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Featured

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Tesla Teases ‘Accelerated’ New Model Launch As Revenue Dives

April 23, 2024April 24, 2024

“We experienced numerous challenges in Q1,” Tesla said on Tuesday afternoon in the US. It

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4 Comments on Tesla Teases ‘Accelerated’ New Model Launch As Revenue Dives

Mean Reverting Into Mega-Cap Earnings

April 23, 2024April 23, 2024

Part of me hesitates to say anything that might be construed as “directional” ahead of

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Apple Can’t De-Risk From China Fast Enough

April 23, 2024May 1, 2024

Does one bad apple spoil the whole bunch? That’s the question market participants are asking

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1 Comment on Apple Can’t De-Risk From China Fast Enough

Elon Musk Will Figure It Out

April 23, 2024April 24, 2024

As of last quarter, Tesla’s a growth stock with no growth. That’s a bad look.

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15 Comments on Elon Musk Will Figure It Out

America’s Housing Market Is A Sad Punchline

April 23, 2024April 24, 2024

New homes. They’re expensive, chintzy, hastily-built and typically arranged in dystopian, crowded rows, such that

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7 Comments on America’s Housing Market Is A Sad Punchline

PMIs Point To Services Sector Job Losses, Rekindled Goods Inflation

April 23, 2024April 23, 2024

Activity across the implacable US economy nearly stalled early this month, data released on Tuesday

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1 Comment on PMIs Point To Services Sector Job Losses, Rekindled Goods Inflation

Kolanovic Says Inflation, Geopolitical Risks Point To Additional Downside

April 22, 2024

Equities could stabilize this week, but after that it’s anyone’s guess. That was the message

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What Goes Around Comes Around

April 22, 2024April 23, 2024

The term premium’s almost positive again. Stop press, I know. The term premium’s like The

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BofA Says Buy Geopolitical Dips As Russia Talks Nuclear Armageddon

April 22, 2024April 23, 2024

For a supposedly “efficient” discounting mechanism, stocks often appear oddly oblivious, particularly to geopolitics. If

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5 Comments on BofA Says Buy Geopolitical Dips As Russia Talks Nuclear Armageddon

JPMorgan Warns Of Summer Selloff Redux

April 22, 2024April 23, 2024

Headed into this month, investors were running higher stock exposure than they were last summer,

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1 Comment on JPMorgan Warns Of Summer Selloff Redux

Mike Wilson Gets A Win

April 22, 2024April 23, 2024

Mike Wilson nailed it. Or as much as you can nail it after sitting out

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1 Comment on Mike Wilson Gets A Win

How Corporate America Will Spend $3.7 Trillion In 2024

April 21, 2024April 21, 2024

Cash! You have some. Now what do you do with it? If you’re a household,

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Chamberlain Or Churchill?

April 21, 2024May 1, 2024

“Put those damn flags away,” 34-year-old Anna Paulina Luna sneered, as Democrats waived miniature Ukrainian

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13 Comments on Chamberlain Or Churchill?

US GDP, Inflation Update In Focus As Fed Goes Quiet

April 21, 2024April 22, 2024

It’d be too much to suggest a pivotal week looms for macro watchers, but market

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The ‘En Masse’ Market Cash-Out In Perspective

April 20, 2024April 22, 2024

I’m not sure I’d call it an “en masse cash-out” — as one mainstream financial

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4 Comments on The ‘En Masse’ Market Cash-Out In Perspective

Second-Order Thinking

April 19, 2024April 22, 2024

When you think about the likely evolution of Fed policy for the remainder of 2024,

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11 Comments on Second-Order Thinking

Take The Win

April 19, 2024May 1, 2024

Eight hours later, details around what, exactly, transpired in Iran early Friday remained scant, which

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Is The Selloff Finally Here?

April 19, 2024April 21, 2024

It’s clear enough that previously “oblivious” equities reached the limit this month in terms of

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3 Comments on Is The Selloff Finally Here?

Israel Strikes Iran, Pushing Mideast To The Brink

April 19, 2024April 20, 2024

Less than a week after intercepting an unprecedented barrage of drones and missiles launched by

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Reserves Plunge, Money Funds Hit With Exodus On Tax Payments

April 18, 2024

I hesitate to offer a money market fund flows update this week for what I

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Netflix Delivers Another Big Subscriber Beat, Will Stop Reporting Key Metric

April 18, 2024April 18, 2024

The bar was high for Netflix headed into Q1 results this week. The stock was

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1 Comment on Netflix Delivers Another Big Subscriber Beat, Will Stop Reporting Key Metric

War Games

April 18, 2024April 19, 2024

Earlier this week, in the Daily, I quoted a 29-year-old Ukrainian who, in remarks to

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9 Comments on War Games

Our Currency’s Still Your Problem

April 18, 2024April 19, 2024

“The USD ‘wrecking ball’ is again the world’s problem,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Thursday. A

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4 Comments on Our Currency’s Still Your Problem

US Home Prices Scale New March Record As Affordability Crisis Spirals

April 18, 2024April 19, 2024

Existing home sales retreated as expected in March, snapping a two-month run of gains. That’s

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3 Comments on US Home Prices Scale New March Record As Affordability Crisis Spirals

Albert Edwards Says China’s Deflation Problem Needs More Attention

April 18, 2024April 19, 2024

If you ask SocGen’s Albert Edwards — a man who knows a thing or five

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The ‘Radical’ Economic Theory Taking Markets By Storm

April 17, 2024May 1, 2024

Earlier this week, a reader asked for my opinion on a “heretical” notion: The idea

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20 Comments on The ‘Radical’ Economic Theory Taking Markets By Storm

They Rang A Bell

April 17, 2024April 18, 2024

I say this all the time and now seems like a good time to reiterate

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1 Comment on They Rang A Bell

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • WMD on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks
  • Engineer on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • NY Jeff on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • carbpow on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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