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Author: therealheisenberg

Goldilocks And The Three Bears

April 8, 2025April 9, 2025

“Structural.” You’ve probably heard that term bandied about a lot in recent days in the

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7 Comments on Goldilocks And The Three Bears

Can We Get A Do-Over?

April 8, 2025April 9, 2025

The White House on Tuesday afternoon said Donald Trump intended to go ahead with the

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21 Comments on Can We Get A Do-Over?

What If Trump Just Repudiates America’s Debt?

April 8, 2025April 9, 2025

There are still no clear answers as to what happened to Treasurys to start the

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26 Comments on What If Trump Just Repudiates America’s Debt?

Deal Dash

April 8, 2025April 8, 2025

China’s going to “fight to the end.” Japan’s going to make a deal. Or something.

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7 Comments on Deal Dash

What Just Happened To US Treasurys?

April 7, 2025April 7, 2025

What happened to the US long-end on Monday? That was the question — or one

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4 Comments on What Just Happened To US Treasurys?

Ron Vara’s War And Trump’s Banana Republic

April 7, 2025April 8, 2025

I was pleasantly surprised on Monday: Virtually no one whose job it is to weigh

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12 Comments on Ron Vara’s War And Trump’s Banana Republic

With Apologies To Clown Shows…

April 7, 2025April 8, 2025

Donald Trump on Monday threatened an incremental 50% tariff on China starting immediately if Beijing

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29 Comments on With Apologies To Clown Shows…

Trump As ‘Human VVIX’: McElligott On The Meltdown

April 7, 2025April 8, 2025

If you were wondering how Charlie McElligott celebrated “Liberation Day,” the answer is that he

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11 Comments on Trump As ‘Human VVIX’: McElligott On The Meltdown

Carnage. Utter Carnage

April 7, 2025April 8, 2025

Monday was a God-awful session for equity benchmarks around the world. By “God-awful” I mean

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14 Comments on Carnage. Utter Carnage

US Stocks Saw Second Week Of Outflows In Tariff Unveil Lead-Up

April 6, 2025April 6, 2025

If you were wondering, US equities saw more outflows in the lead up to “Liberation

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‘Interesting’ Days!

April 6, 2025April 7, 2025

It’s all about tariffs this week. That goes without saying. A benign scenario finds the

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8 Comments on ‘Interesting’ Days!

So…. Who’s Gonna Lie To Clients This Week?

April 6, 2025April 7, 2025

This week better not go like last week. Seriously, it better not. If we all

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20 Comments on So…. Who’s Gonna Lie To Clients This Week?

Saudi Stocks Plunge Most Since Pandemic As Riyadh Gambles On Oil Supply

April 6, 2025April 7, 2025

It was ugly Sunday in the catch-up trade from Wall Street’s late-week bloodletting. Regional losses

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3 Comments on Saudi Stocks Plunge Most Since Pandemic As Riyadh Gambles On Oil Supply

Is The Damage Done?

April 5, 2025April 7, 2025

“The damage is done.” I keep hearing that vis-à-vis Donald Trump’s botched “Liberation Day” unveil,

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16 Comments on Is The Damage Done?

Meltdown

April 4, 2025April 6, 2025

Donald Trump tried to put on a brave face Friday, but he wasn’t fooling anyone:

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41 Comments on Meltdown

As Trump Demands Rate Cuts, ‘JEROME’ Warns On Stagflation

April 4, 2025April 6, 2025

As US stocks plunged again on Friday, Donald Trump had a message for Jerome Powell.

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6 Comments on As Trump Demands Rate Cuts, ‘JEROME’ Warns On Stagflation

Trump Tariffs Are $700 Billion Tax Hike, Will Probably Cause Recession

April 4, 2025April 6, 2025

America’s largest bank now thinks a US recession is more likely than not in 2025.

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14 Comments on Trump Tariffs Are $700 Billion Tax Hike, Will Probably Cause Recession

‘I’ll Never Change!’ Trump Fumes As China Strikes Back

April 4, 2025April 4, 2025

Beijing didn’t take Donald Trump’s tariffs lying down. No, instead Xi Jinping slapped a 34%

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20 Comments on ‘I’ll Never Change!’ Trump Fumes As China Strikes Back

Solid US Jobs Report May Struggle To Offset Tariff Anxiety

April 4, 2025April 5, 2025

Happily, the US added far more jobs than anyone thought possible in March, according to

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3 Comments on Solid US Jobs Report May Struggle To Offset Tariff Anxiety

Bad Apple?

April 3, 2025

Bill Gross doesn’t think you should buy the dip. “Investors should not try to ‘catch

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9 Comments on Bad Apple?

An ‘Insane,’ ‘Crazy,’ ‘Embarrassing’ Fiasco

April 3, 2025April 4, 2025

It’s a good thing “you can’t really watch the stock market,” as Donald Trump told

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29 Comments on An ‘Insane,’ ‘Crazy,’ ‘Embarrassing’ Fiasco

Bottom Falls Out For Key Measure Of US Services Employment

April 3, 2025April 4, 2025

Markets beset by tariff worries could’ve done without a very poor read on a key

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1 Comment on Bottom Falls Out For Key Measure Of US Services Employment

Layoff Announcements Go Vertical On Musk Effect

April 3, 2025April 4, 2025

Last month “would’ve been a fairly quiet month for layoffs” in America. Would’ve. Should’ve. Could’ve.

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Tariff Man’s Not Much For Mathing

April 3, 2025April 4, 2025

It’d be “complex, if not impossible,” the United States Trade Representative said, to “comput[e] the

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26 Comments on Tariff Man’s Not Much For Mathing

‘Free At Last, Free At Last’

April 2, 2025April 3, 2025

“For years, hard-working American citizens were forced to sit on the sidelines as other nations

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37 Comments on ‘Free At Last, Free At Last’

D.C. Power Couple Reportedly Calling It Quits After Three Months

April 2, 2025April 3, 2025

Well, it was fun while it lasted. Elon Musk will reportedly step away from his

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15 Comments on D.C. Power Couple Reportedly Calling It Quits After Three Months

Ophidia Mini

April 2, 2025April 3, 2025

How’s the US consumer? Well, as ever, that depends on who you mean by “the

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4 Comments on Ophidia Mini

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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  • Caribbean Breeze on It’s All Relative

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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