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Category: Markets

Quiet Please

July 17, 2022July 20, 2022

It’s all housing on the data front in the US this week, and with Fed

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2 Comments on Quiet Please

Bête Noire

July 16, 2022July 17, 2022

A few days ago, a reader suggested the Fed, having woefully miscalculated while appraising both

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16 Comments on Bête Noire

Interstellar

July 16, 2022July 25, 2022

A never-ending deluge of headlines touting the developed world’s worsening cost of living crisis belies

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19 Comments on Interstellar

Citi Saves Stocks

July 15, 2022July 17, 2022

Citi to the rescue, apparently. I, for one, didn’t have “Citi saves stocks” on this

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4 Comments on Citi Saves Stocks

Chickens, Eggs, Hawks And Doves

July 15, 2022July 17, 2022

Add SocGen to the list of banks expecting the Fed to go big — very

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3 Comments on Chickens, Eggs, Hawks And Doves

Good News! Also, Bad News!

July 15, 2022July 20, 2022

Market participants and Fed officials enjoyed a reprieve of sorts on Friday, when the preliminary

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2 Comments on Good News! Also, Bad News!

Chinese Stocks Suddenly Crumble As Mortgage Boycott Adds To Woes

July 15, 2022July 16, 2022

For a few weeks, it appeared as though Chinese equities might serve as a storm

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Jamie Dimon Has Some Things On His Mind

July 14, 2022July 15, 2022

Jamie Dimon is no stranger to storms. He’s been through large ones, in open seas,

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1 Comment on Jamie Dimon Has Some Things On His Mind

Wall Street Goes 0-2 As IB Slump Dents Results

July 14, 2022July 15, 2022

With two reports on the books for second quarter earnings, Wall Street was 0 for

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1 Comment on Wall Street Goes 0-2 As IB Slump Dents Results

JPMorgan Comes Up Short As ‘Hurricane’ Looms

July 14, 2022July 18, 2022

Meteorological phenomena got short shrift in JPMorgan’s second quarter earnings materials, but Jamie Dimon did

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2 Comments on JPMorgan Comes Up Short As ‘Hurricane’ Looms

‘Everything’ Means Everything

July 13, 2022July 14, 2022

At this point, it’s scarcely worth mentioning how far we’ve come on the monetary policy

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20 Comments on ‘Everything’ Means Everything

The Worst Inflation Report In Modern US History

July 13, 2022July 22, 2022

US consumer prices rose 9.1% from a year ago, blazing-hot data released on Wednesday showed.

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17 Comments on The Worst Inflation Report In Modern US History

Canada Ups Inflation Fight Ante With Massive 100bps Rate Hike

July 13, 2022July 14, 2022

After triumphing in a recent battle with COVID, Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem will

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7 Comments on Canada Ups Inflation Fight Ante With Massive 100bps Rate Hike

How Long And How Far Will This Go?

July 13, 2022July 14, 2022

The global tightening impulse accelerated on Wednesday, as New Zealand and South Korea stepped up

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Bassman: ‘There Is Significant Potential For Disruption’

July 12, 2022July 13, 2022

While I suspect there were few kind words for him in the 1980s, today Volcker

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5 Comments on Bassman: ‘There Is Significant Potential For Disruption’

King

July 12, 2022July 20, 2022

The Fed may have a credibility problem, but like everything else in the world, it’s

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1 Comment on King

Germany Prepares For ‘Worst’ As Investor Outlook ‘Collapses’

July 12, 2022July 18, 2022

“Economic expectations collapse,” read the headline atop the July vintage of Germany’s ZEW survey. It’s

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1 Comment on Germany Prepares For ‘Worst’ As Investor Outlook ‘Collapses’

Bliss

July 11, 2022July 12, 2022

As regular readers are apprised, I have no “heroes,” and to the extent I revere

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4 Comments on Bliss

Penrose Stairs

July 11, 2022July 12, 2022

I talk quite a bit about self-referential market dynamics in these pages. Some of those

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1 Comment on Penrose Stairs

Nobody Accepts The Reality Of Investing In China

July 11, 2022July 12, 2022

It may never be truly safe to invest in Chinese equities again. I realize that

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7 Comments on Nobody Accepts The Reality Of Investing In China

Inflation Heat Check And The Three-Digit Hike Tail Risk

July 10, 2022July 14, 2022

Like shoppers waiting anxiously for a monitor in the checkout line to tally the damage

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11 Comments on Inflation Heat Check And The Three-Digit Hike Tail Risk

Searching For Bulls In A Desolate Wasteland

July 9, 2022July 11, 2022

Do nosebleed levels on the most widely-cited measure of bond volatility presage a counter-trend rally

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Predictions About The Future

July 9, 2022July 10, 2022

With earnings season just days away in the US, it’s not necessarily this quarter’s results

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2 Comments on Predictions About The Future

Mr. Musk Terminates The Merger

July 8, 2022July 15, 2022

Elon Musk doesn’t want Twitter anymore. Maybe he never did. We’ll never know. Frankly, I’d

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7 Comments on Mr. Musk Terminates The Merger

Math Problems

July 8, 2022July 10, 2022

“It ain’t over ’til the Fed lady sings,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett wrote, employing a somewhat

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7 Comments on Math Problems

Hot Jobs Report Leaves Fed Locked In On 75

July 8, 2022July 10, 2022

The US economy added far more jobs than expected in June, the government’s hotly-anticipated monthly

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8 Comments on Hot Jobs Report Leaves Fed Locked In On 75

Mortgage Rates Fall Most Since 2008, But Affordability Worst Since 80s

July 7, 2022July 10, 2022

Good news: Mortgage rates fell dramatically last week. Amid a steep decline in US yields,

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3 Comments on Mortgage Rates Fall Most Since 2008, But Affordability Worst Since 80s

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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