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Category: Markets

Bull In A China Shop

June 28, 2022June 28, 2022

“This sends the signal that the economy comes first,” a Guangzhou-based investor said Tuesday. “This”

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1 Comment on Bull In A China Shop

Why The Stock Selloff Will Resume

June 27, 2022June 28, 2022

Be careful, it could be a trap. That’s one way to read the latest from

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4 Comments on Why The Stock Selloff Will Resume

Stubborn US Economy Won’t Go Gentle Into That Good Night

June 27, 2022June 28, 2022

Every day it’s the same story. Or, rather, the same question: Is good news bad

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4 Comments on Stubborn US Economy Won’t Go Gentle Into That Good Night

Bear Market May Take Short Summer Vacation

June 27, 2022June 28, 2022

If this week turns out to be anything like last week for US equities, it’ll

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Inflation Blame Game: Whose Fault Is This Really?

June 27, 2022July 17, 2022

There’s no shortage of debate around the relative wisdom of deploying draconian rate hikes to

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2 Comments on Inflation Blame Game: Whose Fault Is This Really?

Russia Defaults. Nobody Cares

June 27, 2022June 27, 2022

Three years ago, when Donald Trump sanctioned Ayatollah Khamenei, I described the decision as “about

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1 Comment on Russia Defaults. Nobody Cares

Crisis-Weary Fed Has 9%-Tall Mountain Left To Climb: Quant

June 26, 2022June 27, 2022

Jerome Powell is a victim of circumstance, a golfer who “can’t putt,” a professional fall

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6 Comments on Crisis-Weary Fed Has 96-Tall Mountain Left To Climb: Quant

2022 Rivals 2008 For Suddenly Wild Bond Market

June 26, 2022June 27, 2022

“Keep those seatbelts fastened,” TD’s Priya Misra said, in a note documenting this year’s fireworks

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2 Comments on 2022 Rivals 2008 For Suddenly Wild Bond Market

‘All That Matters’

June 26, 2022June 29, 2022

A raft of data and a dash of Fedspeak should help traders refine the macro

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4 Comments on ‘All That Matters’

Crash

June 25, 2022June 27, 2022

Some of the best films are structured such that audiences are compelled to consider the

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6 Comments on Crash

The Stark Reality Of Modern Stock Market Rallies

June 25, 2022June 26, 2022

If you’re concerned that households, by far the largest owners of the US equity market

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14 Comments on The Stark Reality Of Modern Stock Market Rallies

Fed Up

June 24, 2022June 26, 2022

Jim Bullard wants to “nip inflation in the bud before it gets entrenched in the

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8 Comments on Fed Up

Kolanovic Says Stocks May Soar 7% Next Week

June 24, 2022June 28, 2022

Could rebalancing flows help US stocks log their largest weekly gain since November of 2020?

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Hard Landing Panic Has Markets Rethinking Central Bank Bets

June 24, 2022June 24, 2022

Central banks have succeeded. In engineering a recession scare. Rate hike bets were trimmed again

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4 Comments on Hard Landing Panic Has Markets Rethinking Central Bank Bets

150 Years Of History Says S&P Falls Another 15%. At Least

June 23, 2022June 24, 2022

It’ll seem obvious in hindsight, as all things do. If the post-pandemic rally in equities

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6 Comments on 150 Years Of History Says S&P Falls Another 156. At Least

Cash!

June 23, 2022July 2, 2022

On one measure, real money investors’ allocation to cash is the highest in more than

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1 Comment on Cash!

2022 Is Worst Year For US Bonds Since George Washington

June 23, 2022June 24, 2022

The first five months of 2022 were cruel for bonds. That much you probably know.

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1 Comment on 2022 Is Worst Year For US Bonds Since George Washington

Bear Market Bender

June 22, 2022June 24, 2022

Risk sentiment looks poised to oscillate for the next several weeks. Meandering price action will

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1 Comment on Bear Market Bender

Albert Edwards Gently Warns Of Imminent ‘Collapse,’ ‘Meltdown’

June 22, 2022June 23, 2022

By and large, market commentators now begrudgingly concede that the odds of a US recession

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8 Comments on Albert Edwards Gently Warns Of Imminent ‘Collapse,’ ‘Meltdown’

Goldman Doubles Recession Odds For Next 12 Months

June 21, 2022June 27, 2022

“Encouragingly, economic activity has decelerated,” Goldman’s David Mericle and Ronnie Walker wrote, while reassessing the

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4 Comments on Goldman Doubles Recession Odds For Next 12 Months

Bear Market Won’t End Until Recession Question Answered: Wilson

June 21, 2022June 23, 2022

The bear market in equities won’t be over “until recession arrives or the risk of

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6 Comments on Bear Market Won’t End Until Recession Question Answered: Wilson

Profit Reckoning Nears For Corporate America

June 20, 2022June 23, 2022

I’ve mentioned the prospect of a reprieve for beleaguered equities in the near-term. Sentiment is

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7 Comments on Profit Reckoning Nears For Corporate America

Fed Panic: Why This Is Not A Drill

June 19, 2022June 30, 2022

It’ll be all housing data and Fedspeak in a holiday-shortened US trading week. Anyone who

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21 Comments on Fed Panic: Why This Is Not A Drill

Of Recessions And Bears

June 19, 2022June 21, 2022

US stocks are in a bear market. Maybe you noticed. A recession is either inevitable

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1 Comment on Of Recessions And Bears

Fed, Markets Now ‘Paying The Price’ Of Infamous Powell Pivot

June 19, 2022June 20, 2022

After a dozen years of accommodative monetary policy, markets have lost the capacity to fully

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1 Comment on Fed, Markets Now ‘Paying The Price’ Of Infamous Powell Pivot

Cathie Wood Tells Goldman: The Dream Is Alive

June 18, 2022June 20, 2022

The world is changing. Nobody knows that better than Cathie Wood. Wood’s meteoric rise was

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14 Comments on Cathie Wood Tells Goldman: The Dream Is Alive

Crypto End Game Goes Through DeFi’s Black Box

June 18, 2022June 25, 2022

An already dire situation in the cryptoverse took another ominous turn Saturday, when Bitcoin dropped

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9 Comments on Crypto End Game Goes Through DeFi’s Black Box

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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