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The Dark Side Of Liquidity: The Genealogy Of The AI Arms Race

November 9, 2026
  • Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • What Are Treasurys Telling Us?

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Megaspeed Indeed. (Two Huangs Don’t Make A Right)

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026

Markets

Jensen Got Honey-Trapped

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Weekly: Melodrama

    November 7, 2026November 9, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

    November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026

economy

Inflation Week!

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Rasputin Presiding

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

November 3, 2026November 8, 2026

BofAML Has A New Carry Indicator – And It’s Approaching “Exuberant”

May 29, 2017

“The latest reading is at the 81st percentile, which has preceded a EM carry sell-off in the next four weeks 58% of the time over the 10 year backtested period.”

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3 Comments on BofAML Has A New Carry Indicator – And It’s Approaching “Exuberant”

Guest Post: The Truth About Lies

May 29, 2017

“As a result, we had an ongoing process of integration of facts and fantasy, relativization of truth, and manufacturing of consensus. Donald Trump hasn’t come out of nowhere.”

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4 Comments on Guest Post: The Truth About Lies

Memorial Day Humor: Trump Twitter Edition

May 29, 2017May 29, 2017

“…including all haters and losers”…

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2 Comments on Memorial Day Humor: Trump Twitter Edition

Tangled Christmas Lights: Why You Should Fear China’s Shadow Banking System

May 29, 2017

Have you ever tried to untangle a string of Christmas tree lights that you hastily stuffed into a box when you took the tree down the previous year?

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“This Sort Of News” Is Bad, But “There’s A Wall Of Money Out There”

May 29, 2017

“Flows into EM assets persists despite this sort of news that you’d think would have the opposite impact.”

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“But Then Who Would Care?”: Explaining The Business Of Being A Market Cynic

May 29, 2017May 29, 2017

“If this whole thing truly does come apart at the seams, we’ll be out of business.”

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2 Comments on “But Then Who Would Care?”: Explaining The Business Of Being A Market Cynic

2/3 Of Growth And Value Funds Are Beating Their Benchmark. Guess Why…

May 28, 2017

“The overall improvement in large-cap mutual fund YTD returns cannot be attributed to an increase in total fund active share versus their benchmarks.”

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3 Comments on 2/3 Of Growth And Value Funds Are Beating Their Benchmark. Guess Why…

Everything You Need To Know For The Week Ahead

May 28, 2017May 28, 2017

Well, it’s Sunday which means normally, you’d be thinking about Monday, but this weekend you

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Angela Merkel, Leader Of The Free World, Just Gave Up On America

May 28, 2017May 28, 2017

And just like that, Donald Trump has managed to alienate the last line of defense for Western democracy.

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9 Comments on Angela Merkel, Leader Of The Free World, Just Gave Up On America

“Political Immunity” And Markets

May 28, 2017May 28, 2017

“Technical factors and central bank liquidity have allowed markets to suspend disbelief.”

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Guest Post: Guess What? Not All Government Borrowing Is Bad

May 28, 2017May 28, 2017

“Pundits constantly shout about the dangers of governments borrowing too much. They make all sorts of scary charts, and, uniformly, put all borrowing in the same pile. Debt is bad. It will be our downfall. Stop borrowing immediately. Yadadada.”

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Trump Gets Off Plane, Locks Self In Room, Has Twitter Meltdown

May 28, 2017

Plaxico. Just, “Plaxico.”

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Dear America: “Something Is Not Right!”

May 28, 2017May 28, 2017

In the middle of one night

Miss Clavel turned on the light

And said, “Something is not right!”

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4 Comments on Dear America: “Something Is Not Right!”

What Tightening? China’s “Magic Money Turbocharger” Just Hit A Record

May 27, 2017

“Yet the fact that the PBOC is getting more bang for its yuan doesn’t say anything about the productivity of the uses to which the money is put”…

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Saturday Satire: How To Prevent Body-Slamming Incidents

May 27, 2017May 27, 2017

“Medical studies have shown that the costs associated with body-slamming injuries could be greatly reduced by putting the people who cause them in a place where they can do no harm to others.”

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Guest Post: The Mindfuck

May 27, 2017

“One should think of wealth as an instrument that enhances the persuasive power and influence of an individual. Being able to convince poor people to vote against their direct interests and in favor of the oligarchs, and to convert these things into laws and tax codes.”

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4 Comments on Guest Post: The Mindfuck

Ben & Jerry’s Says “No Scoops For You!” In Same-Sex Marriage Push

May 27, 2017May 27, 2017

“So we are banning two scoops of the same flavor and encouraging our fans to contact their MPs to tell them that the time has come — make marriage equality legal!”

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4 Comments on Ben & Jerry’s Says “No Scoops For You!” In Same-Sex Marriage Push

Is Jared Kushner A Criminal? Dollars Available To Buy For 26 Cents

May 27, 2017

Well, it looks like Jared Kushner might have committed some treason. If you’ve turned on

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8 Comments on Is Jared Kushner A Criminal? Dollars Available To Buy For 26 Cents

Specs Now Net Long Treasurys For First Time Since July, Most Long 10Y Since 2007

May 26, 2017

Well, if you’re the type of person who has been conditioned to believe that “smart”

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3 Comments on Specs Now Net Long Treasurys For First Time Since July, Most Long 10Y Since 2007

“As The Beast Sleeps, The Tendency Is Toward Complacency”

May 26, 2017

“Yet there are indications that the marketplace is growing comfortable, perhaps too comfortable, with the calm.”

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The “Inevitable” Return Of Volatility: One Pro Explains The Ticking Vol Time Bomb

May 26, 2017May 26, 2017

“Stewards of capital should be actively considering the potential knock-on effects that result from contractual deleveraging triggered by the inevitable volatility spike.”

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2 Comments on The “Inevitable” Return Of Volatility: One Pro Explains The Ticking Vol Time Bomb

Mary Kane Loses It: Blasts Media For “FAKE, Irresponsible” Auto Coverage, Delivers Magnum Opus

May 26, 2017

Dear mainstream financial media: are you trying to make Citi’s Mary Kane lose her fucking mind? Because that’s what it seems like.

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2 Comments on Mary Kane Loses It: Blasts Media For “FAKE, Irresponsible” Auto Coverage, Delivers Magnum Opus

Photo Of The Week: “The Omen”

May 26, 2017

“Come and play with us, Danny”…

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2 Comments on Photo Of The Week: “The Omen”

Assault Isn’t A Good Reason To Keep Greg Gianforte Out Of Congress – But This Is…

May 26, 2017May 26, 2017

“Body slam guy believes that dinosaurs were heterosexually married in Noah’s ark.”

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10 Comments on Assault Isn’t A Good Reason To Keep Greg Gianforte Out Of Congress – But This Is…

Guest Post: Romance Is For Losers

May 26, 2017

“This is what trading is all about. We are constantly battling what we want to do, and what we should do. Even those who understand the game exceptionally well, are constantly battling their own inner demons.”

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Speculators Beware, China Just Made Things “Harder Still”

May 26, 2017

“At such times, FX intervention will become necessary to close the gap between the market price and the fixing.”

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Trader: We Are Living In A World Of “Consciously Derived Bubbles”

May 26, 2017

“Where did the feel-good vibe of equities making new highs every day and we’re all getting rich go?”

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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