Propaganda Everywhere

Propaganda Everywhere

"Expectations have declined... point[ing] to increasing risks... such as from a possible fourth COVID-19 wave starting in autumn or a slowdown in growth in China," ZEW President Achim Wambach said Tuesday. "The clear improvement in the assessment of the economic situation, which has been ongoing for months, shows that expectations are also weakening due to the higher growth already achieved." Although that brief commentary was a summary of the prevailing mood among investors in Germany, it coul
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5 thoughts on “Propaganda Everywhere

  1. “Why the U.S. Delta Wave Could Be Far Less Deadly
    — We may see a decoupling between cases and deaths in the fourth COVID wave, experts say”

    From med page today this morning.

    The rise of the Delta variant in the U.S. has led to outbreaks of COVID-19 across the country. But as more people get vaccinated, the death toll in the fourth wave of the pandemic may not spike as high as it did in previous surges, according to experts.

    Increasing vaccination rates among Americans may result in a decoupling between infections and deaths — meaning that new cases might rise more steeply than fatalities.

    This trend was evident across the pond: At the peak of the U.K.’s most recent spike in mid-July, the 7-day average of new daily infections was around 47,000 cases (approaching its 60,000 peak from January). But so far this month, the country has seen around 80 deaths per day.

    “In the past with that level of infection, we would have seen over 1,000 deaths a day,” said Graham Medley, PhD, professor of infectious disease modeling at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine.

    Before vaccines, Medley said that the number of deaths was the clearest metric to assess the severity of the pandemic. But since the U.K. has fully vaccinated the majority of high-risk individuals — more than 90% of its oldest and most vulnerable populations, according to government data — “deaths are no longer the most obvious outcome of infection to the public.”

    There are lower vaccination rates in younger age groups, and as a result more young people are being hospitalized this time around, Medley noted.

    “The Delta variant is able to overcome the vaccine, especially one dose, in terms of its ability to infect, but the vaccine is still very effective against Delta when it comes to death,” Medley said. “Vaccination has changed this pandemic for the better.”

    A similar trend may follow in the U.S., according to experts. However, in areas with low vaccination rates, death tolls may mirror earlier pandemic waves.

    “We will see an uptake in infections, but I don’t think that we’ll see a significant drive in hospitalization and death in the areas that have very high vaccination rates,” said Syra Madad, DHSc, MSc, an infectious disease epidemiologist based in New York City. Communities with a 50% to 60% vaccination rate will likely be protected from the most severe outcomes, she added.

    Currently, the 7-day average of new daily COVID cases in the U.S. is nearly 100,000. Average daily deaths, which lag a few weeks behind new infection data, are around 450.

    One of the reasons why there may be a decoupling between daily infections and deaths in the U.S. is because the majority of the elderly are vaccinated. Just over 80% of people ages 65 and older — the group at highest risk for hospitalization and death — have been fully inoculated against COVID-19.

    “The surge of death that we would have seen is blunted because of our success thus far in vaccinating the most vulnerable,” said Leana Wen, ??MD, MSc, an emergency physician and health policy scholar at George Washington University in Washington D.C. and former health commissioner of Baltimore.

    “However, we are already seeing an increase in hospitalizations and deaths, the majority of which are preventable,” Wen added. “That is truly tragic.”

    This is China’s biggest problem. The west has better medicine. Johnson and Johnson vaccine will be produced in South Africa and widely distributed.
    Who the hell knows what’s really going on in China? But if it gets a real Third World look to it, it would make it harder for China to win over the Third World.

    “Ravaged by delta outbreak, Southeast Asia shifts away from China’s vaccines“ Washington post headline this morning

  2. Both China and the US tell a reasonably true story about each other (sans virus origin). The key will be if each society can look in the mirror and address its failings. Biden is doing a super job trying to get the US on a better path- if his 2 spending bills pass the US will be on a far better trajectory. It needs to pass before the midterms as the window is likely to close when (god help us) Kevin McCarthy becomes House speaker in 2023. Good chance Mitch closes in on majority leader as well in the Senate although it may take him until 2025- Arizona and Georgia are the only vulnerable seats there and the incumbents should be slight favorites there.

  3. There are few or no positive outcomes of COVID for the world or the United States.

    With that said, if there is one positive outcome, it’s that the disease has caused a change in thinking. The U.S. has never been isolated or independent of the rest of the world, and now that is painfully obvious. Whether it is a virus, or climate change, or the economy, for better or for worse, were all in this together now.

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