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Category: Markets

Microsoft, Google Still Going Concerns

July 26, 2022July 27, 2022

Investors were on tenterhooks for mega-cap tech earnings, and not just because the “broad” market

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8 Comments on Microsoft, Google Still Going Concerns

Fair-Weather Fans

July 26, 2022July 27, 2022

2022 will remembered for a lot things, most of them bad, or at least if

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2 Comments on Fair-Weather Fans

Define ‘Pivot’

July 26, 2022July 27, 2022

This is all very simple, really. Markets will bottom when inflation peaks and the Fed

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2 Comments on Define ‘Pivot’

Everyday Low Guidance: Walmart Delivers Another Reality Check

July 25, 2022July 30, 2022

Is an anomaly anomalous if it happens twice in three months? I don’t know. That’s

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4 Comments on Everyday Low Guidance: Walmart Delivers Another Reality Check

Something’s In The Price

July 25, 2022July 26, 2022

Given a demonstrable deceleration in various measures of economic activity over the past month, it’s

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7 Comments on Something’s In The Price

Nowhere To Turn

July 25, 2022July 26, 2022

There’s nothing you can do. Just as the Fed has no “good” options at a

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2 Comments on Nowhere To Turn

60:40, Food:Fuel

July 25, 2022July 26, 2022

It’s been a tough year for multi-asset investors, where “tough” means all assets have incurred

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6 Comments on 60:40, Food:Fuel

Wanted: Plausible Bull Case

July 25, 2022July 25, 2022

“The pause is likely to come too late,” Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson said Monday. He

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2 Comments on Wanted: Plausible Bull Case

Traders Will Drown In Data During Fed Week

July 24, 2022July 27, 2022

The July FOMC meeting isn’t the only big event on the US docket this week

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9 Comments on Traders Will Drown In Data During Fed Week

Best Hawkish Behavior

July 24, 2022July 28, 2022

In the anxious aftermath of the June CPI report, among the worst in modern US

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3 Comments on Best Hawkish Behavior

Just Don’t Call It Optimism

July 23, 2022July 25, 2022

I’m sympathetic to the possibility that a true reckoning for US corporate profits may still

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4 Comments on Just Don’t Call It Optimism

The ‘Big Low’

July 22, 2022July 29, 2022

The “big low” isn’t in. That’s the overarching (and all too familiar) message from one

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12 Comments on The ‘Big Low’

‘They Just Kept Coming’: VaR Event Rocks Rates

July 22, 2022July 23, 2022

Although it wasn’t obvious to anyone for whom equity benchmarks are all that matters, Friday

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3 Comments on ‘They Just Kept Coming’: VaR Event Rocks Rates

Bond Bulls And Banana Republics

July 21, 2022July 22, 2022

As regular readers know all too well, I harbor something that looks (and feels) quite

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11 Comments on Bond Bulls And Banana Republics

Microsoft May Hold Keys To ‘Yikes Pain-Trade Rally’

July 21, 2022July 22, 2022

Charlie McElligott’s spidey sense is tingling. US equities and volatility rose simultaneously for two consecutive

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ECB Exits NIRP, Unveils ‘TPI’ On Irony-Laden ‘Whatever It Takes’ Anniversary

July 21, 2022July 25, 2022

The ECB hiked rates for the first time in more than a decade Thursday and

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4 Comments on ECB Exits NIRP, Unveils ‘TPI’ On Irony-Laden ‘Whatever It Takes’ Anniversary

Run Money, Run

July 20, 2022July 22, 2022

We’re an excitable species. Especially when it comes to money, a god of our own

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9 Comments on Run Money, Run

Searching For Lehman. Finding Civil Unrest

July 19, 2022July 26, 2022

Lehman! GFC! Dot-com! LTCM! Lions, tigers and (especially) bears. “Oh, my!” From time to time,

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3 Comments on Searching For Lehman. Finding Civil Unrest

Mood Check: ‘Everything Is Better Than Feared!’

July 19, 2022July 21, 2022

“Traders bet the bottom is in,” one mainstream financial media outlet declared on Tuesday afternoon,

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5 Comments on Mood Check: ‘Everything Is Better Than Feared!’

The Next $20 Billion In Systematic Stock Buying

July 19, 2022July 20, 2022

“Active managers have generally moved to the sidelines [leaving] inelastic model-based players and passives chasing

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13 Comments on The Next $20 Billion In Systematic Stock Buying

Remember: Slower Hiring Is Actually A Good Thing

July 19, 2022July 19, 2022

There are too many unknowns to embolden dip-buyers. That was one generic explanation offered early

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‘Make No Mistake’: Popular Strategists Warn Against Complacency

July 18, 2022July 19, 2022

“Make no mistake, we don’t believe this bear market is over,” Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson

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3 Comments on ‘Make No Mistake’: Popular Strategists Warn Against Complacency

‘What If The Future Isn’t So Tidy?’ McElligott Asks

July 18, 2022July 19, 2022

Reduced to the basics, market participants harbor a somewhat binary outlook on inflation and monetary

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5 Comments on ‘What If The Future Isn’t So Tidy?’ McElligott Asks

Goldman Trades Its Way Through ‘These Challenging Markets’

July 18, 2022July 22, 2022

“We delivered solid results in the second quarter as clients turned to us for our

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Leave a Comment on Goldman Trades Its Way Through ‘These Challenging Markets’

BofA Enjoys 22% NII Boost, Debit Card Spend Hits Record High

July 18, 2022July 18, 2022

Bank of America delivered a characteristically “meh” set of results on Monday. Revenue of $22.7

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2 Comments on BofA Enjoys 222 NII Boost, Debit Card Spend Hits Record High

‘Very Unusual’ Times

July 17, 2022July 18, 2022

“Very unusual-looking.” That’s how one rates strategist described the trajectory of the implied path for

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Awaiting ‘Proper Capitulation’

July 17, 2022July 23, 2022

A tsunami of corporate earnings will wash over markets in the weeks ahead. Generally speaking,

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11 Comments on Awaiting ‘Proper Capitulation’

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Monthly Letters

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To Be Happy

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Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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