Five Steps To A Santa Rally On Wall Street
It all hinges on the evolution of the data, of course, but absent an inflation
Two Mideast War Scenarios
“An Israel-Hamas war would be tragic, but the impact on the global economy and markets
‘Highly Probable Fed Hikes Are Complete’: McElligott
Have we seen the turning point for bonds? I hope so. I like being right
Can Israel ‘Win’ A Ground War In Gaza?
The death toll in Israel from the October 7 Hamas attacks rose to 1,200 on
Warm Producer Prices Overshadowed By Fedspeak, CPI, Mideast
In an inauspicious development, US producer prices rose more than expected in September, data released
A False Dawn For Bond Bulls?
Market commentary is hopelessly trifling — where that means entirely insignificant — in the presence
Broken Records
All’s not well under the surface of what, notwithstanding a late-summer setback, remains an optically
Fear The Wall
Everybody has a maturity wall, it’s just a matter of how far out it is.
‘Lost Decade’ Risk Remains For 60/40 Portfolios: Goldman
The outlook remains challenging for 60/40 portfolios. That was the message from Goldman’s Christian Mueller-Glissmann,
‘Not Tit For Tat’
“This is not tit for tat.” That was the message (or one message anyway) from
Technically Speaking
If you’re looking to explain recent weakness in equities, you don’t have to look very
In Israel-Hamas War, World Gets Third Shock In Three Years
Benjamin Netanyahu on Monday said Israel will “change the Middle East” in the course of
Bond Rally May Not Rescue Stocks, JPMorgan Warns
The “time is coming to position for the long duration trade.” So said JPMorgan analysts
Much Ado About Price Discovery
I chafe, instinctually, at the idea that the US government is “running out of room”
‘No Electricity, No Food, No Water’
“No electricity, no food, no water, no fuel.” That’s the situation facing Gazans. The quote
‘An Orderly Clearing Of Markets’: Goldman On The Bond Selloff
Odds may now favor a “sharp reversal” in US long-end yields. That’s according to Goldman,
US Inflation Update In Focus After Jobs Blowout
News reels around the world will be dominated by war coverage this week as Israel
The New ‘Fight The Fed’ Trade
What if they had a selloff and nobody sold? That seems like a bizarre proposition,
Earnings Season Is Here
Earnings season is here, believe it or not, and given the pervasive macro ambiguity weighing
US Equity Flows, Sentiment Cautious Amid Macro Ambiguity
US equity-focused ETFs and mutual funds notched another week of inflows with a modest $3.9
Fed Torched By US Jobs Scorcher
The US economy added 336,000 jobs last month, the most anticipated labor market report of
Crumbs For Doves
My guess would be September’s US labor market report, released on Friday, will be remembered
The ‘Ultimate Fear’
The “view” from where BofA’s Michael Hartnett is sitting goes something like this. “Still bearish risk
Money Market Funds See Massive Inflow. Assets Hit $5.71 Trillion
Money market funds took in a massive $64 billion in the week to October 4,
Barbarians At The Gaetz
To let some (most?) Republicans tell it, Americans stay up at night fretting over the
‘Penny Stock’ Bond Market Needs ‘Time Out’
There’s a lot of focus right now on bonds, but also on bond volatility, and
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