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Category: Markets

Everything Is Wrong In The World. Except For Stocks. The Stocks Seem Fine.

June 2, 2020June 2, 2020

74% say America is on the wrong track. But the stocks are fine. Thanks for asking.

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oil3 Comments on Everything Is Wrong In The World. Except For Stocks. The Stocks Seem Fine.

It All Burns Down.

June 2, 2020June 3, 2020

“A red flag to a bull, even if it is bullish for assets”.

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17 Comments on It All Burns Down.

Euphoric ‘Mothers’ And ‘Giant Painkillers’

June 2, 2020June 2, 2020

“…symptomatic of a euphoric stock market”.

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While You Weren’t Looking, China Launched A Little Soft QE

June 2, 2020June 2, 2020

It’s “not QE” in a precise sense.

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Dollars, Defiance And Democracy

June 2, 2020June 2, 2020

“I can’t think of any market crash brought on by civil unrest”.

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26 Comments on Dollars, Defiance And Democracy

2018 Flashbacks And Upside Down Bond Market Dynamics

June 1, 2020June 1, 2020

“We hold the opposite view”.

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1 Comment on 2018 Flashbacks And Upside Down Bond Market Dynamics

Nomura’s McElligott On ‘Big Deal’ Trend Inflections And June Sequencing

June 1, 2020June 1, 2020

“…a broader distribution of outcomes [and] a wider range thereafter”.

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3 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott On ‘Big Deal’ Trend Inflections And June Sequencing

Manufacturing Gauges Rendered Meaningless In COVID Crisis Suggest Economy Still Pretty Bad

June 1, 2020June 1, 2020

“Two cautious comments for every one optimistic comment”.

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‘Still Plenty Of Room For Stocks To Rise Further From Here,’ JPMorgan Says

June 1, 2020

“…collectively, investors are still underweight equities”.

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4 Comments on ‘Still Plenty Of Room For Stocks To Rise Further From Here,’ JPMorgan Says

China Mocks America For Violent Protests, Begins Canceling US Farm Imports

June 1, 2020June 1, 2020

“Why does the US beautify the so-called Hong Kong independence and violent elements as heroes?”

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5 Comments on China Mocks America For Violent Protests, Begins Canceling US Farm Imports

Cultural Breaking Point Threatens To Upend Fragile US Economy At Worst Possible Time

May 31, 2020May 31, 2020

This is a potential body blow.

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16 Comments on Cultural Breaking Point Threatens To Upend Fragile US Economy At Worst Possible Time

Yes, Fed Policy Exacerbates Inequality. But It Doesn’t Have To Be That Way.

May 31, 2020May 31, 2020

“Sad but true”

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8 Comments on Yes, Fed Policy Exacerbates Inequality. But It Doesn’t Have To Be That Way.

It’s Not The Economy, It’s The Liquidity, Stupid.

May 31, 2020May 31, 2020

If there’s anything we probably should have learned post-2008…

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6 Comments on It’s Not The Economy, It’s The Liquidity, Stupid.

America’s Chaotic Spiral Into Domestic Unrest Opens Door To Familiar Allegations Of Hypocrisy

May 31, 2020May 31, 2020

Protests and racial injustice may weaken the Trump administration’s hand with China at a crucial juncture.

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31 Comments on America’s Chaotic Spiral Into Domestic Unrest Opens Door To Familiar Allegations Of Hypocrisy

America’s Big Bankruptcy Questions: Who, When And How Many?

May 30, 2020May 31, 2020

We need to “have humility about how much predictive power our past experience gives us in the face of the current crisis.”

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5 Comments on America’s Big Bankruptcy Questions: Who, When And How Many?

The Case For Tech’s Infinity Rally

May 30, 2020May 30, 2020

The title is in jest – mostly.

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9 Comments on The Case For Tech’s Infinity Rally

Is This Still A Bear Market?

May 30, 2020May 30, 2020

…this isn’t coming from someone who is by nature a bullish individual.

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7 Comments on Is This Still A Bear Market?

Goldman Sees No More Gains For S&P By Year-End, Flags Biggest Margin ‘Collapse’ In Half-Century

May 30, 2020May 30, 2020

“…the path of the S&P 500 through year-end is not likely to be smooth”.

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6 Comments on Goldman Sees No More Gains For S&P By Year-End, Flags Biggest Margin ‘Collapse’ In Half-Century

Here’s A Quick Breakdown Of The Fed’s ETF Portfolio

May 29, 2020May 29, 2020

“Red lines”.

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2 Comments on Here’s A Quick Breakdown Of The Fed’s ETF Portfolio

Trump Terminates WHO Relationship, Blasts China For Hong Kong Incursion. Market Hears ‘Blah, Blah’

May 29, 2020May 30, 2020

“China’s coverup allowed [COVID-19] to spread all over the world”.

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15 Comments on Trump Terminates WHO Relationship, Blasts China For Hong Kong Incursion. Market Hears ‘Blah, Blah’

Someone Is Wrong About Inflation. Is It You Or The Fed’s Preferred Gauge?

May 29, 2020May 29, 2020

“Neat”.

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2 Comments on Someone Is Wrong About Inflation. Is It You Or The Fed’s Preferred Gauge?

Americans Now A Frugal Bunch As Savings Rate Surges To Unthinkable Heights In Consumption Plunge

May 29, 2020May 29, 2020

“…we could experience the same sort of private-sector savings surplus seen during a balance sheet recession”.

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4 Comments on Americans Now A Frugal Bunch As Savings Rate Surges To Unthinkable Heights In Consumption Plunge

From Europe To Japan To South Korea, Economic Gloom Is Pervasive

May 29, 2020

A reality check amid the equity market euphoria.

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Trump Poised To Escalate China Tensions With Uighur Bill As Markets Look On

May 29, 2020May 29, 2020

Human rights take center stage in worsening spat.

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6 Comments on Trump Poised To Escalate China Tensions With Uighur Bill As Markets Look On

Marko Kolanovic ‘Dials Down’ Bullish Call After Nailing Stock Surge, Delivers COVID-19 Update Amid Reopenings

May 28, 2020May 29, 2020

“Ultimately we think that politicizations of COVID-19 will backfire”…

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Fed Engineers $1 Trillion Miracle In US Corporate Bond Market

May 28, 2020May 28, 2020

“…the perfect answer for a central bank dealing with a credit crunch”.

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8 Comments on Fed Engineers $1 Trillion Miracle In US Corporate Bond Market

Here’s Everything Goldman Said About Bitcoin In ‘Tulip Mania’ Slides

May 28, 2020May 29, 2020

“We have compared bitcoin and ether… to the Gouda variety of tulip bulbs”.

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18 Comments on Here’s Everything Goldman Said About Bitcoin In ‘Tulip Mania’ Slides

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

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Monthly Letters

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