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Featured

Oil, Dammit!

October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026
  • Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Conniving Oracles

July 17, 2021July 19, 2021

We really should stop attributing self-awareness and a sense of purpose to the bond market.

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5 Comments on Conniving Oracles

Why Nobody Will Tell You The Truth

July 17, 2021October 22, 2021

Often, by the end of a given week, I’m exhausted with pretensions to concern about

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17 Comments on Why Nobody Will Tell You The Truth

Amid Frantic Dealmaking, Political Storm Clouds Gather

July 17, 2021July 18, 2021

Let’s make a deal. Lots of them. 2021’s first half witnessed the highest volume of

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The Bull Case Is Ambiguity

July 16, 2021July 18, 2021

“The bull case is ambiguity,” one popular strategist said this week. I like that characterization

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2 Comments on The Bull Case Is Ambiguity

If You Have The Means

July 16, 2021July 17, 2021

Consumer sentiment deteriorated in July, the preliminary read on the University of Michigan’s survey suggested, underscoring

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4 Comments on If You Have The Means

American Shoppers And Free Money For Families

July 16, 2021July 21, 2021

US retail sales were considerably more robust than expected in June, data out Friday showed.

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3 Comments on American Shoppers And Free Money For Families

Warning: Hong Kong Is Kinda Dangerous Now

July 16, 2021July 23, 2021

Cold War 2.0 was the narrative du jour on Friday. As tipped several days previous,

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7 Comments on Warning: Hong Kong Is Kinda Dangerous Now

For Wall Street, It’s Always ‘Another Strong Quarter’

July 15, 2021July 17, 2021

With big bank earnings on the books, we can draw at least one conclusion: Dealmaking

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A Question Of Horizons (Or Something)

July 15, 2021July 16, 2021

“We don’t want to jar markets or anything,” Jim Bullard told Bloomberg’s Michael McKee on

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3 Comments on A Question Of Horizons (Or Something)

Everything That’s Knowable

July 15, 2021July 16, 2021

360,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, slightly more than expected. The prior week

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1 Comment on Everything That’s Knowable

‘Maximum Crisis Level’

July 15, 2021July 16, 2021

One of this week’s media narratives revolved around the juxtaposition between a still-dovish Fed and

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22 Comments on ‘Maximum Crisis Level’

As Questions Mount, Chinese Economy Holds Up

July 14, 2021July 19, 2021

On the heels of an abrupt dovish policy pivot, the outlook for the Chinese economy

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1 Comment on As Questions Mount, Chinese Economy Holds Up

Paying For It

July 14, 2021July 15, 2021

$3.5 trillion is “a lot of money,” Democrat Jon Tester ventured. That was one gem

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2 Comments on Paying For It

Wrong And Calm Or Right And Scared?

July 14, 2021July 15, 2021

Jerome Powell said what he needed to say Wednesday in prepared remarks for his semi-annual

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‘Scorching’ Is The Adjective Du Jour

July 14, 2021July 14, 2021

I suppose it would’ve been something of a “letdown” if PPI had posted a downside

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1 Comment on ‘Scorching’ Is The Adjective Du Jour

Bank Of America Delivers A Bunch Of Indecipherable Numbers

July 14, 2021July 14, 2021

Bank of America reported what looked to be an underwhelming set of numbers for Q2

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$3.5 Trillion To ‘Make Average People’s Lives Better’

July 14, 2021July 20, 2021

It’s not a blank check, but it’s a start. Senate Democrats took a significant step

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16 Comments on $3.5 Trillion To ‘Make Average People’s Lives Better’

The Cyclical Boom Has Peaked, Says $800 Billion In AUM

July 13, 2021July 14, 2021

Fund managers are demonstrably less enthusiastic about reflation and growth, suggesting the macro narrative that

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3 Comments on The Cyclical Boom Has Peaked, Says $800 Billion In AUM

Gatorade Break

July 13, 2021July 14, 2021

It’s fairly obvious by now that market participants doubt seriously the idea that the Fed

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5 Comments on Gatorade Break

US Inflation Surges Again, Dealing Fresh Blow To ‘Transitory’

July 13, 2021July 20, 2021

Inflation surged far more than expected in the world’s largest economy last month, hotly-anticipated data

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5 Comments on US Inflation Surges Again, Dealing Fresh Blow To ‘Transitory’

Goldman Counters Trading Lull With Dealmaking, Investment Gains

July 13, 2021July 19, 2021

Trading revenue at Goldman trailed estimates in the second quarter, the bank said Tuesday. FICC

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1 Comment on Goldman Counters Trading Lull With Dealmaking, Investment Gains

JPMorgan Results Mixed. Dimon Prefers ‘Solid’

July 13, 2021July 13, 2021

JPMorgan kicked off big bank earnings with (surprise!) a beat. Adjusted revenue of $31.4 billion

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All Roads Lead To China

July 13, 2021July 13, 2021

Concerns are proliferating about the trajectory of China’s economic rebound, but that’s apparently a story

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1 Comment on All Roads Lead To China

A Little Something For The Bears

July 12, 2021July 13, 2021

One recurring theme over the first half of 2021 revolved around the notion that even

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Delta One

July 12, 2021July 13, 2021

John Williams gave a speech Monday, which wasn’t news. And, really, neither were his subsequent

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Macro Madness

July 12, 2021July 13, 2021

Forever ago, I had a boss whose demonstrable success had the effect of gradually eroding

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Topical Topics

July 12, 2021July 13, 2021

The new week dawned with a smattering of familiar headlines, flung haphazardly across the digital

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3 Comments on Topical Topics

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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