“Typically, excessive overweight implies subsequent sell off and vice versa. Spec positioning data, both levels and changes, is a contrarian indicator of subsequent rate changes.”

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1 Comment on Does It Only Get Steeper From Here?

“Doug” Called Elizabeth Spiers A “Loser” – And Then It All Went Wrong For Doug

May 29, 2017May 29, 2017

“But let’s be clear: he was talking about you, Doug.”

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2 Comments on “Doug” Called Elizabeth Spiers A “Loser” – And Then It All Went Wrong For Doug

Guest Post: Why One Trader Is A “Big Bitcoin Bear”

May 29, 2017

Via Kevin Muir of “The Macro Tourist” fame We all know Dirty Harry’s viewpoint about

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3 Comments on Guest Post: Why One Trader Is A “Big Bitcoin Bear”

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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