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Featured

Oil, Dammit!

October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026
  • Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Diminishing Returns

July 11, 2021July 12, 2021

It’s eminently possible that everything worth saying about markets and the outlook for the economy

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4 Comments on Diminishing Returns

The Big Benefits Question

July 11, 2021July 12, 2021

To say there’s considerable debate about the extent to which enhanced unemployment benefits are holding

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11 Comments on The Big Benefits Question

Jam-Packed

July 10, 2021July 14, 2021

In addition to the onset of earnings season in the US, the new week brings

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1 Comment on Jam-Packed

High Stakes, Peak Profits

July 10, 2021July 17, 2021

Earnings season kicks off in earnest next week, and the stakes could scarcely be higher.

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2 Comments on High Stakes, Peak Profits

Xi Tightens Tech Noose. Sets Up Veto For Overseas IPOs

July 10, 2021July 11, 2021

It was a head-spinning week for some of China’s largest tech companies. What began as

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Leave a Comment on Xi Tightens Tech Noose. Sets Up Veto For Overseas IPOs

Joe Biden Fixes Capitalism In 31 Short Pages

July 9, 2021July 18, 2021

Maybe it’s just me, but it feels like every other speech and soundbite emanating from

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6 Comments on Joe Biden Fixes Capitalism In 31 Short Pages

The Blank Check Rant

July 9, 2021October 16, 2021

It’s nice to see some initiative, but I’ll admit to being a bit annoyed when

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13 Comments on The Blank Check Rant

The Future Is Administered

July 9, 2021July 10, 2021

You know, there’s still nearly $15 trillion in negative-yielding debt out there. That’s just a

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5 Comments on The Future Is Administered

Apparently It Was Urgent: China Pulls The RRR Trigger

July 9, 2021July 15, 2021

China pulled the trigger on an RRR cut Friday, just two days after the State

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Leave a Comment on Apparently It Was Urgent: China Pulls The RRR Trigger

Sweet Fruits

July 8, 2021July 9, 2021

SocGen’s Albert Edwards still believes in “The Great Melt.” Not the BBC David Attenborough documentary.

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10 Comments on Sweet Fruits

China’s ‘Dovish Pivot’: What’s The Message?

July 8, 2021July 14, 2021

China was the only major economy that managed to grow in 2020, a bitter pill

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Maybe Xi Should Stop Engineering Bear Markets In Hong Kong

July 8, 2021July 9, 2021

When authorities in Beijing blindsided markets by cracking down on Didi just days after the

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4 Comments on Maybe Xi Should Stop Engineering Bear Markets In Hong Kong

Jobless Claims Tick Higher Amid Ongoing Labor Friction

July 8, 2021July 8, 2021

373,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, more than anticipated. The prior week’s level,

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The Growth Scare Is Here

July 8, 2021July 9, 2021

Over the past two weeks (give or take), I’ve argued that markets were teetering precariously

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4 Comments on The Growth Scare Is Here

Are You Awesome?

July 7, 2021July 8, 2021

“Where are all the job seekers?,” asked The Indeed Hiring Lab, in the color accompanying

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6 Comments on Are You Awesome?

Technocrats And Their Deliberations

July 7, 2021July 8, 2021

Why did a handful of technocrats raise their projection for where the panel on which

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2 Comments on Technocrats And Their Deliberations

Sand In The Gears

July 7, 2021July 13, 2021

US job openings rose 16,000 to 9.21 million at the end of May, the BLS

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The Danger Of False Optics

July 7, 2021July 8, 2021

The bond rally accelerated early Wednesday in the US, which was a story in itself.

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1 Comment on The Danger Of False Optics

‘Reckless And Irresponsible’

July 7, 2021July 12, 2021

Marco Rubio is irritated. Specifically, he’s disturbed that Didi, the Chinese ride-hailing giant whose stock collapsed

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2 Comments on ‘Reckless And Irresponsible’

‘Amid’

July 6, 2021July 7, 2021

US equities came under a bit of “healthy” pressure Tuesday, amid… you know what? Let’s

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3 Comments on ‘Amid’

Wanted: Someone To Serve These Drinks

July 6, 2021July 7, 2021

Activity in the US services sector is robust, but perhaps cooling at the margins. That’s

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10 Comments on Wanted: Someone To Serve These Drinks

The Perils Of Normalization

July 6, 2021July 7, 2021

Not all “notables” make for the most exciting reading. In fact, some notables are downright

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1 Comment on The Perils Of Normalization

Fireworks

July 6, 2021July 7, 2021

The Didi drama and another OPEC+ impasse provided for some post-US holiday fireworks on Tuesday.

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1 Comment on Fireworks

July 5

July 5, 2021July 6, 2021

One thing I like about market holidays is that they lay bare the myriad absurdities

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12 Comments on July 5

From Xi, With Love

July 5, 2021July 12, 2021

If you thought China was done harassing its home-grown tech giants, you were sorely mistaken.

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3 Comments on From Xi, With Love

A Somnolent Summer Drift?

July 4, 2021July 7, 2021

You might be inclined to suggest the holiday-shortened week is destined to be an uneventful,

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2 Comments on A Somnolent Summer Drift?

Would-Be Contrarians Ponder Ultimate Stock Oxymoron

July 4, 2021July 6, 2021

So, you want to be a contrarian? Well, prepare yourself for the ultimate paradox. In

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3 Comments on Would-Be Contrarians Ponder Ultimate Stock Oxymoron

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  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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