“Our S&P 500 forecasts have a V-shaped profile”.
Category: Markets
MAGA Economy Hanging In There, But Hardly Blowing The Doors Off, November PMIs Show
Not terrible, but not “great” – “again” or otherwise.
Bridgewater Makes Billion-Dollar Bet On Market Drop By March
Everybody panic.
Don’t ‘Cry Wolf Prematurely’: Goldman Delivers Global Growth Outlook, Best Trade Ideas Headed Into 2020
There’s “career risk” involved in making recession the baseline.
Trump May Launch ‘Sweeping’ 301 Trade Probe Against Europe: Reports
The incorrigible ‘tariff man’ won’t be denied.
Xi’s Media Man Lashes Out At ‘Blind’ US Congress, But Stocks Pinned As S&P ‘Chokes On Gamma’
“President Trump needs to sign the bill using braille”.
‘We Are Heading For A Long-Term Future Of Declining Living Standards’: OECD
“The alarm bells are ringing loud and clear.”
Macro Tourist, Bill Dudley Think Carl Icahn May (Eventually) Be Right On Corporate Debt ‘Time Bomb’
“Although I have no idea of the timing, as this cycle continues, I am getting more sympathetic to the idea credit is a time bomb.”
Nothing ‘Big’ On Trade By December 15, But Tariff Escalation Will Be Delayed: Report
It’s worth noting that another delay will only serve to prolong the uncertainty and underscore the farcical nature of this charade.
‘Strong Call For Unity’ Made At Mario Draghi’s Final ECB Meeting After Contentious September Showdown
“It was regarded as important to form a consensus and to unite”.
‘In The Foothills Of A Cold War’: Stocks Gyrate On ‘Cautious Optimism’, ‘Confusion’ Around US-China Trade
Henry Kissinger “hopes” things don’t get worse.
This Is What Counts As ‘Fireworks’ In An Otherwise Tranquil Market
This sounds like a trivial statement (and it is), but…
Fed Policy ‘Well Calibrated’ After October Rate Cut, FOMC Minutes Show
Downside risks are still elevated, though.
S&P 5,300, Bear Market ‘Signposts’ And The Persistence Of The ‘Exceptional’
“Stimulus unwind [is] especially tricky”.
And Now, For A Geopolitical Reality Check…
Risk aversion runs rampant as Hong Kong bill hits sentiment.
China Cuts Loan Prime Rate, Rounding Out November Mini-Easing Push
“We should just expect the PBoC to keep adopting this combination in the future”.
Yes, The S&P 500 Is Exposed To Liquidity Risk
And passive investing plays a role.
Markets Get Clearest Picture Yet Of Tariff Relief Plan – And It’s Still Pretty Darn Murky
It’s still wholly convoluted.
‘What If Yields Rose By 100bp?’ Questions Linger Around Bursting Of Bond Beta Bubble
How dramatic would the unwind be?
Here’s What’s Behind The ‘Relentless Bid For Stocks’
All of this is playing out against a backdrop defined by a (rare) dearth of news flow…
Here’s How Much GDP Growth The US And China Have Torched In The Trade War So Far
Only the dead have seen the end of war.
And Now, For Another Dismal, Depressing, Dreary Projection Out Of Germany…
The accompanying report is all kinds of foreboding.
The World According To Charlie: Nomura’s McElligott On Macro, Markets And Gamma As The Most Powerful Flow In The Universe
“I view the world from the lens of volatility.”
‘This Would Very Likely Mark The End Of The Expansion’: Some Trouble With The Curve
The read-through for corporate profits is clear – and somewhat dour.
China Cuts 7-Day Repo Rate For First Time Since 2015
More dribs and drabs.
You must be logged in to post a comment.