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Author: therealheisenberg

Is Europe Back? Investors Seem To Think So

March 7, 2025March 10, 2025

US equities saw a third inflow over the latest weekly reporting period, suggesting at least

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Powell Says Words

March 7, 2025March 9, 2025

Jerome Powell said some things on Friday. Things like the US economy’s still in a

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4 Comments on Powell Says Words

‘Evil’ US Trade Policy Is Knee-Capping China Already

March 7, 2025March 8, 2025

China released the January-February trade rollup on Friday and the verdict wasn’t great. Exports grew

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Not Bad. Not Good Either.

March 7, 2025March 9, 2025

Mostly inoffensive. That’s as good a two-word description of Friday’s US jobs report as you’ll

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8 Comments on Not Bad. Not Good Either.

Is Mr. Market Already Tired Of The Bullsh-t?

March 6, 2025March 6, 2025

Whatever happens on jobs Friday and thereafter, the price action on Wall Street this week

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4 Comments on Is Mr. Market Already Tired Of The Bullsh-t?

There’s No Plan. Really There Isn’t.

March 6, 2025March 7, 2025

If there were remaining questions as to whether Donald Trump and Howard Lutnick have a

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25 Comments on There’s No Plan. Really There Isn’t.

Will Chinese Tech Hype Cycle Burst America’s AI Capex Bubble?

March 6, 2025March 7, 2025

Forget DeepSeek. That’s yesterday’s AI disruption, and it’s out of style already. Everybody’s wearing Qwen

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4 Comments on Will Chinese Tech Hype Cycle Burst America’s AI Capex Bubble?

Thanks Elon!

March 6, 2025March 7, 2025

The good news is, initial jobless claims in the US receded from a two-month high

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8 Comments on Thanks Elon!

ECB Delivers Sixth Cut As Europe Prepares To Rearm

March 6, 2025March 7, 2025

The ECB cut rates on Thursday as expected. The question’s what to do next. Inflation’s

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8 Comments on ECB Delivers Sixth Cut As Europe Prepares To Rearm

In Germany: History

March 5, 2025March 6, 2025

Germany’s going to spend some money. Not because they want to, necessarily, but because they

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12 Comments on In Germany: History

Chinese Economy Grew 5% In 2025

March 5, 2025March 6, 2025

The Chinese economy grew by 5% in 2025, early estimates released on Wednesday showed. That’s

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2 Comments on Chinese Economy Grew 52 In 2025

Crucial US Services Sector Update Offers Reprieve Despite Tariff ‘Chaos’

March 5, 2025March 6, 2025

Phew. Dodged a bullet. The US services sector held up better than feared last month,

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1 Comment on Crucial US Services Sector Update Offers Reprieve Despite Tariff ‘Chaos’

Private Hiring Slows Sharply In America, Underscoring Recession Worries

March 5, 2025March 6, 2025

US private sector hiring ran at just half the pace economists expected in February, data

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2 Comments on Private Hiring Slows Sharply In America, Underscoring Recession Worries

‘Trump Put’ Struck At SPX 5555, One Bank Says

March 4, 2025March 4, 2025

Where’s the so-called “Trump put” struck? Said differently, what’s the pain threshold for equity losses

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The Fog Of War

March 4, 2025March 5, 2025

Wall Street tried on Tuesday to claw back the worst of the session’s tariff-related losses,

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Trump’s Probably Serious About Annexing Canada

March 4, 2025March 5, 2025

I wonder sometimes what 45/47’s followers imagine goes on every morning in blue households across

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23 Comments on Trump’s Probably Serious About Annexing Canada

You Can’t Fix Stupid

March 4, 2025March 5, 2025

Tariffs. They’re news. Global risk sentiment took a hit Tuesday as Donald Trump followed through

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25 Comments on You Can’t Fix Stupid

US Corporate Profits Aren’t What You Think

March 3, 2025March 3, 2025

Over the weekend, I talked a bit about the read-through of suddenly soft US macro

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‘No Room Left’

March 3, 2025March 4, 2025

As of the closing bell on Wall Street Monday, there was “no room left for

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Great Television

March 3, 2025March 5, 2025

A lot of folks seem to think Donald Trump knows what he’s doing when it

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13 Comments on Great Television

New Orders Collapse, Price Pressures Surge As Tariffs Upend US Manufacturing

March 3, 2025March 4, 2025

Yuck. That’s one word to describe the juxtaposition between a sharp deceleration in a key

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Are War Bonds The ECB’s Next ‘Whatever It Takes’ Challenge?

March 3, 2025March 4, 2025

The ECB, which meets this week, has an unenviable job: Monetary policy in the euro-zone’s

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5 Comments on Are War Bonds The ECB’s Next ‘Whatever It Takes’ Challenge?

Doubt Creeps Into EPS Growth Forecasts As US Economy Stutters

March 2, 2025March 2, 2025

The nascent US economic slowdown unfurling across a number of key macro metrics and indicators

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US Jobs Report Looms With Traders On Slowdown Watch

March 2, 2025March 3, 2025

It’s jobs week in the US, and the numbers better not disappoint. The nascent slowdown

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The Devil’s Greatest Trick

March 1, 2025March 12, 2025

[Editor’s note: In consideration of the historic events which unfolded at The White House on

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44 Comments on The Devil’s Greatest Trick

MECA!

February 28, 2025March 3, 2025

Make recessions great again. Sorry. That’s the worst kind of cheap, unimaginative punchline, which is

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8 Comments on MECA!

Gold!

February 28, 2025March 3, 2025

Gold! Every time I mention it, someone loses their mind. Hold onto your sanity. Gold!

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4 Comments on Gold!

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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