‘Transient Or Persistent’: What Does Credit Know That Everything Else Doesn’t?
Maybe nothing. Consider it unresolved.
Maybe nothing. Consider it unresolved.
Spoiler alert…
The “double whammy” problem.
Shifting alliances, political turmoil, conspiracy theories and just the usual crazy shit.
I think that gets it backwards.
… the overarching narrative makes sense and even if it didn’t, it doesn’t have to. That’s the thing about narratives.
“…like in the case of an aging human, where weakened defenses and impaired resilience cause it to succumb to infections and other exogenous threats, the main street economy is exceedingly vulnerable.”
“I think we are just in the middle of a correction. And I think, overall, the structural story is still pretty positive. But this is a correction that may not be over yet.”
As a reminder, this has already cost Deripaska nearly $4 billion in personal wealth.
I wonder if anyone told Nikki Haley or whether she’s still “confused”…
The selloff in the long end late last week and accompanying steepening has everyone squarely focused on that oh so scary round number again and yields ticked up a bit more overnight, ensuring that your coworkers will be forced to begrudgingly try and come up with some new factoid about 3% so they can impress their colleagues.Â
As usual, lots on the docket.
Something tells us this is an underappreciated tail risk, indeed.
Well, that was interesting.
This debate is obviously crucial for the market going forward. Everyone is acutely aware of how important it is for tech high-fliers to avoid an Icarus moment until we finally see the fabled “rotation” back into value or, more simply, until another sector proves it’s capable of taking the baton in this aging bull market.
What’s everyone thinking on Saturday? Well, I’m glad you asked…
‘RIGHT NOW THIS IS A ONE-TIME SHOT’
All you can do is laugh.
“And, no, he is not playing some kind of clever 5-dimensional chess or 3-dimensional chess that the talking heads were gumming about this AM. He’s not even playing checkers—to say nothing of pick-up-sticks.”
“What if I told you that you’ve been whipsawed by a cartoon, and you’re going to be whipsawed again?”
C’est la vie.
Oh well, at least space is safe.Â
Good luck.
Happens to a lot of guys.
“As I struggle to find the words to communicate my thoughts, I worry they will be misconstrued. Yet I don’t know how else to say it – except to blurt it out. So at the risk of being labeled a fool, here it goes - it’s different this time.”
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